Region = VA 5A South            
   Nickname = A Patriots             Coach  =   Lauren Thraves        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.0642776    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 316 A St. Catherine's, VA    VA Pr LIS     (15- 8, 93.6)    10-20   
 321 H St. Anne's-Belfield    VA Pr LIS     ( 9-11, 87.5)     2-16   
 329 A Collegiate School      VA Pr LIS     (17- 6, 96.3)     4-15   
 331 H Salem, VA              VA 4A South   (16- 4, 84.7)     8- 7   
 411 H Western Albemarle      VA 4A South   (11- 7, 82.1)    10- 5   
 414 A Monticello, VA         VA 4A South   (13- 7, 83.8)    19-12   
 418 H Douglas Freeman        VA 5A South   ( 9- 5, 80.9)     9- 2   
 419 H Covenant School        VA Pr LIS     ( 3-12, 72.8)    15- 5   
 426 A Patrick Henry, Roanoke VA 5A South   ( 6- 9, 73.3)    17- 5   
 502 H Charlottesville        VA 4A South   ( 0- 9, 61.0)    13- 5   
 505 A Western Albemarle      VA 4A South   (11- 7, 82.1)    12-10   
 509 H Monticello, VA         VA 4A South   (13- 7, 83.8)    12-11  o
 512 H Powhatan               VA 4A South   ( 0-10, 58.5)    23- 0   
 516 A Fluvanna County        VA 4A South   ( 0-10, 60.6)    18- 2   
 518 H North Stafford         VA 5A South   ( 0-10, 65.9)    19- 1   
 522 H Mountain View, VA      VA 5A South   (12- 5, 78.3)    14- 4   
 526 A Massaponax             VA 5A South   (16- 3, 83.8)     9-11   
 530 A Atlee                  VA 5A South   (15- 4, 86.3)    10-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   316 A St. Catherine's, VA    10-20     -10    -9          -0.83
   321 H St. Anne's-Belfield     2-16     -14     0    ---   -9.23
   329 A Collegiate School       4-15     -11   -11           0.00
   331 H Salem, VA               8- 7       1     2          -1.06
   411 H Western Albemarle      10- 5       5     4           0.34
   414 A Monticello, VA         19-12       7     0    +++    6.40
   418 H Douglas Freeman         9- 2       7     5           1.19
   419 H Covenant School        15- 5      10    13           0.00
   426 A Patrick Henry, Roanoke 17- 5      12    11           0.00
   502 H Charlottesville        13- 5       8    25    -     -2.00
   505 A Western Albemarle      12-10       2     2          -0.35
   509 H Monticello, VA         12-11  o    1     2          -1.91
   512 H Powhatan               23- 0      23    28           0.00
   516 A Fluvanna County        18- 2      16    23           0.00
   518 H North Stafford         19- 1      18    20           0.00
   522 H Mountain View, VA      14- 4      10     8           1.55
   526 A Massaponax              9-11      -2     0    -     -2.67
   530 A Atlee                  10-11      -1    -1           0.89

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 H St. Anne's-Belfield     2-16     -14     0    ---   -9.23
   502 H Charlottesville        13- 5       8    25    -     -2.00
   526 A Massaponax              9-11      -2     0    -     -2.67

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 A Monticello, VA         19-12       7     0    +++    6.40
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.60 Local Power Rank...........    26
 Local SOS Rating......... 56.75 Local SOS Rank.............    46
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.59 Local RPI Rank.............    24
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    13
 Local Quality Win Rating.-10.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    34
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -11.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.3
/