Region = PA    IAC              
   Nickname = A Bears                Coach  =   Marisa Lozano         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.8731155    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 330 H Central HS, PA         PA    PPL     ( 0- 3, 64.8)    17- 0   
 404 H Cheltenham             PA    AAA     ( 6-11, 71.5)    15- 0   
 405 H Hill School            PA    Indep   (10- 9, 85.4)     6- 5   
 407 H Germantown Academy     PA    IAC     ( 6-11, 84.0)    11-12   
 412 H Notre Dame Acad, PA    PA    IAC     (16- 8, 92.0)     3-13   
 413 H Shipley School         PA    Friend  ( 7- 6, 79.8)     8- 5   
 418 A William Penn Charter   PA    IAC     ( 8-12, 85.9)     4- 5   
 420 H Victor                 NY B  Sec 5   ( 7-10, 87.0)     8-12   
 421 H Agnes Irwin            PA    IAC     (21- 5, 99.9)     4-15   
 428 H Springside Chestnut Hi PA    IAC     ( 3-17, 81.6)    11-10   
 429 N West Chester Henderson PA    AAA     (10- 7, 88.4)    12-14   
 501 A Central Bucks South    PA    AAA     (15- 3, 92.8)     7- 9   
 503 A Episcopal Academy, PA  PA    IAC     (21- 5, 99.7)     0-17   
 505 A Germantown Academy     PA    IAC     ( 6-11, 84.0)    10- 9   
 508 A Springside Chestnut Hi PA    IAC     ( 3-17, 81.6)     8-15   
 509 A Notre Dame Acad, PA    PA    IAC     (16- 8, 92.0)     6-15   
 512 H William Penn Charter   PA    IAC     ( 8-12, 85.9)     5- 8   
 516 A Agnes Irwin            PA    IAC     (21- 5, 99.9)     6-14   
 518 H Episcopal Academy, PA  PA    IAC     (21- 5, 99.7)     3-18   
 522 H Germantown Academy     PA    IAC     ( 6-11, 84.0)  9

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 H Central HS, PA         17- 0      17    17           0.00
   404 H Cheltenham             15- 0      15    11          n/a  
   405 H Hill School             6- 5       1    -2    +      3.90
   407 H Germantown Academy     11-12      -1    -1           0.46
   412 H Notre Dame Acad, PA     3-13     -10    -9          -0.47
   413 H Shipley School          8- 5       3     2           0.26
   418 A William Penn Charter    4- 5      -1    -4    +      3.95
   420 H Victor                  8-12      -4    -4          n/a  
   421 H Agnes Irwin             4-15     -11   -17           0.00
   428 H Springside Chestnut Hi 11-10       1     0           0.06
   429 N West Chester Henderson 12-14      -2    -6          n/a  
   501 A Central Bucks South     7- 9      -2   -11          n/a  
   503 A Episcopal Academy, PA   0-17     -17   -18           0.00
   505 A Germantown Academy     10- 9       1    -3    ++     4.03
   508 A Springside Chestnut Hi  8-15      -7     0    ---   -6.37
   509 A Notre Dame Acad, PA     6-15      -9   -11           1.00
   512 H William Penn Charter    5- 8      -3    -3           0.38
   516 A Agnes Irwin             6-14      -8   -18    +      2.00
   518 H Episcopal Academy, PA   3-18     -15   -17           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   508 A Springside Chestnut Hi  8-15      -7     0    ---   -6.37

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   501 A Central Bucks South     7- 9      -2   -11    +++        
   429 N West Chester Henderson 12-14      -2    -6    ++         
   505 A Germantown Academy     10- 9       1    -3    ++     4.03
   405 H Hill School             6- 5       1    -2    +      3.90
   418 A William Penn Charter    4- 5      -1    -4    +      3.95
   516 A Agnes Irwin             6-14      -8   -18    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.73 Local Power Rank...........    11
 Local SOS Rating......... 72.37 Local SOS Rank.............     7
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.47 Local RPI Rank.............    31
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    10
 Local Quality Win Rating. 20.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     9
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-13 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -11.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4-10 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -8.7
/