2016 girls Virginia
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWFbased on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%) Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 St. Anne's-Belfi 17 5 3 6 4 2 9 2 13 6.00 2 Collegiate Schoo 11 12 15 3 10 4 5 7 16 1.00 3 Deep Run 14 3 28 69 23 8 12 10 30 0.10 4 Western Albemarl 16 4 30 54 22 9 6 16 31 0.10 5 Albemarle 14 5 32 52 33 19 3 13 35 0.10 6 Douglas Freeman 14 6 33 56 47 10 1 26 37 0.10 7 George Mason 14 6 11 26 14 7 21 15 43 0.10 8 Potomac Falls 19 1 4 44 7 13 25 6 44 3.00 9 Westfield, VA 8 8 19 2 25 12 2 33 47 0.10 10 Robinson Seconda 21 0 1 7 1 1 56 1 58 64.00 11 Highland School 18 0 14 97 6 14 40 5 59 0.10 12 Colonial Forge 17 2 36 102 13 21 28 14 63 0.10 13 Salem, VA 14 5 46 83 36 24 13 27 64 0.10 14 Centreville 15 7 5 5 8 6 46 17 69 9.00 15 Freedom, South R 17 1 16 72 5 18 47 4 69 0.10 16 Chantilly 10 5 20 8 20 23 20 29 72 0.10 17 Massaponax 16 2 37 106 16 28 32 12 72 0.10 18 Tabb Club 15 3 27 88 24 25 23 25 73 0.10 19 George Marshall 16 4 12 75 18 35 15 24 74 0.10 20 Langley 17 2 2 14 3 5 62 8 75 15.00 21 Patriot 12 7 26 30 26 26 7 45 78 0.10 22 Trinity Episcopa 11 8 17 12 15 11 48 19 78 0.10 23 Woodgrove 18 3 6 19 2 3 75 3 81 2.00 24 Bishop Sullivan 13 6 25 47 41 20 19 43 82 0.10 25 Atlee 10 4 40 82 43 30 39 20 89 0.10 26 Monticello, VA 12 6 38 96 56 41 11 38 90 0.10 27 Oakton 5 8 31 1 48 29 4 57 90 0.10 28 Dominion 14 2 9 53 9 31 53 9 93 0.10 29 W.T. Woodson 15 5 8 10 11 15 67 11 93 0.10 30 St. Catherine's, 12 8 18 13 21 16 58 22 96 0.10 31 Battlefield 11 3 10 43 17 22 57 23 102 0.10 32 Yorktown, VA 10 8 22 11 40 38 10 56 104 0.10 33 West Potomac 11 6 29 32 32 42 22 42 106 0.10 34 Norfolk Academy 12 5 13 34 19 17 70 21 108 0.10 35 Kellam Club 12 3 49 103 30 33 55 32 120 0.10 36 Patrick Henry, R 7 5 77 89 57 37 34 50 121 0.10 37 Loudoun County 7 8 47 36 55 47 17 61 125 0.10 38 Annandale 11 9 42 20 46 34 43 52 129 0.10 39 Stone Bridge 10 7 23 29 49 36 35 59 130 0.10 40 McLean, VA 7 6 21 24 38 45 33 53 131 0.10 41 Herndon 3 8 41 4 54 49 26 67 142 0.10 42 Mountain View, V 11 7 53 94 68 54 29 66 149 0.10 43 Grafton Club, VA 9 6 57 95 63 48 38 64 150 0.10 44 Virginia Episcop 6 7 66 51 78 44 30 76 150 0.10 45 South County, Lo 11 5 24 39 31 40 76 41 157 0.10 46 James Madison, V 12 3 7 23 12 27 113 18 158 0.10 47 Riverside, VA 10 5 34 67 35 59 60 40 159 0.10 48 Pope John Paul-G 7 6 44 46 39 39 86 37 162 0.10 49 Glen Allen 10 6 79 129 60 76 52 36 164 0.10 50 Foxcroft School 13 4 35 76 37 32 105 30 167 0.10 51 Steward School 11 10 54 59 83 68 36 65 169 0.10 52 Riverbend 7 7 65 99 80 61 37 75 173 0.10 53 Jefferson Forest 14 3 51 137 27 51 96 28 175 0.10 54 Frank Cox Club 10 7 56 92 72 56 50 73 179 0.10 55 Franklin County, 10 6 72 126 59 55 71 58 184 0.10 56 Hidden Valley 9 9 78 121 106 69 24 91 184 0.10 57 Cape Henry Colle 6 10 58 38 91 46 45 94 185 0.10 58 Broad Run 5 11 52 15 100 63 8 115 186 0.10 59 John Champe 10 8 55 71 77 66 49 74 189 0.10 60 Maury Club 10 5 59 120 51 62 83 48 193 0.10 61 Norfolk Collegia 3 11 91 28 117 64 14 119 197 0.10 62 Thomas Edison, V 10 5 48 90 45 72 78 47 197 0.10 63 Hanover, VA 6 10 92 91 119 77 31 90 198 0.10 64 St. Gertrude 6 7 67 48 52 82 66 51 199 0.10 65 Cosby 12 6 63 124 50 53 103 46 202 0.10 66 Fredericksburg A 6 8 75 73 97 75 42 86 203 0.10 67 Mills Godwin 5 7 87 78 87 60 94 49 203 0.10 68 Midlothian 13 3 43 138 28 52 123 31 206 0.10 69 Eastern View 8 6 69 93 66 70 77 63 210 0.10 70 Osbourn Park 4 7 70 41 69 57 79 80 216 0.10 71 Loudoun Valley 6 11 50 21 75 43 88 87 218 0.10 72 Rock Ridge 6 9 71 50 74 89 41 89 219 0.10 73 Covenant School 0 12 95 18 123 87 18 117 222 0.10 74 First Flight Clu 1 4 84 40 29 50 139 34 223 0.10 75 Washington-Lee 5 8 64 35 64 83 59 81 223 0.10 76 Fauquier 3 6 86 55 76 74 80 70 224 0.10 77 Tuscarora, VA 8 6 45 62 53 80 90 54 224 0.10 78 E.C. Glass 8 9 80 110 107 71 54 103 228 0.10 79 Briar Woods 5 10 61 33 84 85 44 100 229 0.10 80 South Lakes 5 7 39 27 62 79 73 78 230 0.10 81 Culpeper County 8 6 74 108 65 78 91 62 231 0.10 82 Kettle Run 5 6 76 80 73 73 98 68 239 0.10 83 Oakcrest School, 2 3 82 64 42 67 134 39 240 0.10 84 Heritage, VA 0 14 103 16 131 94 16 134 244 0.10 85 James River 1 6 106 42 82 58 111 77 246 0.10 86 Stafford 6 9 85 84 109 88 51 110 249 0.10 87 First Colonial C 5 8 93 105 101 93 65 97 255 0.10 88 Charlottesville 2 12 114 68 134 102 27 130 259 0.10 89 Jamestown Club 5 5 60 127 61 84 116 60 260 0.10 90 Lake Braddock 2 9 81 25 102 96 61 104 261 0.10 91 Trinity Christia 3 7 100 63 94 86 97 79 262 0.10 92 Woodbridge, VA 7 5 68 130 58 90 117 55 262 0.10 93 William Byrd 7 7 88 132 81 91 92 82 265 0.10 94 West Springfield 3 9 62 31 99 98 68 107 273 0.10 95 Forest Park 9 9 73 61 86 65 126 85 276 0.10 96 Manchester, VA 2 5 122 123 67 100 119 69 288 0.10 97 North Stafford 1 10 107 49 127 81 87 124 292 0.10 98 Middleburg Acade 0 2 132 86 44 132 118 44 294 0.10 99 Lee, Springfield 4 8 98 65 90 99 102 95 296 0.10 100 C.D. Hylton 5 9 105 70 79 101 115 83 299 0.10 101 Fairfax 1 9 94 9 92 95 93 113 301 0.10 102 Thomas Dale 1 5 131 104 71 107 124 72 303 0.10 103 Patrick Henry, A 5 8 96 116 103 92 114 98 304 0.10 104 Great Bridge Clu 4 8 104 115 105 103 101 101 305 0.10 105 Mt. Vernon 0 10 121 22 118 112 72 123 307 0.10 106 Fluvanna 4 10 108 98 122 109 82 118 309 0.10 107 T.C. Williams 4 9 83 45 98 97 108 106 311 0.10 108 Fuqua Club 0 1 136 139 34 139 138 35 312 0.10 109 Rockbridge Count 4 11 110 128 130 114 69 131 314 0.10 110 Brentsville Dist 3 11 99 79 128 105 84 129 318 0.10 111 Hayfield 1 9 101 17 89 104 112 102 318 0.10 112 Falls Church 6 8 90 85 95 106 120 96 322 0.10 113 James Monroe 2 10 102 77 125 111 85 126 322 0.10 114 Poquoson Club 3 8 109 119 108 108 109 105 322 0.10 115 Wakefield School 0 13 120 57 136 124 63 135 322 0.10 116 Clover Hill 0 6 126 112 85 121 122 84 327 0.10 117 Park View 0 10 125 37 116 117 89 121 327 0.10 118 Walsingham Acade 4 9 89 81 112 113 100 114 327 0.10 119 Lee-Davis 1 9 118 87 120 116 107 109 332 0.10 120 Powhatan 1 14 127 101 139 130 64 138 332 0.10 121 Cave Spring 1 13 128 118 137 122 74 137 333 0.10 122 York Club, VA 2 7 113 125 96 120 121 93 334 0.10 123 Brooke Point 0 11 112 60 132 110 95 132 337 0.10 124 Monacan 5 7 117 136 88 115 135 88 338 0.10 125 Stonewall Jackso 1 5 135 135 70 136 132 71 339 0.10 126 Liberty-Bealeton 1 9 111 66 121 118 106 120 344 0.10 127 Wakefield HS, VA 1 14 123 74 138 129 81 139 349 0.10 128 Thomas Jefferson 2 7 115 117 93 133 130 92 355 0.10 129 William Fleming 0 11 137 111 133 126 99 133 358 0.10 130 Gar-Field 1 8 133 114 110 125 127 108 360 0.10 131 Menchville Club 1 10 129 109 126 123 110 128 361 0.10 132 Gloucester Club, 1 12 130 107 135 127 104 136 367 0.10 133 St. Margaret's, 0 7 134 113 104 138 136 99 373 0.10 134 Christchurch Sch 5 9 97 133 113 134 128 112 374 0.10 135 Osbourn HS 2 10 116 58 115 119 129 127 375 0.10 136 J.E.B. Stuart 2 10 124 100 111 131 131 116 378 0.10 137 Hermitage 0 10 138 122 129 135 125 122 382 0.10 138 Freedom, Woodbri 0 8 139 131 114 137 137 111 385 0.10 139 Potomac HS 3 10 119 134 124 128 133 125 386 0.10