Region = MD    IAAM A           
   Nickname = D Admirals             Coach  =   Erin McCarthy         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.5243912    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 309 A Elizabeth Seton        DC    WCAC    ( 3-11, 72.6)    13- 0   
 317 A Glenelg Country School MD    IAAM A  (15- 5, 89.0)     6-12   
 321 H Notre Dame Prep, MD    MD    IAAM A  (19- 3, 94.4)     5-14   
 323 A Charlotte Catholic     NC    C11     (17- 5, 94.1)    14- 4   
 325 A Ardrey Kell            NC    C11     (13- 6, 91.1)    12- 2   
 328 H John Carroll, MD       MD    IAAM A  ( 5-13, 81.7)     6-15   
 330 A Maryvale Prep          MD    IAAM A  ( 5-13, 79.0)     8- 9   
 331 H Lassiter               GA    6A-7A   (17- 4, 96.4)     5- 8   
 404 H Mount de Sales, MD     MD    IAAM A  ( 3-15, 75.3)    13-12   
 406 A Archbishop Spalding    MD    IAAM A  (13- 5, 87.1)     9-10   
 408 H Severna Park           MD    4A-3A   (17- 3, 93.2)     7-13   
 411 H Roland Park Country    MD    IAAM A  (10- 7, 86.7)    13-12  o
 413 A Broadneck              MD    4A-3A   ( 4- 9, 79.5)     9- 8   
 415 A South River            MD    4A-3A   (10- 6, 87.6)    12-10   
 418 A McDonogh School        MD    IAAM A  (22- 0, 99.9)     5-15   
 421 H Bryn Mawr SG           MD    IAAM A  ( 8- 9, 83.1)    10-11   
 424 A St. Paul's SG, MD      MD    IAAM A  ( 8- 9, 84.1)     7-12   
 427 H St. Mary's, MD         MD    IAAM A  ( 6-11, 79.6)    13- 8   
 501 A Garrison Forest        MD    IAAM A  (12- 6, 87.9)    12-10   
 503 H Queen Anne's County    MD    2A-1A   (15- 3, 90.6)    12- 7   
 505 A Bryn Mawr SG           MD    IAAM A  ( 8- 9, 83.1)     6- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   309 A Elizabeth Seton        13- 0      13     8          n/a  
   317 A Glenelg Country School  6-12      -6    -7           1.41
   321 H Notre Dame Prep, MD     5-14      -9   -11           1.00
   323 A Charlotte Catholic     14- 4      10   -12          n/a  
   325 A Ardrey Kell            12- 2      10    -9          n/a  
   328 H John Carroll, MD        6-15      -9     1    ---  -10.23
   330 A Maryvale Prep           8- 9      -1     2    -     -3.59
   331 H Lassiter                5- 8      -3   -13          n/a  
   404 H Mount de Sales, MD     13-12       1     7    ---   -6.62
   406 A Archbishop Spalding     9-10      -1    -5    ++     4.51
   408 H Severna Park            7-13      -6   -10          n/a  
   411 H Roland Park Country    13-12  o    1    -3    ++     4.79
   413 A Broadneck               9- 8       1     1          n/a  
   415 A South River            12-10       2    -6          n/a  
   418 A McDonogh School         5-15     -10   -18           0.00
   421 H Bryn Mawr SG           10-11      -1     0          -0.83
   424 A St. Paul's SG, MD       7-12      -5    -2    -     -2.52
   427 H St. Mary's, MD         13- 8       5     3           1.68
   501 A Garrison Forest        12-10       2    -6    +++    8.32
   503 H Queen Anne's County    12- 7       5    -7          n/a  
   505 A Bryn Mawr SG            6- 8      -2    -1          -0.51

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 H John Carroll, MD        6-15      -9     1    ---  -10.23
   404 H Mount de Sales, MD     13-12       1     7    ---   -6.62
   330 A Maryvale Prep           8- 9      -1     2    -     -3.59
   424 A St. Paul's SG, MD       7-12      -5    -2    -     -2.52

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 A Charlotte Catholic     14- 4      10   -12    +++        
   325 A Ardrey Kell            12- 2      10    -9    +++        
   331 H Lassiter                5- 8      -3   -13    +++        
   415 A South River            12-10       2    -6    +++        
   501 A Garrison Forest        12-10       2    -6    +++    8.32
   503 H Queen Anne's County    12- 7       5    -7    +++        
   406 A Archbishop Spalding     9-10      -1    -5    ++     4.51
   408 H Severna Park            7-13      -6   -10    ++         
   411 H Roland Park Country    13-12  o    1    -3    ++     4.79
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.25 Local Power Rank...........     9
 Local SOS Rating......... 70.38 Local SOS Rank.............    12
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.44 Local RPI Rank.............     9
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    13
 Local Quality Win Rating.  0.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    10
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.7
/