Region = NY A  Sec 3            
   Nickname = Y Northstar            Coach  =   Lloyd Hamilton        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   96.8647308    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 330 A Skaneateles            NY D  Sec 3   (18- 4, 97.7)    13-11   
 401 A Marcellus              NY D  Sec 3   (14- 4, 97.6)    11-10   
 403 H Watertown, NY          NY B  Sec 3   (14- 4, 92.2)    10- 9   
 406 H South Jefferson        NY D  Sec 3   (12- 7, 91.0)    11- 3   
 408 A Shaker                 NY A  Sec 2   ( 5- 7, 90.6)    10- 6   
 413 A Westhill, NY           NY D  Sec 3   (10- 6, 90.7)     8- 7   
 417 H Webster Thomas         NY B  Sec 5   (13- 7, 91.6)    11-10  o
 419 H Liverpool              NY A  Sec 3   ( 7-10, 83.2)    13- 7   
 421 A West Genesee           NY A  Sec 3   (13- 4, 98.1)     8- 6   
 425 A Fayetteville-Manlius   NY B  Sec 3   (17- 4, 99.9)     8-13   
 427 H Baldwinsville          NY A  Sec 3   (10- 8, 92.4)    14- 7   
 429 H Pittsford              NY A  Sec 5   (20- 1, 99.9)     3-13   
 505 A Liverpool              NY A  Sec 3   ( 7-10, 83.2)    14- 5   
 509 H West Genesee           NY A  Sec 3   (13- 4, 98.1)     3- 6   
 511 H Fayetteville-Manlius   NY B  Sec 3   (17- 4, 99.9)    10-16   
 516 A Baldwinsville          NY A  Sec 3   (10- 8, 92.4)    12- 7   
 522 H Rome Free Academy      NY A  Sec 3   ( 9- 8, 74.8)    19- 3   
 525 N Christian Brothers, NY NY A  Sec 3   (16- 4, 98.8)    10-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 A Skaneateles            13-11       2    -2    ++     4.40
   401 A Marcellus              11-10       1    -2    +      3.35
   403 H Watertown, NY          10- 9       1     4    -     -3.39
   406 H South Jefferson        11- 3       8     5    +      2.37
   408 A Shaker                 10- 6       4     4          n/a  
   413 A Westhill, NY            8- 7       1     4    -     -3.56
   417 H Webster Thomas         11-10  o    1     5          n/a  
   419 H Liverpool              13- 7       6    13    --    -4.00
   421 A West Genesee            8- 6       2    -2    ++     4.78
   425 A Fayetteville-Manlius    8-13      -5    -4          -0.39
   427 H Baldwinsville          14- 7       7     4    +      2.84
   429 H Pittsford               3-13     -10    -3          n/a  
   505 A Liverpool              14- 5       9    12          -1.00
   509 H West Genesee            3- 6      -3    -1          -1.51
   511 H Fayetteville-Manlius   10-16      -6    -3    -     -2.68
   516 A Baldwinsville          12- 7       5     2    +      2.13
   522 H Rome Free Academy      19- 3      16    21           0.00
   525 N Christian Brothers, NY 10-13      -3    -2          -0.15

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   429 H Pittsford               3-13     -10    -3    ---        
   417 H Webster Thomas         11-10  o    1     5    --         
   419 H Liverpool              13- 7       6    13    --    -4.00
   403 H Watertown, NY          10- 9       1     4    -     -3.39
   413 A Westhill, NY            8- 7       1     4    -     -3.56
   511 H Fayetteville-Manlius   10-16      -6    -3    -     -2.68

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 A Skaneateles            13-11       2    -2    ++     4.40
   421 A West Genesee            8- 6       2    -2    ++     4.78
   401 A Marcellus              11-10       1    -2    +      3.35
   406 H South Jefferson        11- 3       8     5    +      2.37
   427 H Baldwinsville          14- 7       7     4    +      2.84
   516 A Baldwinsville          12- 7       5     2    +      2.13
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 95.93 Local Power Rank...........     6
 Local SOS Rating......... 83.97 Local SOS Rank.............     2
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.68 Local RPI Rank.............     3
 Championship Probability .   10.0 Championship Rank .......     4
 Local Quality Win Rating.190.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     2
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  3- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -1.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  8- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    0.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 10- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    6.0
/