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Region = MA C/W D1 Nickname = A Colonials Coach = Alicia TinsleyGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 88.3282471 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 408 A St. Peter-Marian MA C/W D2 ( 4-12, 61.0) 21- 3 413 H Westborough MA C/W D1 (18- 1, 94.7) 8-16 415 A Bromfield School MA C/W D2 (10-12, 81.6) 10- 8 418 H Littleton, MA MA C/W D2 (12- 7, 82.3) 14- 9 420 A Nipmuc MA C/W D2 (11- 8, 74.3) 17- 6 422 A Minnechaug MA C/W D1 (16- 5, 90.2) 4-14 425 A Wachusett MA C/W D1 ( 9-10, 79.7) 11- 7 427 H Groton-Dunstable MA C/W D2 (17- 6, 91.4) 8-15 429 H Nashoba Regional MA C/W D1 ( 8- 9, 75.2) 17- 4 501 A Sharon, MA MA East D1 (15- 5, 88.1) 15-12 504 A Algonquin MA C/W D1 (12- 9, 87.7) 9-10 o 509 H Bromfield School MA C/W D2 (10-12, 81.6) 9- 8 511 H Westborough MA C/W D1 (18- 1, 94.7) 4-10 514 A Leominster MA C/W D1 ( 5-10, 70.1) 17- 4 515 A Northbridge MA C/W D2 ( 7-11, 67.3) 18- 4 518 H Wachusett MA C/W D1 ( 9-10, 79.7) 11- 8 520 H Grafton Memorial, MA MA C/W D2 (14- 5, 82.7) 12- 6 522 A Groton-Dunstable MA C/W D2 (17- 6, 91.4) 5-10 524 H Algonquin MA C/W D1 (12- 9, 87.7) 13-12 531 H East Longmeadow MA C/W D1 ( 9- 7, 82.2) 11- 9 603 A Minnechaug MA C/W D1 (16- 5, 90.2) 9-17PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 408 A St. Peter-Marian 21- 3 18 24 0.00 413 H Westborough 8-16 -8 -8 0.20 415 A Bromfield School 10- 8 2 3 -1.45 418 H Littleton, MA 14- 9 5 4 0.82 420 A Nipmuc 17- 6 11 10 0.00 422 A Minnechaug 4-14 -10 -5 -- -4.88 425 A Wachusett 11- 7 4 5 -1.40 427 H Groton-Dunstable 8-15 -7 -4 - -2.08 429 H Nashoba Regional 17- 4 13 11 0.00 501 A Sharon, MA 15-12 3 -2 ++ 6.00 504 A Algonquin 9-10 o -1 -2 1.62 509 H Bromfield School 9- 8 1 4 - -3.89 511 H Westborough 4-10 -6 -8 + 2.20 514 A Leominster 17- 4 13 14 0.00 515 A Northbridge 18- 4 14 17 0.00 518 H Wachusett 11- 8 3 6 - -3.84 520 H Grafton Memorial, MA 12- 6 6 3 + 2.21 522 A Groton-Dunstable 5-10 -5 -6 1.36 524 H Algonquin 13-12 1 -1 + 2.19 531 H East Longmeadow 11- 9 2 4 - -2.33 603 A Minnechaug 9-17 -8 -5 - -2.88UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 422 A Minnechaug 4-14 -10 -5 -- -4.88 427 H Groton-Dunstable 8-15 -7 -4 - -2.08 509 H Bromfield School 9- 8 1 4 - -3.89 518 H Wachusett 11- 8 3 6 - -3.84 531 H East Longmeadow 11- 9 2 4 - -2.33 603 A Minnechaug 9-17 -8 -5 - -2.88OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 501 A Sharon, MA 15-12 3 -2 ++ 6.00 511 H Westborough 4-10 -6 -8 + 2.20 520 H Grafton Memorial, MA 12- 6 6 3 + 2.21 524 H Algonquin 13-12 1 -1 + 2.19/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 85.78 Local Power Rank........... 45 Local SOS Rating......... 63.24 Local SOS Rank............. 45 Local RPI Rating......... 0.62 Local RPI Rank............. 22 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 172 Local Quality Win Rating.-75.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 62 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.6 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.1 Wins/Losses(all )...... 14- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.4 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -7.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -6.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -1.7