Region = VA 4A North            
   Nickname = A Phoenix              Coach  =   Jennifer Davis        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   83.0316544    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 324 A Potomac Falls          VA 5A North   (18- 1, 92.0)     6-13   
 328 A Liberty-Bealeton, VA   VA 4A South   ( 9- 4, 74.4)    21-11   
 329 A Kettle Run             VA 4A North   (11- 4, 78.4)    12- 8   
 404 A John Champe            VA 4A North   ( 4-11, 74.7)    14-12   
 405 H Fauquier               VA 4A North   ( 3-10, 68.2)    22-15   
 407 A Park View              VA 4A North   ( 1-12, 58.0)    20- 4   
 418 H Freedom, South Riding  VA 4A North   (10- 6, 84.3)    11-10  o
 421 A Dominion               VA 4A North   (12- 6, 88.0)     6-24   
 425 H George Mason           VA 4A North   (18- 2, 94.6)     4-23   
 428 A Heritage, VA           VA 4A North   ( 0-12, 64.8)    16-13   
 502 H Woodgrove              VA 4A North   (10- 8, 83.8)    12-17   
 505 A Loudoun County         VA 4A North   ( 8- 7, 79.8)    10-14   
 509 A Loudoun Valley         VA 4A North   ( 2-13, 69.6)    25-14   
 512 H Riverside, VA          VA 4A North   (18- 1, 94.8)     2-16   
 519 A Dominion               VA 4A North   (12- 6, 88.0)     8-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 A Potomac Falls           6-13      -7   -14    +      3.00
   328 A Liberty-Bealeton, VA   21-11      10     3    +++    6.97
   329 A Kettle Run             12- 8       4     0    ++     4.97
   404 A John Champe            14-12       2     2          -0.82
   405 H Fauquier               22-15       7    11    -     -3.00
   407 A Park View              20- 4      16    19           0.00
   418 H Freedom, South Riding  11-10  o    1    -4    ++     5.49
   421 A Dominion                6-24     -18   -10           0.00
   425 H George Mason            4-23     -19   -14           0.00
   428 A Heritage, VA           16-13       3    12    ---   -7.00
   502 H Woodgrove              12-17      -5    -4          -0.97
   505 A Loudoun County         10-14      -4    -2          -1.63
   509 A Loudoun Valley         25-14      11     7    +      2.16
   512 H Riverside, VA           2-16     -14   -15           0.00
   519 A Dominion                8-16      -8   -10    +      2.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   428 A Heritage, VA           16-13       3    12    ---   -7.00
   405 H Fauquier               22-15       7    11    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 A Liberty-Bealeton, VA   21-11      10     3    +++    6.97
   329 A Kettle Run             12- 8       4     0    ++     4.97
   418 H Freedom, South Riding  11-10  o    1    -4    ++     5.49
   324 A Potomac Falls           6-13      -7   -14    +      3.00
   509 A Loudoun Valley         25-14      11     7    +      2.16
   519 A Dominion                8-16      -8   -10    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 78.62 Local Power Rank...........    59
 Local SOS Rating......... 58.43 Local SOS Rank.............    38
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.52 Local RPI Rank.............    52
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   113
 Local Quality Win Rating.-85.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    66
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......   14.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -14.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -16.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -13.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.7
/