Region = MD    Private          
   Nickname = D Fighting Heron       Coach  =   Jeff Smith            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   83.4568329    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 321 A FCA                    MD    Private (14- 3, 98.7)     4-17   
 323 A Cambridge-S Dorchester MD    2A-1A   ( 3- 9, 66.1)     6- 7   
 324 H Calverton School       MD    Private ( 8- 3, 94.7)     8-18   
 327 H Salisbury School       MD    Private ( 2- 7, 76.3)    13- 7   
 330 A North Caroline         MD    2A-1A   ( 9- 5, 77.2)    12-17   
 331 H Mt. Carmel, MD         MD    IAAM C  ( 3-11, 78.7)    13- 4   
 403 H Worcester Prep, MD     MD    Private (12- 4, 99.9)     5-19   
 405 A Sts. Peter & Paul      MD    Private ( 4- 8, 91.7)     4-16   
 407 H FCA                    MD    Private (14- 3, 98.7)     8-13   
 410 A Rockbridge Acad, MD    MD    Private ( 4- 5, 86.6)    14-17   
 413 A Calverton School       MD    Private ( 8- 3, 94.7)     7- 9   
 420 A Salisbury School       MD    Private ( 2- 7, 76.3)    19- 6   
 424 H North Caroline         MD    2A-1A   ( 9- 5, 77.2)     8-11   
 427 A Worcester Prep, MD     MD    Private (12- 4, 99.9)     1-17   
 502 A FCA                    MD    Private (14- 3, 98.7)     4-19   
 504 H Sts. Peter & Paul      MD    Private ( 4- 8, 91.7)  5

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 A FCA                     4-17     -13   -17           0.00
   323 A Cambridge-S Dorchester  6- 7      -1    14          n/a  
   324 H Calverton School        8-18     -10   -11           0.00
   327 H Salisbury School       13- 7       6     6          -0.75
   330 A North Caroline         12-17      -5     3          n/a  
   331 H Mt. Carmel, MD         13- 4       9     3          n/a  
   403 H Worcester Prep, MD      5-19     -14   -16           0.00
   405 A Sts. Peter & Paul       4-16     -12   -10           0.00
   407 H FCA                     8-13      -5   -15    ++     5.00
   410 A Rockbridge Acad, MD    14-17      -3    -5    +      2.70
   413 A Calverton School        7- 9      -2   -13    +++    8.00
   420 A Salisbury School       19- 6      13     4    ++     5.40
   424 H North Caroline          8-11      -3     5          n/a  
   427 A Worcester Prep, MD      1-17     -16   -19           0.00
   502 A FCA                     4-19     -15   -17           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 A Cambridge-S Dorchester  6- 7      -1    14    ---        
   330 A North Caroline         12-17      -5     3    ---        
   424 H North Caroline          8-11      -3     5    ---        

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   413 A Calverton School        7- 9      -2   -13    +++    8.00
   331 H Mt. Carmel, MD         13- 4       9     3    ++         
   407 H FCA                     8-13      -5   -15    ++     5.00
   420 A Salisbury School       19- 6      13     4    ++     5.40
   410 A Rockbridge Acad, MD    14-17      -3    -5    +      2.70
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.92 Local Power Rank...........     8
 Local SOS Rating......... 74.06 Local SOS Rank.............     2
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.42 Local RPI Rank.............     8
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......     6
 Local Quality Win Rating.-10.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     7
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......   13.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3-12 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -4.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 8 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -10.9
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -11.3
/