Region = PA    LLL              
   Nickname = A Falcons              Coach  =   Emma Lebo             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   79.2430725    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 324 H Lower Dauphin          PA    Mid PA  ( 7- 7, 80.5)     5- 9   
 328 A Warwick, PA            PA    LLL     ( 7- 8, 81.8)     7-11   
 401 H Conneaut Area          PA    D10     ( 5- 9, 71.2)    16- 8   
 403 A Manheim Township       PA    LLL     (21- 4, 99.6)     2-20   
 410 A Lampeter-Strasburg     PA    LLL     (11- 6, 86.5)     5-16   
 412 H Lancaster Cath-CDS     PA    LLL     (14- 5, 93.2)     2-13   
 413 H Hempfield, Landisville PA    LLL     (12- 7, 89.9)     2-18   
 417 H Berks Catholic         PA    Berks   ( 6-11, 79.7)     7-12   
 419 A Garden Spot            PA    LLL     ( 1-15, 64.5)    17- 3   
 421 H Ephrata                PA    LLL     ( 1-16, 68.7)    15-14   
 421 H Penn Manor             PA    LLL     ( 4-13, 74.7)     9-12   
 425 H Elizabethtown Area     PA    LLL     ( 7-11, 78.2)     9-16   
 427 H Conestoga Valley       PA    LLL     ( 6-10, 72.7)     8-12   
 429 A Central Dauphin        PA    Mid PA  (12- 5, 87.2)     6-17   
 502 A Cocalico               PA    LLL     (11- 8, 87.6)     9-20   
 503 A Trinity, PA            PA    Mid PA  ( 9- 7, 81.4)    12-16   
 504 A Palmyra Area, PA       PA    Mid PA  (10- 7, 78.1)    10-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 H Lower Dauphin           5- 9      -4    -8    ++     4.09
   328 A Warwick, PA             7-11      -4    -9    ++     5.85
   401 H Conneaut Area          16- 8       8     1          n/a  
   403 A Manheim Township        2-20     -18   -27           0.00
   410 A Lampeter-Strasburg      5-16     -11   -14           0.00
   412 H Lancaster Cath-CDS      2-13     -11   -20           0.00
   413 H Hempfield, Landisville  2-18     -16   -17           0.00
   417 H Berks Catholic          7-12      -5    -7    +      2.26
   419 A Garden Spot            17- 3      14     7    +      2.52
   421 H Ephrata                15-14       1     3    -     -2.66
   421 H Penn Manor              9-12      -3    -2          -0.67
   425 H Elizabethtown Area      9-16      -7    -5          -1.22
   427 H Conestoga Valley        8-12      -4     0    -     -3.71
   429 A Central Dauphin         6-17     -11   -15           0.00
   502 A Cocalico                9-20     -11   -15           0.00
   503 A Trinity, PA            12-16      -4    -9    ++     5.45
   504 A Palmyra Area, PA       10-14      -4    -6    +      2.12

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 H Ephrata                15-14       1     3    -     -2.66
   427 H Conestoga Valley        8-12      -4     0    -     -3.71

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Conneaut Area          16- 8       8     1    +++        
   324 H Lower Dauphin           5- 9      -4    -8    ++     4.09
   328 A Warwick, PA             7-11      -4    -9    ++     5.85
   503 A Trinity, PA            12-16      -4    -9    ++     5.45
   417 H Berks Catholic          7-12      -5    -7    +      2.26
   419 A Garden Spot            17- 3      14     7    +      2.52
   504 A Palmyra Area, PA       10-14      -4    -6    +      2.12
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 72.17 Local Power Rank...........    44
 Local SOS Rating......... 60.20 Local SOS Rank.............    33
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.39 Local RPI Rank.............    54
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    13
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    66
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......   13.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3-14 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -5.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -18.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -15.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -13.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -6.3
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