Region = NJ    N1 Grp4          
   Nickname = J Colonials            Coach  =   Evan Mager            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.3981781    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 329 H Westfield, NJ          NJ    N2 Grp4 ( 9- 8, 84.7)    12- 8   
 401 A Immaculate Heart, NJ   NJ    N1 Grp3 (11- 8, 86.0)    11- 8   
 403 H West Morris Central    NJ    N2 Grp3 ( 6-11, 79.6)    12- 9   
 405 A West Essex             NJ    N2 Grp2 ( 9-11, 80.8)    15- 5   
 408 H Saddle River Day Schoo NJ    N1 Grp1 (13- 9, 85.9)    12- 7   
 411 A Mountain Lakes         NJ    N1 Grp1 ( 9-10, 84.0)     6- 5  o
 413 A Summit, NJ             NJ    N2 Grp3 (19- 3, 96.2)     6- 9   
 417 A North Hunterdon        NJ    N2 Grp4 ( 9-10, 79.0)    13- 5   
 419 H Montclair HS           NJ    N1 Grp4 (11- 7, 84.4)    12- 6   
 421 A Mendham                NJ    N2 Grp3 (10-10, 85.5)    10-11   
 425 H Chatham                NJ    N2 Grp3 (13- 7, 87.8)    10- 9  o
 427 A Oak Knoll School       NJ    N2 Grp1 (21- 5, 94.9)    11- 9   
 429 H Jefferson Township     NJ    N1 Grp2 (10- 7, 74.9)    21- 5   
 502 H Morris Knolls          NJ    N1 Grp4 (11- 9, 80.1)    17- 6   
 504 N Mountain Lakes         NJ    N1 Grp1 ( 9-10, 84.0)     6- 7   
 509 A Roxbury                NJ    N2 Grp3 (15- 6, 81.6)    17- 7   
 511 H Columbia, NJ           NJ    N1 Grp4 ( 4-14, 69.4)    16- 1   
 512 H Summit, NJ             NJ    N2 Grp3 (19- 3, 96.2)     4-14   
 517 H Bernards               NJ    N2 Grp2 (20- 4, 91.7)     9-11   
 519 H Mount Olive            NJ    N1 Grp4 ( 7- 8, 76.2)    16- 6   
 523 H Morris Knolls          NJ    N1 Grp4 (11- 9, 80.1)    16- 3   
 526 A Ridgewood              NJ    N1 Grp4 (21- 1, 99.9)     4-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 H Westfield, NJ          12- 8       4     6    -     -2.82
   401 A Immaculate Heart, NJ   11- 8       3     2           0.43
   403 H West Morris Central    12- 9       3    11    ---   -7.00
   405 A West Essex             15- 5      10     7    +      2.24
   408 H Saddle River Day Schoo 12- 7       5     5          -0.60
   411 A Mountain Lakes          6- 5  o    1     4    -     -3.51
   413 A Summit, NJ              6- 9      -3    -7    ++     4.62
   417 A North Hunterdon        13- 5       8     9          -1.57
   419 H Montclair HS           12- 6       6     7          -1.08
   421 A Mendham                10-11      -1     3    --    -4.02
   425 H Chatham                10- 9  o    1     3    -     -2.69
   427 A Oak Knoll School       11- 9       2    -6    +++    8.40
   429 H Jefferson Township     21- 5      16    16           0.00
   502 H Morris Knolls          17- 6      11    11           0.00
   504 N Mountain Lakes          6- 7      -1     5    ---   -6.99
   509 A Roxbury                17- 7      10     6    +      3.10
   511 H Columbia, NJ           16- 1      15    22           0.00
   512 H Summit, NJ              4-14     -10    -4    --    -5.33
   517 H Bernards                9-11      -2     0          -1.74
   519 H Mount Olive            16- 6      10    15           0.00
   523 H Morris Knolls          16- 3      13    11           0.00
   526 A Ridgewood               4-14     -10   -11           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 H West Morris Central    12- 9       3    11    ---   -7.00
   504 N Mountain Lakes          6- 7      -1     5    ---   -6.99
   421 A Mendham                10-11      -1     3    --    -4.02
   512 H Summit, NJ              4-14     -10    -4    --    -5.33
   329 H Westfield, NJ          12- 8       4     6    -     -2.82
   411 A Mountain Lakes          6- 5  o    1     4    -     -3.51
   425 H Chatham                10- 9  o    1     3    -     -2.69

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   427 A Oak Knoll School       11- 9       2    -6    +++    8.40
   413 A Summit, NJ              6- 9      -3    -7    ++     4.62
   405 A West Essex             15- 5      10     7    +      2.24
   509 A Roxbury                17- 7      10     6    +      3.10
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.01 Local Power Rank...........    10
 Local SOS Rating......... 66.92 Local SOS Rank.............    17
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.64 Local RPI Rank.............    15
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   112
 Local Quality Win Rating. 45.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    14
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.3
/