Region = NY A  Sec 5            
   Nickname = Y Patriots             Coach  =   Wayne Smith           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.8011322    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 329 A Brighton, NY           NY B  Sec 5   (16- 1, 97.4)     6-12   
 401 H Irondequoit            NY B  Sec 5   ( 6-10, 84.4)     9- 6   
 403 H Webster Schroeder      NY B  Sec 5   ( 9- 9, 84.2)    11- 6   
 405 H Brockport              NY B  Sec 5   ( 0-10, 71.8)    15- 4   
 406 H Baldwinsville          NY A  Sec 3   (10- 8, 92.4)     7- 3   
 410 A Rush-Henrietta         NY A  Sec 5   (10- 7, 90.4)     7- 6 4o
 421 H Honeoye Falls-Lima     NY C  Sec 5   (11-10, 89.0)    11- 5   
 424 A Churchville-Chili      NY B  Sec 5   ( 5-10, 81.6)    13- 6   
 426 H Hilton                 NY B  Sec 5   ( 4-11, 78.2)    17- 4   
 503 A Olympia-Arcadia        NY B  Sec 5   ( 1- 7, 72.7)    16- 3   
 504 A Canandaigua Academy    NY B  Sec 5   (16- 5, 93.5)     6-11   
 508 H Gates-Chili            NY B  Sec 5   ( 0- 8, 67.2)    22- 2   
 510 A Victor                 NY B  Sec 5   ( 7-10, 87.0)    10- 3   
 512 A Palmyra-Macedon, NY    NY D  Sec 5   (17- 4, 93.2)     7-18   
 515 H Fairport               NY A  Sec 5   ( 9- 8, 88.9)    10-11   
 517 A Skaneateles            NY D  Sec 3   (18- 4, 97.7)     5-11   
 527 N Rush-Henrietta         NY A  Sec 5   (10- 7, 90.4)    10- 5   
 531 N Pittsford              NY A  Sec 5   (20- 1, 99.9)     3- 6   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 A Brighton, NY            6-12      -6    -6           0.64
   401 H Irondequoit             9- 6       3     7    --    -4.90
   403 H Webster Schroeder      11- 6       5     8    -     -3.14
   405 H Brockport              15- 4      11    20           0.00
   406 H Baldwinsville           7- 3       4     0          n/a  
   410 A Rush-Henrietta          7- 6 4o    1     0           0.58
   421 H Honeoye Falls-Lima     11- 5       6     3    +      2.70
   424 A Churchville-Chili      13- 6       7     9    -     -2.22
   426 H Hilton                 17- 4      13    14           0.00
   503 A Olympia-Arcadia        16- 3      13    18           0.00
   504 A Canandaigua Academy     6-11      -5    -2    -     -2.30
   508 H Gates-Chili            22- 2      20    25           0.00
   510 A Victor                 10- 3       7     3    +      3.18
   512 A Palmyra-Macedon, NY     7-18     -11    -2    ---   -7.57
   515 H Fairport               10-11      -1     3    --    -4.42
   517 A Skaneateles             5-11      -6    -6          n/a  
   527 N Rush-Henrietta         10- 5       5     1    +      3.80
   531 N Pittsford               3- 6      -3    -8    ++     5.35

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   512 A Palmyra-Macedon, NY     7-18     -11    -2    ---   -7.57
   401 H Irondequoit             9- 6       3     7    --    -4.90
   515 H Fairport               10-11      -1     3    --    -4.42
   403 H Webster Schroeder      11- 6       5     8    -     -3.14
   424 A Churchville-Chili      13- 6       7     9    -     -2.22
   504 A Canandaigua Academy     6-11      -5    -2    -     -2.30

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 H Baldwinsville           7- 3       4     0    ++         
   531 N Pittsford               3- 6      -3    -8    ++     5.35
   421 H Honeoye Falls-Lima     11- 5       6     3    +      2.70
   510 A Victor                 10- 3       7     3    +      3.18
   527 N Rush-Henrietta         10- 5       5     1    +      3.80
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 91.55 Local Power Rank...........     6
 Local SOS Rating......... 71.31 Local SOS Rank.............    11
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.56 Local RPI Rank.............     9
 Championship Probability .    6.0 Championship Rank .......     5
 Local Quality Win Rating.110.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     6
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  7- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.3
/