Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Flaming Arrows       Coach  =   Allison Bourgal       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.5816498    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 329 A Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  (15- 3, 96.0)     9-16   
 331 A Commack                NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 8, 84.3)     8- 5   
 404 H Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  (17- 4, 99.9)     9-22   
 406 H Brentwood, NY          NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 75.0)    15- 2   
 410 H William Floyd          NY A  Sec 11  ( 1-12, 68.9)    15- 1   
 412 A Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (17- 1, 99.5)     7-17   
 418 A Half Hollow Hills      NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 7, 86.4)    13-15   
 420 H Northport              NY A  Sec 11  (13- 6, 94.3)     7-16   
 425 H Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  (13- 5, 91.4)    11-13   
 428 A North Babylon          NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-11, 73.6)    14- 1   
 502 A Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (11- 6, 91.5)    12-13   
 504 H Connetquot             NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 7, 84.3)     9- 8   
 508 H West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (10- 8, 89.3)     8-11   
 510 A Longwood               NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 8, 77.6)    16- 7   
 517 A Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  (13- 5, 91.4)    11-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 A Smithtown East          9-16      -7   -10    +      3.00
   331 A Commack                 8- 5       3     0    +      2.20
   404 H Middle Country          9-22     -13   -14           0.00
   406 H Brentwood, NY          15- 2      13    10           0.00
   410 H William Floyd          15- 1      14    16           0.00
   412 A Ward Melville           7-17     -10   -14           0.00
   418 A Half Hollow Hills      13-15      -2    -1          -0.63
   420 H Northport               7-16      -9    -8          -0.27
   425 H Sachem North           11-13      -2    -5    +      3.75
   428 A North Babylon          14- 1      13    11           0.00
   502 A Smithtown West         12-13      -1    -6    ++     5.42
   504 H Connetquot              9- 8       1     1          -0.29
   508 H West Islip              8-11      -3    -3           0.71
   510 A Longwood               16- 7       9     7           1.53
   517 A Sachem North           11-12      -1    -6    ++     5.30

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   502 A Smithtown West         12-13      -1    -6    ++     5.42
   517 A Sachem North           11-12      -1    -6    ++     5.30
   329 A Smithtown East          9-16      -7   -10    +      3.00
   331 A Commack                 8- 5       3     0    +      2.20
   425 H Sachem North           11-13      -2    -5    +      3.75
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.33 Local Power Rank...........    20
 Local SOS Rating......... 71.86 Local SOS Rank.............     8
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.52 Local RPI Rank.............    19
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    40
 Local Quality Win Rating.-65.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    25
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.7
/