Region = PA    LVL              
   Nickname = A Bears                Coach  =   Toni Bush             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   73.1639633    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 324 H Quakertown             PA    AAA     ( 0-14, 64.1)    19- 5   
 328 H Freedom, PA            PA    LVL     ( 9- 2, 79.4)     7-11   
 330 H Liberty, PA            PA    LVL     ( 1-16, 58.5)    16- 6   
 404 A Easton Area, PA        PA    LVL     ( 9- 4, 82.1)     9-22   
 408 A Nazareth Area HS       PA    LVL     ( 8- 8, 74.2)     8-12   
 412 A Emmaus                 PA    LVL     (14- 7, 80.5)     8-21   
 418 H Northampton, PA        PA    LVL     ( 4-13, 65.6)    20-15   
 420 A Allentown Central Cath PA    LVL     ( 8-10, 67.5)    11-14   
 421 A Saucon Valley          PA    Indep   ( 7- 3, 79.4)     8-15   
 424 H Parkland               PA    LVL     (18- 5, 84.8)     9-20   
 426 H Phillipsburg           NJ    N1 Grp4 ( 1-14, 65.2)    16-12   
 428 H Moravian Academy       PA    Indep   ( 4- 5, 74.4)    21-22   
 501 A Freedom, PA            PA    LVL     ( 9- 2, 79.4)     9-21   
 503 A Northampton, PA        PA    LVL     ( 4-13, 65.6)    15-18   
 505 A Southern Lehigh        PA    Indep   ( 6-11, 73.7)    14-17   
 508 H Nazareth Area HS       PA    LVL     ( 8- 8, 74.2)    16-15   
 509 H Delaware Valley HS, PA PA    WVC     ( 3- 5, 76.7)    18-12   
 511 A Crestwood, PA          PA    WVC     ( 3- 2, 72.7)    21- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 H Quakertown             19- 5      14     5          n/a  
   328 H Freedom, PA             7-11      -4    -9    ++     5.59
   330 H Liberty, PA            16- 6      10    11           0.00
   404 A Easton Area, PA         9-22     -13   -13           0.00
   408 A Nazareth Area HS        8-12      -4    -5           1.90
   412 A Emmaus                  8-21     -13   -12           0.00
   418 H Northampton, PA        20-15       5     4           0.78
   420 A Allentown Central Cath 11-14      -3     0    -     -3.75
   421 A Saucon Valley           8-15      -7   -11    +      3.00
   424 H Parkland                9-20     -11   -14           0.00
   426 H Phillipsburg           16-12       4     5          n/a  
   428 H Moravian Academy       21-22      -1    -4    +      3.58
   501 A Freedom, PA             9-21     -12   -11           0.00
   503 A Northampton, PA        15-18      -3     2    --    -5.65
   505 A Southern Lehigh        14-17      -3    -5    +      2.40
   508 H Nazareth Area HS       16-15       1    -4    ++     5.32
   509 H Delaware Valley HS, PA 18-12       6    -7          n/a  
   511 A Crestwood, PA          21- 8      13    -4          n/a  

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   503 A Northampton, PA        15-18      -3     2    --    -5.65
   420 A Allentown Central Cath 11-14      -3     0    -     -3.75

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   509 H Delaware Valley HS, PA 18-12       6    -7    +++        
   511 A Crestwood, PA          21- 8      13    -4    +++        
   324 H Quakertown             19- 5      14     5    ++         
   328 H Freedom, PA             7-11      -4    -9    ++     5.59
   508 H Nazareth Area HS       16-15       1    -4    ++     5.32
   421 A Saucon Valley           8-15      -7   -11    +      3.00
   428 H Moravian Academy       21-22      -1    -4    +      3.58
   505 A Southern Lehigh        14-17      -3    -5    +      2.40
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 69.07 Local Power Rank...........    30
 Local SOS Rating......... 46.69 Local SOS Rank.............    33
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.42 Local RPI Rank.............    37
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    43
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    52
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......   14.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    6.7
/