Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Flaming Arrows       Coach  =   Alexis Curcio         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.1329956    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 321 H Half Hollow Hills      NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 7, 86.4)    18- 8   
 323 A Kings Park             NY B  Sec 11  ( 3-11, 75.7)    14- 5   
 329 A West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (10- 8, 89.3)     9- 8 2o
 331 A Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 83.8)    10- 6   
 404 H Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (11- 6, 91.5)    10-13   
 406 H Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-10, 74.0)    14- 4   
 407 A Northport              NY A  Sec 11  (13- 6, 94.3)     3- 8   
 410 H Walt Whitman, NY       NY A  Sec 11  ( 1-10, 72.9)    16- 7   
 418 A Riverhead              NY A  Sec 11  (10- 7, 88.5)    12-10   
 420 H Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (17- 1, 99.5)     8-12   
 425 A Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  ( 6- 9, 85.3)    13-11   
 428 A Patchogue-Medford      NY A  Sec 11  ( 6- 8, 81.1)    12- 6   
 502 A Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  (17- 4, 99.9)    11- 8   
 504 H Huntington             NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 8, 86.9)    10- 9   
 508 H Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  (15- 3, 96.0)    11-13   
 510 H Copiague               NY A  Sec 11  ( 2-13, 66.7)    11- 4   
 517 H Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  ( 6- 9, 85.3)    12-11   
 522 A Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  (17- 4, 99.9)     5- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 H Half Hollow Hills      18- 8      10     5    ++     4.79
   323 A Kings Park             14- 5       9    15          -1.00
   329 A West Islip              9- 8 2o    1     1          -0.77
   331 A Bay Shore              10- 6       4     7    -     -3.34
   404 H Smithtown West         10-13      -3     0    -     -3.16
   406 H Lindenhurst            14- 4      10    17           0.00
   407 A Northport               3- 8      -5    -3          -1.75
   410 H Walt Whitman, NY       16- 7       9    18          -1.00
   418 A Riverhead              12-10       2     2          -0.55
   420 H Ward Melville           8-12      -4    -7    +      3.91
   425 A Sachem East            13-11       2     5    -     -3.75
   428 A Patchogue-Medford      12- 6       6     9    -     -3.96
   502 A Middle Country         11- 8       3    -8    +++   11.81
   504 H Huntington             10- 9       1     4    -     -3.73
   508 H Smithtown East         11-13      -2    -4    +      2.37
   510 H Copiague               11- 4       7    24    -     -3.00
   517 H Sachem East            12-11       1     6    --    -5.30
   522 A Middle Country          5- 9      -4    -8    ++     4.81

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   517 H Sachem East            12-11       1     6    --    -5.30
   331 A Bay Shore              10- 6       4     7    -     -3.34
   404 H Smithtown West         10-13      -3     0    -     -3.16
   425 A Sachem East            13-11       2     5    -     -3.75
   428 A Patchogue-Medford      12- 6       6     9    -     -3.96
   504 H Huntington             10- 9       1     4    -     -3.73
   510 H Copiague               11- 4       7    24    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   502 A Middle Country         11- 8       3    -8    +++   11.81
   321 H Half Hollow Hills      18- 8      10     5    ++     4.79
   522 A Middle Country          5- 9      -4    -8    ++     4.81
   420 H Ward Melville           8-12      -4    -7    +      3.91
   508 H Smithtown East         11-13      -2    -4    +      2.37
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 91.36 Local Power Rank...........    11
 Local SOS Rating......... 71.16 Local SOS Rank.............     9
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.60 Local RPI Rank.............    10
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    41
 Local Quality Win Rating.100.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     7
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -1.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  7- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.3
/