Region = NC    C2               
   Nickname = C Bears                Coach  =   Jan Fabian            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   83.0195160    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 301 A Chapel Hill            NC    C5      (14- 3, 90.1)     8-15   
 302 H East Chapel Hill       NC    C5      ( 7- 5, 83.4)     7-15   
 308 H D.H. Conley Club       NC    Indep   ( 0- 8, 52.5)    22- 0   
 315 H Northside, NC          NC    C2      ( 6- 6, 67.0)    18- 1   
 317 H Jacksonville           NC    C2      ( 6- 5, 69.5)    21- 3   
 321 A First Flight           NC    C2      ( 0-10, 53.5)    24- 2   
 330 H J.H. Rose              NC    C2      ( 6- 6, 72.9)    17-10   
 404 A J.H. Rose              NC    C2      ( 6- 6, 72.9)    14-13   
 407 H J.H. Rose              NC    C2      ( 6- 6, 72.9)    11- 9   
 410 A Havelock Club          NC    C2      ( 8- 9, 69.9)    17- 7   
 411 A Havelock Club          NC    C2      ( 8- 9, 69.9)    14- 4   
 413 A D.H. Conley Club       NC    Indep   ( 0- 8, 52.5)    20- 3   
 427 H First Flight           NC    C2      ( 0-10, 53.5)    19- 2   
 428 A Jacksonville           NC    C2      ( 6- 5, 69.5)   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   301 A Chapel Hill             8-15      -7    -8           1.05
   302 H East Chapel Hill        7-15      -8     0    ---   -7.33
   308 H D.H. Conley Club       22- 0      22    30           0.00
   315 H Northside, NC          18- 1      17    15           0.00
   317 H Jacksonville           21- 3      18    13           0.00
   321 A First Flight           24- 2      22    28           0.00
   330 H J.H. Rose              17-10       7     9    -     -2.82
   404 A J.H. Rose              14-13       1     9    ---   -8.10
   407 H J.H. Rose              11- 9       2     9    ---   -7.82
   410 A Havelock Club          17- 7      10    12           0.00
   411 A Havelock Club          14- 4      10    12           0.00
   413 A D.H. Conley Club       20- 3      17    29           0.00
   427 H First Flight           19- 2      17    29           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   302 H East Chapel Hill        7-15      -8     0    ---   -7.33
   404 A J.H. Rose              14-13       1     9    ---   -8.10
   407 H J.H. Rose              11- 9       2     9    ---   -7.82
   330 H J.H. Rose              17-10       7     9    -     -2.82

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.36 Local Power Rank...........    26
 Local SOS Rating......... 39.78 Local SOS Rank.............    89
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.55 Local RPI Rank.............    28
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    58
 Local Quality Win Rating. 15.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    18
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   16.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 2 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    9.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   14.7
/