Region = PA    LLL              
   Nickname = A Bears                Coach  =   Mathew Ealy           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   83.0280533    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 325 A Exeter Township, PA    PA    Berks   (17- 6, 93.7)     5-17   
 327 A Central Dauphin        PA    Mid PA  (12- 5, 87.2)    15-18   
 329 A Lancaster Cath-CDS     PA    LLL     (14- 5, 93.2)     3-16   
 403 H Hershey                PA    Mid PA  (14- 7, 89.5)     3-19   
 405 A Ephrata                PA    LLL     ( 1-16, 68.7)    18- 4   
 407 H Hempfield, Landisville PA    LLL     (12- 7, 89.9)     6-17   
 408 A Lower Dauphin          PA    Mid PA  ( 7- 7, 80.5)     9-10   
 410 H Conestoga Valley       PA    LLL     ( 6-10, 72.7)    21- 7   
 412 A Warwick, PA            PA    LLL     ( 7- 8, 81.8)     5-13   
 418 H Manheim Township       PA    LLL     (21- 4, 99.6)     3-19   
 420 A Lampeter-Strasburg     PA    LLL     (11- 6, 86.5)     6-19   
 422 H West York Area         PA    York    ( 5-12, 76.8)    10- 9   
 425 A Cedar Crest            PA    LLL     ( 3-14, 72.2)    16- 9   
 428 A Cocalico               PA    LLL     (11- 8, 87.6)     9-22   
 429 H York Catholic          PA    York    (16- 5, 94.7)     5-14   
 502 H Penn Manor             PA    LLL     ( 4-13, 74.7)    16-12   
 503 A Mechanicsburg          PA    Indep   ( 4-13, 67.0)    18- 8   
 505 H Garden Spot            PA    LLL     ( 1-15, 64.5)    24-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 A Exeter Township, PA     5-17     -12   -15           0.00
   327 A Central Dauphin        15-18      -3    -9    +++    6.20
   329 A Lancaster Cath-CDS      3-16     -13   -15           0.00
   403 H Hershey                 3-19     -16   -11           0.00
   405 A Ephrata                18- 4      14     9           0.78
   407 H Hempfield, Landisville  6-17     -11   -11           0.00
   408 A Lower Dauphin           9-10      -1    -2           1.53
   410 H Conestoga Valley       21- 7      14     5    ++     4.29
   412 A Warwick, PA             5-13      -8    -3    --    -4.15
   418 H Manheim Township        3-19     -16   -21           0.00
   420 A Lampeter-Strasburg      6-19     -13    -8          -1.49
   422 H West York Area         10- 9       1     1          -0.58
   425 A Cedar Crest            16- 9       7     5           1.22
   428 A Cocalico                9-22     -13    -9          -0.35
   429 H York Catholic           5-14      -9   -16           1.00
   502 H Penn Manor             16-12       4     3           0.33
   503 A Mechanicsburg          18- 8      10    10           0.00
   505 H Garden Spot            24-15       9    13          -1.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 A Warwick, PA             5-13      -8    -3    --    -4.15

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 A Central Dauphin        15-18      -3    -9    +++    6.20
   410 H Conestoga Valley       21- 7      14     5    ++     4.29
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 78.17 Local Power Rank...........    33
 Local SOS Rating......... 63.16 Local SOS Rank.............    23
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.46 Local RPI Rank.............    36
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    32
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    52
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......   13.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -12.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -11.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    7.7
/