![]()
Region = NJ N1 Grp4 Nickname = J Colonials Coach = Evan MagerGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 92.3981781 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 329 H Westfield, NJ NJ N2 Grp4 ( 9- 8, 84.7) 12- 8 401 A Immaculate Heart, NJ NJ N1 Grp3 (11- 8, 86.0) 11- 8 403 H West Morris Central NJ N2 Grp3 ( 6-11, 79.6) 12- 9 405 A West Essex NJ N2 Grp2 ( 9-11, 80.8) 15- 5 408 H Saddle River Day Schoo NJ N1 Grp1 (13- 9, 85.9) 12- 7 411 A Mountain Lakes NJ N1 Grp1 ( 9-10, 84.0) 6- 5 o 413 A Summit, NJ NJ N2 Grp3 (19- 3, 96.2) 6- 9 417 A North Hunterdon NJ N2 Grp4 ( 9-10, 79.0) 13- 5 419 H Montclair HS NJ N1 Grp4 (11- 7, 84.4) 12- 6 421 A Mendham NJ N2 Grp3 (10-10, 85.5) 10-11 425 H Chatham NJ N2 Grp3 (13- 7, 87.8) 10- 9 o 427 A Oak Knoll School NJ N2 Grp1 (21- 5, 94.9) 11- 9 429 H Jefferson Township NJ N1 Grp2 (10- 7, 74.9) 21- 5 502 H Morris Knolls NJ N1 Grp4 (11- 9, 80.1) 17- 6 504 N Mountain Lakes NJ N1 Grp1 ( 9-10, 84.0) 6- 7 509 A Roxbury NJ N2 Grp3 (15- 6, 81.6) 17- 7 511 H Columbia, NJ NJ N1 Grp4 ( 4-14, 69.4) 16- 1 512 H Summit, NJ NJ N2 Grp3 (19- 3, 96.2) 4-14 517 H Bernards NJ N2 Grp2 (20- 4, 91.7) 9-11 519 H Mount Olive NJ N1 Grp4 ( 7- 8, 76.2) 16- 6 523 H Morris Knolls NJ N1 Grp4 (11- 9, 80.1) 16- 3 526 A Ridgewood NJ N1 Grp4 (21- 1, 99.9) 4-14PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 329 H Westfield, NJ 12- 8 4 6 - -2.82 401 A Immaculate Heart, NJ 11- 8 3 2 0.43 403 H West Morris Central 12- 9 3 11 --- -7.00 405 A West Essex 15- 5 10 7 + 2.24 408 H Saddle River Day Schoo 12- 7 5 5 -0.60 411 A Mountain Lakes 6- 5 o 1 4 - -3.51 413 A Summit, NJ 6- 9 -3 -7 ++ 4.62 417 A North Hunterdon 13- 5 8 9 -1.57 419 H Montclair HS 12- 6 6 7 -1.08 421 A Mendham 10-11 -1 3 -- -4.02 425 H Chatham 10- 9 o 1 3 - -2.69 427 A Oak Knoll School 11- 9 2 -6 +++ 8.40 429 H Jefferson Township 21- 5 16 16 0.00 502 H Morris Knolls 17- 6 11 11 0.00 504 N Mountain Lakes 6- 7 -1 5 --- -6.99 509 A Roxbury 17- 7 10 6 + 3.10 511 H Columbia, NJ 16- 1 15 22 0.00 512 H Summit, NJ 4-14 -10 -4 -- -5.33 517 H Bernards 9-11 -2 0 -1.74 519 H Mount Olive 16- 6 10 15 0.00 523 H Morris Knolls 16- 3 13 11 0.00 526 A Ridgewood 4-14 -10 -11 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 403 H West Morris Central 12- 9 3 11 --- -7.00 504 N Mountain Lakes 6- 7 -1 5 --- -6.99 421 A Mendham 10-11 -1 3 -- -4.02 512 H Summit, NJ 4-14 -10 -4 -- -5.33 329 H Westfield, NJ 12- 8 4 6 - -2.82 411 A Mountain Lakes 6- 5 o 1 4 - -3.51 425 H Chatham 10- 9 o 1 3 - -2.69OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 427 A Oak Knoll School 11- 9 2 -6 +++ 8.40 413 A Summit, NJ 6- 9 -3 -7 ++ 4.62 405 A West Essex 15- 5 10 7 + 2.24 509 A Roxbury 17- 7 10 6 + 3.10/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 90.01 Local Power Rank........... 10 Local SOS Rating......... 66.92 Local SOS Rank............. 17 Local RPI Rating......... 0.64 Local RPI Rank............. 15 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 112 Local Quality Win Rating. 45.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 14 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.6 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 7.5 Wins/Losses(all )...... 16- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 4.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -5.2 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -4.6 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -3.7 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 4.3