Region = NY D  Sec 2            
   Nickname = Y Black Horses         Coach  =   Erin Lloyd            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.1213379    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 408 H Ballston Spa           NY B  Sec 2   ( 8- 7, 84.5)    13-12  o
 412 H Queensbury             NY B  Sec 2   (12- 2, 99.9)     5-16   
 424 H Johnstown              NY D  Sec 2   ( 9- 7, 75.2)    18- 3   
 426 A Queensbury             NY B  Sec 2   (12- 2, 99.9)     6-19   
 510 A Johnstown              NY D  Sec 2   ( 9- 7, 75.2)    19- 4   
 530 N Millbrook HS, NY       NY D  Sec 9   (13- 2, 99.0)    10-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 H Ballston Spa           13-12  o    1     2          -1.37
   412 H Queensbury              5-16     -11   -13           0.00
   424 H Johnstown              18- 3      15    11           0.00
   426 A Queensbury              6-19     -13   -13           0.00
   510 A Johnstown              19- 4      15    11           0.00
   530 N Millbrook HS, NY       10-15      -5   -12          n/a  

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   530 N Millbrook HS, NY       10-15      -5   -12    ++         
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.58 Local Power Rank...........    10
 Local SOS Rating......... 76.82 Local SOS Rank.............     3
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.61 Local RPI Rank.............     4
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    24
 Local Quality Win Rating. 25.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    12
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.0
/