Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Tigers               Coach  =   Carol Rose            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.6188812    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 329 A Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (11- 6, 91.5)    14- 3   
 331 A Half Hollow Hills      NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 7, 86.4)    16- 5   
 404 H West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (10- 8, 89.3)    14- 7   
 407 H Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  (13- 5, 91.4)     8- 3   
 410 H Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 83.8)    16- 6   
 418 A Commack                NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 8, 84.3)    12- 7   
 420 A Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  ( 6- 9, 85.3)    16- 7   
 422 H New Canaan             CT    Class L (15- 6, 91.8)     8- 9   
 424 H North Babylon          NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-11, 73.6)    18- 1   
 426 H Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (17- 1, 99.5)     6-13   
 428 A William Floyd          NY A  Sec 11  ( 1-12, 68.9)    17- 3   
 429 H Syosset                NY A  Sec 8   (10- 5, 90.1)     8- 9   
 502 A Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  (15- 3, 96.0)     5-14   
 504 H Longwood               NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 8, 77.6)    20- 7   
 508 H Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  (17- 4, 99.9)     5-14   
 510 A Connetquot             NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 7, 84.3)    15- 7   
 522 A Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (11- 6, 91.5)    13- 4   
 524 A Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (17- 1, 99.5)     8- 7   
 530 N Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  (17- 4, 99.9)     3-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 A Smithtown West         14- 3      11     2    +++    7.41
   331 A Half Hollow Hills      16- 5      11     7    +      2.37
   404 H West Islip             14- 7       7     5           1.71
   407 H Sachem North            8- 3       5     3           1.75
   410 H Bay Shore              16- 6      10    10           0.00
   418 A Commack                12- 7       5     9    --    -4.80
   420 A Sachem East            16- 7       9     8           0.27
   422 H New Canaan              8- 9      -1     2          n/a  
   424 H North Babylon          18- 1      17    21           0.00
   426 H Ward Melville           6-13      -7    -4    -     -2.06
   428 A William Floyd          17- 3      14    25           0.00
   429 H Syosset                 8- 9      -1     4          n/a  
   502 A Smithtown East          5-14      -9    -1    ---   -7.05
   504 H Longwood               20- 7      13    17           0.00
   508 H Middle Country          5-14      -9    -5    -     -3.71
   510 A Connetquot             15- 7       8     9          -1.74
   522 A Smithtown West         13- 4       9     2    +++    6.41
   524 A Ward Melville           8- 7       1    -5    +++    6.49
   530 N Middle Country          3-13     -10    -5    --    -4.44

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   502 A Smithtown East          5-14      -9    -1    ---   -7.05
   418 A Commack                12- 7       5     9    --    -4.80
   429 H Syosset                 8- 9      -1     4    --         
   530 N Middle Country          3-13     -10    -5    --    -4.44
   422 H New Canaan              8- 9      -1     2    -          
   426 H Ward Melville           6-13      -7    -4    -     -2.06
   508 H Middle Country          5-14      -9    -5    -     -3.71

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 A Smithtown West         14- 3      11     2    +++    7.41
   522 A Smithtown West         13- 4       9     2    +++    6.41
   524 A Ward Melville           8- 7       1    -5    +++    6.49
   331 A Half Hollow Hills      16- 5      11     7    +      2.37
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 94.34 Local Power Rank...........     7
 Local SOS Rating......... 75.30 Local SOS Rank.............     3
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.65 Local RPI Rank.............     5
 Championship Probability .    5.0 Championship Rank .......     5
 Local Quality Win Rating.125.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     5
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  7- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.0
/