Region = PA    AAA              
   Nickname = A Patriots             Coach  =   Kim Wenger            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.6811371    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 324 H Central Bucks West     PA    AAA     (17- 1, 99.5)    10-16   
 328 H North Penn             PA    AAA     ( 7-11, 85.5)    16-12   
 330 H Oxford Area            PA    AAA     ( 0-15, 64.5)    23- 4   
 331 H Sun Valley-Northley    PA    AA      ( 6-12, 72.6)    18- 7   
 401 A Wissahickon            PA    AAA     ( 5-11, 82.8)    13- 8   
 404 A Bishop Shanahan        PA    AA      (12- 9, 91.4)    13- 9   
 407 A Conestoga              PA    AAA     (18- 2, 99.9)     9-19   
 418 H West Chester East      PA    AAA     ( 6-11, 82.5)    18- 6   
 420 H West Chester Rustin    PA    AAA     (15- 3, 94.2)    17-12   
 422 A Downingtown West       PA    AAA     (11- 8, 89.9)    11-13   
 425 A Kennett Square         PA    AAA     ( 7-11, 85.2)    14- 5   
 427 H Downingtown East       PA    AAA     (13- 8, 91.5)     8-11   
 429 H Notre Dame Acad, PA    PA    IAC     (16- 8, 92.0)    10-11   
 502 A Coatesville Area       PA    AAA     ( 2-12, 68.4)    19- 1   
 504 A West Chester Henderson PA    AAA     (10- 7, 88.4)    18- 9   
 506 A Garnet Valley          PA    AAA     (14- 8, 95.4)    10-15   
 509 A Avon Grove             PA    AAA     ( 5-10, 80.3)    18- 8   
 511 H Unionville             PA    AAA     (15- 3, 96.1)    15-14   
 516 A Central Bucks East     PA    AAA     (12- 7, 87.4)    20- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 H Central Bucks West     10-16      -6    -5          -0.79
   328 H North Penn             16-12       4     8    --    -4.82
   330 H Oxford Area            23- 4      19    29           0.00
   331 H Sun Valley-Northley    18- 7      11    21           0.00
   401 A Wissahickon            13- 8       5     9    --    -4.65
   404 A Bishop Shanahan        13- 9       4     1    +      2.97
   407 A Conestoga               9-19     -10    -7    -     -2.57
   418 H West Chester East      18- 6      12    11           0.00
   420 H West Chester Rustin    17-12       5     0    ++     4.88
   422 A Downingtown West       11-13      -2     2    --    -4.59
   425 A Kennett Square         14- 5       9     7           1.74
   427 H Downingtown East        8-11      -3     2    --    -5.83
   429 H Notre Dame Acad, PA    10-11      -1     2          n/a  
   502 A Coatesville Area       19- 1      18    24           0.00
   504 A West Chester Henderson 18- 9       9     4    ++     4.90
   506 A Garnet Valley          10-15      -5    -2    -     -2.10
   509 A Avon Grove             18- 8      10    12           0.00
   511 H Unionville             15-14       1    -1    +      2.78
   516 A Central Bucks East     20- 8      12     5    ++     4.88

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 H North Penn             16-12       4     8    --    -4.82
   401 A Wissahickon            13- 8       5     9    --    -4.65
   422 A Downingtown West       11-13      -2     2    --    -4.59
   427 H Downingtown East        8-11      -3     2    --    -5.83
   407 A Conestoga               9-19     -10    -7    -     -2.57
   429 H Notre Dame Acad, PA    10-11      -1     2    -          
   506 A Garnet Valley          10-15      -5    -2    -     -2.10

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   420 H West Chester Rustin    17-12       5     0    ++     4.88
   504 A West Chester Henderson 18- 9       9     4    ++     4.90
   516 A Central Bucks East     20- 8      12     5    ++     4.88
   404 A Bishop Shanahan        13- 9       4     1    +      2.97
   511 H Unionville             15-14       1    -1    +      2.78
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 93.39 Local Power Rank...........    13
 Local SOS Rating......... 71.58 Local SOS Rank.............    17
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.58 Local RPI Rank.............    13
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    29
 Local Quality Win Rating. 50.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    13
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    7.7
/