Region = CT    Class L          
   Nickname = T Bears                Coach  =   Al Morgenthaler       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   79.3060608    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 404 A Staples                CT    Class L (12- 6, 88.1)     4-18   
 408 H Masuk                  CT    Class M ( 2- 7, 68.8)     9- 7   
 411 H New Canaan             CT    Class L (15- 6, 91.8)     6-18   
 415 H Weston, CT             CT    Class S ( 8- 3, 79.9)    12-14   
 418 H Wilton                 CT    Class L (13- 6, 90.2)     8-23   
 420 A St. Joseph, CT         CT    Class S (12- 8, 80.9)    11-12   
 422 A Bethel, CT             CT    Class M ( 1- 7, 64.3)    18- 9   
 424 H Fairfield Ludlowe      CT    Class L ( 9- 7, 82.9)     4-18   
 427 H Lauralton Hall         CT    Class M (11- 8, 80.1)    12-11 2o
 429 A Westhill, CT           CT    Class L ( 3-11, 69.6)    12- 5   
 502 H Greenwich HS, CT       CT    Class L (13- 4, 90.1)     7-18   
 506 A Danbury                CT    Class L ( 8- 8, 76.2)    13-12   
 509 A Fairfield Warde        CT    Class L (12- 6, 86.9)     7-18   
 510 H Darien                 CT    Class L (17- 3, 99.9)     6-22   
 515 A Brien McMahon          CT    Class L ( 4-12, 72.3)     9-10   
 517 H Trumbull               CT    Class L ( 8-10, 77.3)    12-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 A Staples                 4-18     -14   -14           0.00
   408 H Masuk                   9- 7       2     5    -     -3.48
   411 H New Canaan              6-18     -12   -17           0.00
   415 H Weston, CT             12-14      -2    -5    +      3.69
   418 H Wilton                  8-23     -15   -15           0.00
   420 A St. Joseph, CT         11-12      -1    -7    +++    6.56
   422 A Bethel, CT             18- 9       9     9          -0.04
   424 H Fairfield Ludlowe       4-18     -14    -8          -1.32
   427 H Lauralton Hall         12-11 2o    1    -5    +++    6.85
   429 A Westhill, CT           12- 5       7     3    +      3.22
   502 H Greenwich HS, CT        7-18     -11   -15           0.00
   506 A Danbury                13-12       1    -2    +      3.85
   509 A Fairfield Warde         7-18     -11   -13           0.00
   510 H Darien                  6-22     -16   -25           0.00
   515 A Brien McMahon           9-10      -1     1    -     -2.07
   517 H Trumbull               12-15      -3    -3           0.09

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 H Masuk                   9- 7       2     5    -     -3.48
   515 A Brien McMahon           9-10      -1     1    -     -2.07

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   420 A St. Joseph, CT         11-12      -1    -7    +++    6.56
   427 H Lauralton Hall         12-11 2o    1    -5    +++    6.85
   415 H Weston, CT             12-14      -2    -5    +      3.69
   429 A Westhill, CT           12- 5       7     3    +      3.22
   506 A Danbury                13-12       1    -2    +      3.85
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 73.81 Local Power Rank...........    35
 Local SOS Rating......... 60.91 Local SOS Rank.............    11
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.48 Local RPI Rank.............    38
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    58
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    61
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......   14.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -13.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -13.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -9.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -6.7
/