Region = MA    C/W D1           
   Nickname = A Warriors             Coach  =   Heather Egan          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   78.2148285    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 403 A South Hadley           MA    C/W D1  ( 3-12, 72.2)    12-11   
 405 H Agawam                 MA    C/W D1  (14- 4, 92.0)     1-16   
 408 H Wachusett              MA    C/W D1  ( 9-10, 79.7)     8- 9   
 411 H Nipmuc                 MA    C/W D2  (11- 8, 74.3)    13-10   
 413 A Grafton Memorial, MA   MA    C/W D2  (14- 5, 82.7)     5-16   
 415 A Northampton, MA        MA    C/W D1  (10- 7, 84.9)     3-18   
 425 H Northbridge            MA    C/W D2  ( 7-11, 67.3)    17- 4   
 427 A Doherty-Worcester      MA    C/W D1  (14- 5, 76.9)     4- 8   
 429 A Auburn, MA             MA    C/W D2  ( 4-11, 64.5)    17- 6   
 502 H Grafton Memorial, MA   MA    C/W D2  (14- 5, 82.7)    11-15   
 504 A Northbridge            MA    C/W D2  ( 7-11, 67.3)    14-12   
 508 H Auburn, MA             MA    C/W D2  ( 4-11, 64.5)    18-10   
 509 H Hopedale               MA    East D2 ( 3-13, 62.3)    15-11   
 510 H Blackstone Valley      MA    C/W D2  ( 3-15, 55.1)    19- 4   
 516 H Nipmuc                 MA    C/W D2  (11- 8, 74.3)    12-10   
 518 H Doherty-Worcester      MA    C/W D1  (14- 5, 76.9)     7- 6   
 519 A Blackstone Valley      MA    C/W D2  ( 3-15, 55.1)    14- 3   
 520 A Hopedale               MA    East D2 ( 3-13, 62.3)    11- 5   
 522 A Minnechaug             MA    C/W D1  (16- 5, 90.2)     1-17   
 523 A Westborough            MA    C/W D1  (18- 1, 94.7)     5-16   
 531 A Algonquin              MA    C/W D1  (12- 9, 87.7)     2-20   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 A South Hadley           12-11       1     1          -0.68
   405 H Agawam                  1-16     -15   -16           0.00
   408 H Wachusett               8- 9      -1    -4    +      3.32
   411 H Nipmuc                 13-10       3     0    +      2.00
   413 A Grafton Memorial, MA    5-16     -11    -8          -1.20
   415 A Northampton, MA         3-18     -15   -10           0.00
   425 H Northbridge            17- 4      13     8           1.93
   427 A Doherty-Worcester       4- 8      -4    -3          -0.96
   429 A Auburn, MA             17- 6      11     9           0.58
   502 H Grafton Memorial, MA   11-15      -4    -7    +      3.36
   504 A Northbridge            14-12       2     6    --    -4.63
   508 H Auburn, MA             18-10       8    10    -     -2.00
   509 H Hopedale               15-11       4    13    ---   -6.00
   510 H Blackstone Valley      19- 4      15    20           0.00
   516 H Nipmuc                 12-10       2     0           1.00
   518 H Doherty-Worcester       7- 6       1    -1    +      2.61
   519 A Blackstone Valley      14- 3      11    18           0.00
   520 A Hopedale               11- 5       6    11    --    -4.00
   522 A Minnechaug              1-17     -16   -16           0.00
   523 A Westborough             5-16     -11   -20           0.00
   531 A Algonquin               2-20     -18   -13           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   509 H Hopedale               15-11       4    13    ---   -6.00
   504 A Northbridge            14-12       2     6    --    -4.63
   520 A Hopedale               11- 5       6    11    --    -4.00
   508 H Auburn, MA             18-10       8    10    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 H Wachusett               8- 9      -1    -4    +      3.32
   411 H Nipmuc                 13-10       3     0    +      2.00
   502 H Grafton Memorial, MA   11-15      -4    -7    +      3.36
   518 H Doherty-Worcester       7- 6       1    -1    +      2.61
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 74.62 Local Power Rank...........   113
 Local SOS Rating......... 50.29 Local SOS Rank.............   130
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.52 Local RPI Rank.............    76
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   187
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   102
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -13.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -15.0
/