Conf =  FL                        Region = NY D  Sec 5            
   Nickname = Y Red Raiders          Coach  =   E.J. Burse            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.0563507    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 N Churchville-Chili      NY B  Sec 5   ( 5-10, 81.6)    13- 6   
 404 H Midlakes               NY D  Sec 5   ( 2- 8, 70.8)    17- 2   
 410 H Marcus Whitman         NY D  Sec 5   ( 8- 6, 80.0)    16- 4   
 412 A Penn Yan Academy       NY D  Sec 5   (12- 7, 86.1)    12- 7   
 413 A Geneva                 NY C  Sec 5   ( 5-11, 72.3)    17- 4   
 418 A Honeoye Falls-Lima     NY C  Sec 5   (11-10, 89.0)     9-11   
 425 H Mynderse Academy       NY D  Sec 5   (13- 4, 84.0)    17- 5   
 429 A East Rochester         NY D  Sec 5   ( 0-10, 65.3)    16- 2   
 501 H Waterloo               NY D  Sec 5   (15- 3, 87.1)    14- 3   
 503 A Wayne, NY              NY C  Sec 5   ( 2- 9, 69.9)    18- 1   
 505 H Newark, NY             NY C  Sec 5   ( 1-10, 66.6)    16- 3   
 508 A Jordan-Elbridge        NY D  Sec 3   (10- 7, 85.7)    10- 9   
 509 A Gananda                NY D  Sec 5   ( 6-12, 71.4)    15- 2   
 512 H Penfield               NY A  Sec 5   (12- 6, 91.6)    18- 7   
 515 A Webster Thomas         NY B  Sec 5   (13- 7, 91.6)    10-13   
 518 A Canandaigua Academy    NY B  Sec 5   (16- 5, 93.5)     8- 9   
 523 H Livonia, NY            NY D  Sec 5   ( 4- 7, 72.1)    20- 3   
 526 N Aquinas Institute, NY  NY D  Sec 5   (13- 5, 85.5)    16- 9   
 530 N Penn Yan Academy       NY D  Sec 5   (12- 7, 86.1)    16- 5   
 603 N East Aurora            NY D  Sec 6   (14- 3, 87.0)    17- 0   
 609 N Skaneateles            NY D  Sec 3   (18- 4, 97.7)     7-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 N Churchville-Chili      13- 6       7    11    -     -3.00
   404 H Midlakes               17- 2      15    23           0.00
   410 H Marcus Whitman         16- 4      12    13           0.00
   412 A Penn Yan Academy       12- 7       5     6          -1.35
   413 A Geneva                 17- 4      13    20           0.00
   418 A Honeoye Falls-Lima      9-11      -2     3    --    -5.40
   425 H Mynderse Academy       17- 5      12     9           0.06
   429 A East Rochester         16- 2      14    27           0.00
   501 H Waterloo               14- 3      11     6    +      3.08
   503 A Wayne, NY              18- 1      17    22           0.00
   505 H Newark, NY             16- 3      13    27           0.00
   508 A Jordan-Elbridge        10- 9       1     6          n/a  
   509 A Gananda                15- 2      13    21           0.00
   512 H Penfield               18- 7      11     2    +++    7.57
   515 A Webster Thomas         10-13      -3     0    -     -3.86
   518 A Canandaigua Academy     8- 9      -1    -1           0.05
   523 H Livonia, NY            20- 3      17    21           0.00
   526 N Aquinas Institute, NY  16- 9       7     7          -0.70
   530 N Penn Yan Academy       16- 5      11     7    +      2.87
   603 N East Aurora            17- 0      17     6          n/a  
   609 N Skaneateles             7-10      -3    -4          n/a  

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   418 A Honeoye Falls-Lima      9-11      -2     3    --    -5.40
   508 A Jordan-Elbridge        10- 9       1     6    --         
   401 N Churchville-Chili      13- 6       7    11    -     -3.00
   515 A Webster Thomas         10-13      -3     0    -     -3.86

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   512 H Penfield               18- 7      11     2    +++    7.57
   501 H Waterloo               14- 3      11     6    +      3.08
   530 N Penn Yan Academy       16- 5      11     7    +      2.87
   603 N East Aurora            17- 0      17     6    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 93.20 Local Power Rank...........     4
 Local SOS Rating......... 61.70 Local SOS Rank.............    22
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.59 Local RPI Rank.............     4
 Championship Probability .    6.0 Championship Rank .......     4
 Local Quality Win Rating.115.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     5
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 17- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    8.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    1.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  8- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    6.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    8.3
/