Conf =  FL                        Region = NY D  Sec 5            
   Nickname = Y Mustangs             Coach  =   Jon MacKerchar        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.6976929    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 331 H Lake Shore             NY C  Sec 6   (15- 3, 99.9)    11-13   
 405 A Mynderse Academy       NY D  Sec 5   (13- 4, 84.0)    12- 7   
 410 H Midlakes               NY D  Sec 5   ( 2- 8, 70.8)    21- 4   
 412 H Palmyra-Macedon, NY    NY D  Sec 5   (17- 4, 93.2)     7-12   
 419 H Webster Schroeder      NY B  Sec 5   ( 9- 9, 84.2)     7-16   
 422 H Ithaca                 NY A  Sec 4   (12- 5, 95.1)     8-12   
 427 H Waterloo               NY D  Sec 5   (15- 3, 87.1)     7-11   
 429 H Aquinas Institute, NY  NY D  Sec 5   (13- 5, 85.5)     5- 3   
 501 H Newark, NY             NY C  Sec 5   ( 1-10, 66.6)    13- 3   
 503 A Gananda                NY D  Sec 5   ( 6-12, 71.4)    20- 3   
 505 H Marcus Whitman         NY D  Sec 5   ( 8- 6, 80.0)    12- 4   
 509 A Geneva                 NY C  Sec 5   ( 5-11, 72.3)    20- 5   
 512 A Aquinas Institute, NY  NY D  Sec 5   (13- 5, 85.5)     7- 9   
 513 A Churchville-Chili      NY B  Sec 5   ( 5-10, 81.6)    12- 9   
 515 A East Rochester         NY D  Sec 5   ( 0-10, 65.3)    18- 5   
 517 A Wayne, NY              NY C  Sec 5   ( 2- 9, 69.9)    19-10   
 523 H Mynderse Academy       NY D  Sec 5   (13- 4, 84.0)    16- 9   
 526 N Waterloo               NY D  Sec 5   (15- 3, 87.1)    13- 6   
 530 N Palmyra-Macedon, NY    NY D  Sec 5   (17- 4, 93.2)     5-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 H Lake Shore             11-13      -2   -13          n/a  
   405 A Mynderse Academy       12- 7       5     1    +      3.74
   410 H Midlakes               21- 4      17    16           0.00
   412 H Palmyra-Macedon, NY     7-12      -5    -6           1.35
   419 H Webster Schroeder       7-16      -9     2    ---  -11.66
   422 H Ithaca                  8-12      -4    -8          n/a  
   427 H Waterloo                7-11      -4     0    -     -3.80
   429 H Aquinas Institute, NY   5- 3       2     1           0.65
   501 H Newark, NY             13- 3      10    20           0.00
   503 A Gananda                20- 3      17    13           0.00
   505 H Marcus Whitman         12- 4       8     6           1.18
   509 A Geneva                 20- 5      15    13           0.00
   512 A Aquinas Institute, NY   7- 9      -2     0          -1.79
   513 A Churchville-Chili      12- 9       3     3          -0.75
   515 A East Rochester         18- 5      13    19           0.00
   517 A Wayne, NY              19-10       9    15          -1.00
   523 H Mynderse Academy       16- 9       7     2    ++     4.19
   526 N Waterloo               13- 6       7     0    +++    7.98
   530 N Palmyra-Macedon, NY     5-16     -11    -7    -     -2.87

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   419 H Webster Schroeder       7-16      -9     2    ---  -11.66
   427 H Waterloo                7-11      -4     0    -     -3.80
   530 N Palmyra-Macedon, NY     5-16     -11    -7    -     -2.87

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 H Lake Shore             11-13      -2   -13    +++        
   526 N Waterloo               13- 6       7     0    +++    7.98
   422 H Ithaca                  8-12      -4    -8    ++         
   523 H Mynderse Academy       16- 9       7     2    ++     4.19
   405 A Mynderse Academy       12- 7       5     1    +      3.74
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.08 Local Power Rank...........    13
 Local SOS Rating......... 62.39 Local SOS Rank.............    21
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.56 Local RPI Rank.............     8
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......     9
 Local Quality Win Rating. 30.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    12
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.0
/