Region = MA    East D1          
   Nickname = A Colonials            Coach  =   Scott Biron           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.8857422    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 330 H Masconomet             MA    No D1   ( 9-10, 84.0)    11-10 3o
 403 A Newton South           MA    East D1 ( 9-10, 82.8)    19-12   
 405 H Cambridge R-L          MA    East D1 ( 0-15, 67.6)    14- 2   
 407 H Wayland                MA    East D2 (17- 3, 94.1)    15-17   
 411 A Lincoln-Sudbury, MA    MA    East D1 ( 8-10, 88.6)     7-14   
 420 A Westford Academy       MA    East D1 (17- 5, 92.7)    11-16   
 421 H Lexington HS           MA    East D1 (17- 4, 88.7)     8- 5   
 424 H Concord-Carlisle       MA    East D1 (17- 4, 94.2)    13-15   
 428 H Weston, MA             MA    East D2 (13- 7, 87.5)    15-12   
 502 A Waltham                MA    East D1 ( 8-10, 80.7)    12-13   
 504 A Wayland                MA    East D2 (17- 3, 94.1)     9-12   
 509 H Lincoln-Sudbury, MA    MA    East D1 ( 8-10, 88.6)    10- 9  o
 512 A Newton North           MA    East D1 ( 9-10, 83.6)    15-11   
 516 H Westford Academy       MA    East D1 (17- 5, 92.7)     9- 8  o
 518 A Concord-Carlisle       MA    East D1 (17- 4, 94.2)     4-14   
 522 H Andover, MA            MA    No D1   (18- 7, 89.2)    16-12   
 530 H King Philip            MA    East D1 (10-11, 85.0)    10-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 H Masconomet             11-10 3o    1     3    -     -2.64
   403 A Newton South           19-12       7     3    +      3.57
   405 H Cambridge R-L          14- 2      12    20           0.00
   407 H Wayland                15-17      -2    -6    ++     4.49
   411 A Lincoln-Sudbury, MA     7-14      -7    -2    --    -4.64
   420 A Westford Academy       11-16      -5    -6           1.53
   421 H Lexington HS            8- 5       3    -1    ++     4.06
   424 H Concord-Carlisle       13-15      -2    -6    ++     4.58
   428 H Weston, MA             15-12       3     0    +      2.90
   502 A Waltham                12-13      -1     5    ---   -6.47
   504 A Wayland                 9-12      -3    -7    ++     4.92
   509 H Lincoln-Sudbury, MA    10- 9  o    1     0           1.92
   512 A Newton North           15-11       4     2           1.42
   516 H Westford Academy        9- 8  o    1    -5    +++    6.09
   518 A Concord-Carlisle        4-14     -10    -8          -1.98
   522 H Andover, MA            16-12       4    -1    ++     5.56
   530 H King Philip            10-12      -2     2    --    -4.65

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   502 A Waltham                12-13      -1     5    ---   -6.47
   411 A Lincoln-Sudbury, MA     7-14      -7    -2    --    -4.64
   530 H King Philip            10-12      -2     2    --    -4.65
   330 H Masconomet             11-10 3o    1     3    -     -2.64

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   516 H Westford Academy        9- 8  o    1    -5    +++    6.09
   407 H Wayland                15-17      -2    -6    ++     4.49
   421 H Lexington HS            8- 5       3    -1    ++     4.06
   424 H Concord-Carlisle       13-15      -2    -6    ++     4.58
   504 A Wayland                 9-12      -3    -7    ++     4.92
   522 H Andover, MA            16-12       4    -1    ++     5.56
   403 A Newton South           19-12       7     3    +      3.57
   428 H Weston, MA             15-12       3     0    +      2.90
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.92 Local Power Rank...........    40
 Local SOS Rating......... 72.48 Local SOS Rank.............     7
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.58 Local RPI Rank.............    41
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    15
 Local Quality Win Rating.-65.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    54
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.7
/