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Region = MA East D1 Nickname = A Colonials Coach = Scott BironGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 90.8857422 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 330 H Masconomet MA No D1 ( 9-10, 84.0) 11-10 3o 403 A Newton South MA East D1 ( 9-10, 82.8) 19-12 405 H Cambridge R-L MA East D1 ( 0-15, 67.6) 14- 2 407 H Wayland MA East D2 (17- 3, 94.1) 15-17 411 A Lincoln-Sudbury, MA MA East D1 ( 8-10, 88.6) 7-14 420 A Westford Academy MA East D1 (17- 5, 92.7) 11-16 421 H Lexington HS MA East D1 (17- 4, 88.7) 8- 5 424 H Concord-Carlisle MA East D1 (17- 4, 94.2) 13-15 428 H Weston, MA MA East D2 (13- 7, 87.5) 15-12 502 A Waltham MA East D1 ( 8-10, 80.7) 12-13 504 A Wayland MA East D2 (17- 3, 94.1) 9-12 509 H Lincoln-Sudbury, MA MA East D1 ( 8-10, 88.6) 10- 9 o 512 A Newton North MA East D1 ( 9-10, 83.6) 15-11 516 H Westford Academy MA East D1 (17- 5, 92.7) 9- 8 o 518 A Concord-Carlisle MA East D1 (17- 4, 94.2) 4-14 522 H Andover, MA MA No D1 (18- 7, 89.2) 16-12 530 H King Philip MA East D1 (10-11, 85.0) 10-12PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 330 H Masconomet 11-10 3o 1 3 - -2.64 403 A Newton South 19-12 7 3 + 3.57 405 H Cambridge R-L 14- 2 12 20 0.00 407 H Wayland 15-17 -2 -6 ++ 4.49 411 A Lincoln-Sudbury, MA 7-14 -7 -2 -- -4.64 420 A Westford Academy 11-16 -5 -6 1.53 421 H Lexington HS 8- 5 3 -1 ++ 4.06 424 H Concord-Carlisle 13-15 -2 -6 ++ 4.58 428 H Weston, MA 15-12 3 0 + 2.90 502 A Waltham 12-13 -1 5 --- -6.47 504 A Wayland 9-12 -3 -7 ++ 4.92 509 H Lincoln-Sudbury, MA 10- 9 o 1 0 1.92 512 A Newton North 15-11 4 2 1.42 516 H Westford Academy 9- 8 o 1 -5 +++ 6.09 518 A Concord-Carlisle 4-14 -10 -8 -1.98 522 H Andover, MA 16-12 4 -1 ++ 5.56 530 H King Philip 10-12 -2 2 -- -4.65UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 502 A Waltham 12-13 -1 5 --- -6.47 411 A Lincoln-Sudbury, MA 7-14 -7 -2 -- -4.64 530 H King Philip 10-12 -2 2 -- -4.65 330 H Masconomet 11-10 3o 1 3 - -2.64OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 516 H Westford Academy 9- 8 o 1 -5 +++ 6.09 407 H Wayland 15-17 -2 -6 ++ 4.49 421 H Lexington HS 8- 5 3 -1 ++ 4.06 424 H Concord-Carlisle 13-15 -2 -6 ++ 4.58 504 A Wayland 9-12 -3 -7 ++ 4.92 522 H Andover, MA 16-12 4 -1 ++ 5.56 403 A Newton South 19-12 7 3 + 3.57 428 H Weston, MA 15-12 3 0 + 2.90/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 86.92 Local Power Rank........... 40 Local SOS Rating......... 72.48 Local SOS Rank............. 7 Local RPI Rating......... 0.58 Local RPI Rank............. 41 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 15 Local Quality Win Rating.-65.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 54 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.6 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 11.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -6.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -3.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -2.7