Region = MN    MSHSL            
   Nickname = N Ponies               Coach  =   Rick Reidt            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.0199738    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 414 A Edina                  MN    MSHSL   ( 8- 6, 85.3)     8-11   
 420 H Farmington, MN         MN    MSHSL   (14- 3, 87.5)     6- 7   
 425 H Cretin-Derham Hall     MN    MSHSL   (12- 3, 86.1)     7- 6   
 427 A Forest Lake            MN    MSHSL   ( 4- 9, 67.5)    16- 1   
 428 A Arrowhead              WI    C-8     (14- 6, 98.6)     8- 7   
 429 N York, IL               IL    W Sub   (11-13, 82.3)    11-10   
 502 A Woodbury               MN    MSHSL   ( 6- 9, 64.5)    17- 1   
 509 A East Ridge, MN         MN    MSHSL   ( 9- 3, 84.0)    15-13   
 511 H Park of Cottage Grove  MN    MSHSL   ( 7- 7, 71.6)    17- 5   
 516 A Mounds View            MN    MSHSL   ( 9- 6, 73.6)    20- 3   
 518 H White Bear Lake Area   MN    MSHSL   ( 5- 9, 69.4)    20- 4   
 522 H Breck School           MN    MSHSL   (11- 4, 84.4)    14- 8   
 523 H Roseville Area         MN    MSHSL   ( 9- 4, 79.0)    17- 3   
 601 H St. Croix Prep Acad    MN    MSHSL   ( 2- 6, 60.0)    20- 2   
 603 H Mounds View            MN    MSHSL   ( 9- 6, 73.6)    15- 8   
 606 N Hill-Murray School     MN    MSHSL   (11- 2, 80.0)     8- 7   
 613 N Farmington, MN         MN    MSHSL   (14- 3, 87.5)     9-10   
 615 N Blaine                 MN    MSHSL   (13- 2, 84.6)    10-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 A Edina                   8-11      -3     0    -     -3.64
   420 H Farmington, MN          6- 7      -1     0          -0.57
   425 H Cretin-Derham Hall      7- 6       1     0           0.06
   427 A Forest Lake            16- 1      15    18           0.00
   428 A Arrowhead               8- 7       1   -13          n/a  
   429 N York, IL               11-10       1     4          n/a  
   502 A Woodbury               17- 1      16    21           0.00
   509 A East Ridge, MN         15-13       2     1           0.04
   511 H Park of Cottage Grove  17- 5      12    15           0.00
   516 A Mounds View            20- 3      17    12           0.00
   518 H White Bear Lake Area   20- 4      16    17           0.00
   522 H Breck School           14- 8       6     2    +      3.38
   523 H Roseville Area         17- 3      14     7    +      2.00
   601 H St. Croix Prep Acad    20- 2      18    26           0.00
   603 H Mounds View            15- 8       7    13    -     -3.00
   606 N Hill-Murray School      8- 7       1     6    --    -5.47
   613 N Farmington, MN          9-10      -1     0          -0.01
   615 N Blaine                 10-11      -1     1    -     -2.84

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   606 N Hill-Murray School      8- 7       1     6    --    -5.47
   414 A Edina                   8-11      -3     0    -     -3.64
   429 N York, IL               11-10       1     4    -          
   603 H Mounds View            15- 8       7    13    -     -3.00
   615 N Blaine                 10-11      -1     1    -     -2.84

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   428 A Arrowhead               8- 7       1   -13    +++        
   522 H Breck School           14- 8       6     2    +      3.38
   523 H Roseville Area         17- 3      14     7    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.48 Local Power Rank...........     7
 Local SOS Rating......... 56.74 Local SOS Rank.............    19
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.65 Local RPI Rank.............     5
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    74
 Local Quality Win Rating. 40.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    12
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    6.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -0.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.3
/