Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Blue Devils          Coach  =   Kathy Wright          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.4938965    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 321 A Hauppauge              NY B  Sec 11  ( 6- 7, 83.5)    11- 6   
 325 H Farmingdale            NY A  Sec 8   ( 3-12, 80.2)    11-13   
 329 H Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-10, 74.0)    13- 3   
 331 H Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  (15- 3, 96.0)     5- 8   
 404 A Walt Whitman, NY       NY A  Sec 11  ( 1-10, 72.9)    17- 5   
 406 A Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  (17- 4, 99.9)     7-20   
 412 A Riverhead              NY A  Sec 11  (10- 7, 88.5)    11-18   
 418 H Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (11- 6, 91.5)    11-18   
 420 H Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 83.8)    15-11   
 422 A Copiague               NY A  Sec 11  ( 2-13, 66.7)   
 426 H Patchogue-Medford      NY A  Sec 11  ( 6- 8, 81.1)    15- 8   
 428 A Brentwood, NY          NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 75.0)    20- 6   
 502 H William Floyd          NY A  Sec 11  ( 1-12, 68.9)   
 504 A Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  (13- 5, 91.4)     9-10   
 506 A Longwood               NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 8, 77.6)    16- 6   
 510 H Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (17- 1, 99.5)    10-13   
 517 H Riverhead              NY A  Sec 11  (10- 7, 88.5)     9-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 A Hauppauge              11- 6       5     3           1.86
   325 H Farmingdale            11-13      -2     7          n/a  
   329 H Lindenhurst            13- 3      10    13           0.00
   331 H Smithtown East          5- 8      -3    -8    ++     5.83
   404 A Walt Whitman, NY       17- 5      12    13           0.00
   406 A Middle Country          7-20     -13   -13           0.00
   412 A Riverhead              11-18      -7    -1    --    -5.09
   418 H Smithtown West         11-18      -7    -4    -     -2.71
   420 H Bay Shore              15-11       4     3           0.57
   426 H Patchogue-Medford      15- 8       7     6           0.94
   428 A Brentwood, NY          20- 6      14    11           0.00
   504 A Sachem North            9-10      -1    -4    +      3.73
   506 A Longwood               16- 6      10     9           0.96
   510 H Ward Melville          10-13      -3   -12    +++    7.00
   517 H Riverhead               9-10      -1    -1           0.35

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 H Farmingdale            11-13      -2     7    ---        
   412 A Riverhead              11-18      -7    -1    --    -5.09
   418 H Smithtown West         11-18      -7    -4    -     -2.71

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   510 H Ward Melville          10-13      -3   -12    +++    7.00
   331 H Smithtown East          5- 8      -3    -8    ++     5.83
   504 A Sachem North            9-10      -1    -4    +      3.73
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.91 Local Power Rank...........    18
 Local SOS Rating......... 69.01 Local SOS Rank.............    12
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.54 Local RPI Rank.............    17
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    29
 Local Quality Win Rating.-35.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    18
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.0
/