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Region = NY A Sec 11 Nickname = Y Flaming Arrows Coach = Alexis CurcioGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 92.1329956 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 321 H Half Hollow Hills NY A Sec 11 ( 9- 7, 86.4) 18- 8 323 A Kings Park NY B Sec 11 ( 3-11, 75.7) 14- 5 329 A West Islip NY A Sec 11 (10- 8, 89.3) 9- 8 2o 331 A Bay Shore NY A Sec 11 ( 6-10, 83.8) 10- 6 404 H Smithtown West NY A Sec 11 (11- 6, 91.5) 10-13 406 H Lindenhurst NY A Sec 11 ( 5-10, 74.0) 14- 4 407 A Northport NY A Sec 11 (13- 6, 94.3) 3- 8 410 H Walt Whitman, NY NY A Sec 11 ( 1-10, 72.9) 16- 7 418 A Riverhead NY A Sec 11 (10- 7, 88.5) 12-10 420 H Ward Melville NY A Sec 11 (17- 1, 99.5) 8-12 425 A Sachem East NY A Sec 11 ( 6- 9, 85.3) 13-11 428 A Patchogue-Medford NY A Sec 11 ( 6- 8, 81.1) 12- 6 502 A Middle Country NY A Sec 11 (17- 4, 99.9) 11- 8 504 H Huntington NY A Sec 11 ( 7- 8, 86.9) 10- 9 508 H Smithtown East NY A Sec 11 (15- 3, 96.0) 11-13 510 H Copiague NY A Sec 11 ( 2-13, 66.7) 11- 4 517 H Sachem East NY A Sec 11 ( 6- 9, 85.3) 12-11 522 A Middle Country NY A Sec 11 (17- 4, 99.9) 5- 9PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 321 H Half Hollow Hills 18- 8 10 5 ++ 4.79 323 A Kings Park 14- 5 9 15 -1.00 329 A West Islip 9- 8 2o 1 1 -0.77 331 A Bay Shore 10- 6 4 7 - -3.34 404 H Smithtown West 10-13 -3 0 - -3.16 406 H Lindenhurst 14- 4 10 17 0.00 407 A Northport 3- 8 -5 -3 -1.75 410 H Walt Whitman, NY 16- 7 9 18 -1.00 418 A Riverhead 12-10 2 2 -0.55 420 H Ward Melville 8-12 -4 -7 + 3.91 425 A Sachem East 13-11 2 5 - -3.75 428 A Patchogue-Medford 12- 6 6 9 - -3.96 502 A Middle Country 11- 8 3 -8 +++ 11.81 504 H Huntington 10- 9 1 4 - -3.73 508 H Smithtown East 11-13 -2 -4 + 2.37 510 H Copiague 11- 4 7 24 - -3.00 517 H Sachem East 12-11 1 6 -- -5.30 522 A Middle Country 5- 9 -4 -8 ++ 4.81UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 517 H Sachem East 12-11 1 6 -- -5.30 331 A Bay Shore 10- 6 4 7 - -3.34 404 H Smithtown West 10-13 -3 0 - -3.16 425 A Sachem East 13-11 2 5 - -3.75 428 A Patchogue-Medford 12- 6 6 9 - -3.96 504 H Huntington 10- 9 1 4 - -3.73 510 H Copiague 11- 4 7 24 - -3.00OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 502 A Middle Country 11- 8 3 -8 +++ 11.81 321 H Half Hollow Hills 18- 8 10 5 ++ 4.79 522 A Middle Country 5- 9 -4 -8 ++ 4.81 420 H Ward Melville 8-12 -4 -7 + 3.91 508 H Smithtown East 11-13 -2 -4 + 2.37/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 91.36 Local Power Rank........... 11 Local SOS Rating......... 71.16 Local SOS Rank............. 9 Local RPI Rating......... 0.60 Local RPI Rank............. 10 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 41 Local Quality Win Rating.100.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 7 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.1 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 13- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -1.8 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -2.5 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 7- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 0.2 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.3