Region = MA    C/W D1           
   Nickname = A Colonials            Coach  =   Alicia Tinsley        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.3282471    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 408 A St. Peter-Marian       MA    C/W D2  ( 4-12, 61.0)    21- 3   
 413 H Westborough            MA    C/W D1  (18- 1, 94.7)     8-16   
 415 A Bromfield School       MA    C/W D2  (10-12, 81.6)    10- 8   
 418 H Littleton, MA          MA    C/W D2  (12- 7, 82.3)    14- 9   
 420 A Nipmuc                 MA    C/W D2  (11- 8, 74.3)    17- 6   
 422 A Minnechaug             MA    C/W D1  (16- 5, 90.2)     4-14   
 425 A Wachusett              MA    C/W D1  ( 9-10, 79.7)    11- 7   
 427 H Groton-Dunstable       MA    C/W D2  (17- 6, 91.4)     8-15   
 429 H Nashoba Regional       MA    C/W D1  ( 8- 9, 75.2)    17- 4   
 501 A Sharon, MA             MA    East D1 (15- 5, 88.1)    15-12   
 504 A Algonquin              MA    C/W D1  (12- 9, 87.7)     9-10  o
 509 H Bromfield School       MA    C/W D2  (10-12, 81.6)     9- 8   
 511 H Westborough            MA    C/W D1  (18- 1, 94.7)     4-10   
 514 A Leominster             MA    C/W D1  ( 5-10, 70.1)    17- 4   
 515 A Northbridge            MA    C/W D2  ( 7-11, 67.3)    18- 4   
 518 H Wachusett              MA    C/W D1  ( 9-10, 79.7)    11- 8   
 520 H Grafton Memorial, MA   MA    C/W D2  (14- 5, 82.7)    12- 6   
 522 A Groton-Dunstable       MA    C/W D2  (17- 6, 91.4)     5-10   
 524 H Algonquin              MA    C/W D1  (12- 9, 87.7)    13-12   
 531 H East Longmeadow        MA    C/W D1  ( 9- 7, 82.2)    11- 9   
 603 A Minnechaug             MA    C/W D1  (16- 5, 90.2)     9-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 A St. Peter-Marian       21- 3      18    24           0.00
   413 H Westborough             8-16      -8    -8           0.20
   415 A Bromfield School       10- 8       2     3          -1.45
   418 H Littleton, MA          14- 9       5     4           0.82
   420 A Nipmuc                 17- 6      11    10           0.00
   422 A Minnechaug              4-14     -10    -5    --    -4.88
   425 A Wachusett              11- 7       4     5          -1.40
   427 H Groton-Dunstable        8-15      -7    -4    -     -2.08
   429 H Nashoba Regional       17- 4      13    11           0.00
   501 A Sharon, MA             15-12       3    -2    ++     6.00
   504 A Algonquin               9-10  o   -1    -2           1.62
   509 H Bromfield School        9- 8       1     4    -     -3.89
   511 H Westborough             4-10      -6    -8    +      2.20
   514 A Leominster             17- 4      13    14           0.00
   515 A Northbridge            18- 4      14    17           0.00
   518 H Wachusett              11- 8       3     6    -     -3.84
   520 H Grafton Memorial, MA   12- 6       6     3    +      2.21
   522 A Groton-Dunstable        5-10      -5    -6           1.36
   524 H Algonquin              13-12       1    -1    +      2.19
   531 H East Longmeadow        11- 9       2     4    -     -2.33
   603 A Minnechaug              9-17      -8    -5    -     -2.88

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   422 A Minnechaug              4-14     -10    -5    --    -4.88
   427 H Groton-Dunstable        8-15      -7    -4    -     -2.08
   509 H Bromfield School        9- 8       1     4    -     -3.89
   518 H Wachusett              11- 8       3     6    -     -3.84
   531 H East Longmeadow        11- 9       2     4    -     -2.33
   603 A Minnechaug              9-17      -8    -5    -     -2.88

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   501 A Sharon, MA             15-12       3    -2    ++     6.00
   511 H Westborough             4-10      -6    -8    +      2.20
   520 H Grafton Memorial, MA   12- 6       6     3    +      2.21
   524 H Algonquin              13-12       1    -1    +      2.19
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.78 Local Power Rank...........    45
 Local SOS Rating......... 63.24 Local SOS Rank.............    45
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.62 Local RPI Rank.............    22
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   172
 Local Quality Win Rating.-75.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    62
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.7
/