Region = MD    IAAM A           
   Nickname = D Gators               Coach  =   Mary Gagnon           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.5972672    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 323 A Mount de Sales, MD     MD    IAAM A  ( 3-15, 75.3)    17- 7   
 325 A Mt. Hebron             MD    3A-2A   ( 9- 6, 87.0)    19- 9   
 327 H Glenelg Country School MD    IAAM A  (15- 5, 89.0)    12-13   
 328 H Garrison Forest        MD    IAAM A  (12- 6, 87.9)    10-11   
 330 A Roland Park Country    MD    IAAM A  (10- 7, 86.7)     6-11   
 404 H Maryvale Prep          MD    IAAM A  ( 5-13, 79.0)    11-10 2o
 406 A Bryn Mawr SG           MD    IAAM A  ( 8- 9, 83.1)     7-11   
 408 H Sts. Stephen's & Agnes DC    ISL AA  (27- 2, 99.9)     5-15   
 410 H Century, MD            MD    2A-1A   (16- 3, 94.2)    15- 8   
 412 H Archbishop Spalding    MD    IAAM A  (13- 5, 87.1)    10-12   
 418 H St. Mary's, MD         MD    IAAM A  ( 6-11, 79.6)    10- 9   
 421 H McDonogh School        MD    IAAM A  (22- 0, 99.9)     7-18   
 424 H Severn School          MD    IAAM A  (10-11, 82.3)    12- 7   
 429 A John Carroll, MD       MD    IAAM A  ( 5-13, 81.7)    13- 9   
 502 A Notre Dame Prep, MD    MD    IAAM A  (19- 3, 94.4)     7- 8   
 505 H John Carroll, MD       MD    IAAM A  ( 5-13, 81.7)    13- 9   
 509 A McDonogh School        MD    IAAM A  (22- 0, 99.9)     3-18   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 A Mount de Sales, MD     17- 7      10     8           1.88
   325 A Mt. Hebron             19- 9      10    -3          n/a  
   327 H Glenelg Country School 12-13      -1    -4    +      3.28
   328 H Garrison Forest        10-11      -1    -3    +      2.18
   330 A Roland Park Country     6-11      -5    -3          -1.71
   404 H Maryvale Prep          11-10 2o    1     5    --    -4.72
   406 A Bryn Mawr SG            7-11      -4     0    --    -4.33
   408 H Sts. Stephen's & Agnes  5-15     -10   -15          n/a  
   410 H Century, MD            15- 8       7    -9          n/a  
   412 H Archbishop Spalding    10-12      -2    -2           0.37
   418 H St. Mary's, MD         10- 9       1     5    --    -4.13
   421 H McDonogh School         7-18     -11   -15           0.00
   424 H Severn School          12- 7       5     2    +      2.52
   429 A John Carroll, MD       13- 9       4     1    +      2.27
   502 A Notre Dame Prep, MD     7- 8      -1   -11    +++    9.00
   505 H John Carroll, MD       13- 9       4     3           0.95
   509 A McDonogh School         3-18     -15   -16           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 H Maryvale Prep          11-10 2o    1     5    --    -4.72
   406 A Bryn Mawr SG            7-11      -4     0    --    -4.33
   418 H St. Mary's, MD         10- 9       1     5    --    -4.13

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 A Mt. Hebron             19- 9      10    -3    +++        
   410 H Century, MD            15- 8       7    -9    +++        
   502 A Notre Dame Prep, MD     7- 8      -1   -11    +++    9.00
   327 H Glenelg Country School 12-13      -1    -4    +      3.28
   328 H Garrison Forest        10-11      -1    -3    +      2.18
   424 H Severn School          12- 7       5     2    +      2.52
   429 A John Carroll, MD       13- 9       4     1    +      2.27
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 84.07 Local Power Rank...........     7
 Local SOS Rating......... 72.74 Local SOS Rank.............     4
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.49 Local RPI Rank.............     8
 Championship Probability .    2.0 Championship Rank .......     5
 Local Quality Win Rating. 55.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     8
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.0
/