girls probabilites for 49
 
 

2016 girls NJ Public

CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES

PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Ridgewood 20 3 1 3 2 3 1 2 6 59.00 2 Bridgewater-Rari 21 1 3 15 3 4 4 3 11 22.00 3 Rumson-Fair Have 25 2 10 48 5 6 3 5 14 0.10 4 Chatham 15 6 7 9 10 12 8 9 29 2.00 5 Hunterdon Centra 18 3 9 24 9 11 12 8 31 0.10 6 Summit, NJ 24 1 2 4 1 2 28 1 31 10.00 7 Moorestown 18 6 4 1 6 1 30 4 35 4.00 8 Manasquan 17 5 27 73 20 22 5 10 37 0.10 9 Oak Knoll School 16 9 8 2 8 8 18 15 41 1.00 10 Bernards 18 4 11 31 13 10 20 13 43 0.10 11 Northern Highlan 17 5 12 29 11 15 19 16 50 0.10 12 Rancocas Valley 18 5 22 71 25 16 11 24 51 0.10 13 Mahwah 17 4 13 51 16 19 21 20 60 0.10 14 Seneca, NJ 16 5 16 37 28 25 14 23 62 0.10 15 Immaculate Heart 11 8 19 6 30 17 7 41 65 0.10 16 Clearview Region 14 8 31 23 40 29 2 38 69 0.10 17 Hopewell Valley 18 5 14 28 23 9 42 19 70 0.10 18 Allentown, NJ 13 6 39 44 44 21 17 35 73 0.10 19 Glen Ridge 14 7 20 19 17 35 15 30 80 0.10 20 Hillsborough, NJ 14 5 21 30 18 27 32 22 81 0.10 21 Montclair HS 14 6 25 21 21 32 23 28 83 0.10 22 Wall Township 16 3 59 101 26 14 44 25 83 0.10 23 Mt. Olive 17 2 30 88 14 20 58 11 89 0.10 24 Holy Cross, NJ 19 4 29 93 22 31 43 17 91 0.10 25 Ridge, NJ 12 6 24 14 31 24 33 34 91 0.10 26 Shawnee 20 2 6 20 7 5 80 6 91 0.10 27 Lenape 13 6 15 17 33 13 53 26 92 0.10 28 Ramapo 15 5 28 52 29 30 27 39 96 0.10 29 Mainland Regiona 16 4 49 120 27 38 35 27 100 0.10 30 Shore Regional 16 9 41 57 66 37 6 58 101 0.10 31 West Deptford 16 6 35 59 43 28 34 40 102 0.10 32 Notre Dame, NJ 17 3 17 42 24 18 71 14 103 0.10 33 Mendham 9 10 40 8 53 34 10 64 108 0.10 34 Saddle River Day 17 5 18 43 15 26 73 21 120 0.10 35 Toms River South 15 4 83 153 37 42 49 29 120 0.10 36 Haddonfield 15 6 36 81 47 43 37 46 126 0.10 37 Ocean City 17 4 37 128 39 39 56 36 131 0.10 38 Camden Catholic 17 5 45 91 42 44 48 42 134 0.10 39 West Morris Cent 6 9 48 5 60 50 16 69 135 0.10 40 Mountain Lakes 18 3 5 12 4 7 124 7 138 2.00 41 Morristown 15 7 23 38 38 53 45 45 143 0.10 42 Pope John XXIII, 15 4 43 119 35 46 67 31 144 0.10 43 Washington Towns 11 7 33 33 56 47 41 56 144 0.10 44 Holy Angels Acad 16 3 57 138 19 41 90 18 149 0.10 45 Westfield, NJ 7 9 32 7 67 48 31 70 149 0.10 46 Lakeland Regiona 17 6 52 87 45 51 52 47 150 0.10 47 Pingry School 10 12 50 13 82 40 40 81 161 0.10 48 Red Bank Catholi 16 5 38 92 36 36 93 32 161 0.10 49 Glen Rock 13 5 56 102 46 52 68 44 164 0.10 50 Indian Hills, NJ 10 8 66 40 75 49 36 86 171 0.10 51 Cherokee, NJ 7 13 53 11 116 55 9 113 177 0.10 52 Bishop Eustace P 10 9 58 55 97 59 29 92 180 0.10 53 Northern Burling 13 9 64 82 98 58 25 98 181 0.10 54 Middle Township 17 4 47 160 34 63 87 33 183 0.10 55 Sparta 14 5 26 39 32 23 125 37 185 0.10 56 Egg Harbor Twp 14 5 74 134 51 57 83 53 193 0.10 57 Delran 12 8 80 98 87 70 47 77 194 0.10 58 Freehold Townshi 10 7 87 100 80 56 70 68 194 0.10 59 North Brunswick 20 2 34 145 12 54 128 12 194 0.10 60 Toms River North 12 5 110 166 55 64 79 52 195 0.10 61 Kinnelon 12 8 51 69 70 73 54 73 200 0.10 62 Watchung Hills 6 11 67 18 120 68 13 124 205 0.10 63 Monroe Township 14 7 75 114 54 66 97 54 217 0.10 64 Princeton HS 10 8 42 27 59 33 132 55 220 0.10 65 Lacey Township 12 5 107 190 52 77 99 50 226 0.10 66 Montgomery, NJ 9 10 55 32 108 61 57 108 226 0.10 67 Ocean Township 11 7 84 124 78 74 78 76 228 0.10 68 Delaware Valley, 8 10 68 41 104 78 46 105 229 0.10 69 Pascack Valley 9 9 76 53 95 67 69 101 237 0.10 70 Mt. St. Mary SG, 14 7 44 79 50 71 116 51 238 0.10 71 Cinnaminson 9 8 108 96 99 80 64 96 240 0.10 72 Ramsey, NJ 11 6 77 112 63 62 114 65 241 0.10 73 Red Bank Regiona 10 8 102 108 90 88 62 94 244 0.10 74 West Essex 6 13 62 16 123 87 22 136 245 0.10 75 Paramus HS 15 5 63 107 41 45 159 43 247 0.10 76 Millville 10 9 114 117 107 85 60 103 248 0.10 77 North Hunterdon 5 12 78 26 149 75 24 150 249 0.10 78 St. John Vianney 10 7 79 110 85 84 81 88 253 0.10 79 Governor Livings 14 6 70 146 61 83 111 60 254 0.10 80 Central Regional 10 5 117 178 58 79 123 59 261 0.10 81 West Windsor-PB 7 12 85 22 115 60 112 95 267 0.10 82 Madison, NJ 7 7 54 45 73 90 107 78 275 0.10 83 Jackson Memorial 9 9 122 142 106 98 77 102 277 0.10 84 Pascack Hills 9 8 105 109 94 82 96 100 278 0.10 85 Verona, NJ 10 10 61 47 101 89 72 118 279 0.10 86 Wayne Hills 7 11 101 65 140 92 39 148 279 0.10 87 Manchester Towns 12 7 112 170 76 91 113 79 283 0.10 88 River Dell 9 9 98 123 122 100 61 122 283 0.10 89 Kent Place SG 3 15 90 10 143 106 26 155 287 0.10 90 Southern Regiona 10 7 115 174 84 103 98 87 288 0.10 91 West Milford Tow 11 6 92 161 68 95 133 66 294 0.10 92 Fair Lawn 9 7 134 150 72 101 126 71 298 0.10 93 Manalapan 9 8 119 127 100 69 138 91 298 0.10 94 Morris Catholic 12 8 46 54 71 65 158 75 298 0.10 95 Immaculata, NJ 12 7 86 94 69 93 139 67 299 0.10 96 Westwood, NJ 11 8 88 122 79 81 141 84 306 0.10 97 Howell, NJ 7 10 131 132 141 97 82 129 308 0.10 98 Millburn 11 7 93 136 74 115 119 74 308 0.10 99 Eastern, NJ 5 12 72 25 129 94 88 128 310 0.10 100 Scotch Plains-Fa 8 12 103 63 139 113 50 147 310 0.10 101 Morris Hills 10 8 127 155 93 114 109 90 313 0.10 102 Pequannock Towns 7 9 69 60 118 99 100 120 319 0.10 103 Vernon Township 15 6 65 143 64 76 183 62 321 0.10 104 Cranford 10 9 71 78 103 104 108 110 322 0.10 105 Voorhees 8 8 82 86 96 107 117 99 323 0.10 106 Point Pleasant B 7 11 148 95 145 134 51 139 324 0.10 107 Holmdel 10 9 81 80 89 72 174 85 331 0.10 108 Lower Cape May 10 9 124 168 121 123 92 119 334 0.10 109 Montclair Kimber 9 12 95 66 134 116 75 143 334 0.10 110 Old Bridge 9 10 125 141 135 112 94 131 337 0.10 111 New Providence 6 10 96 72 128 121 84 134 339 0.10 112 Steinert (Ham. E 11 5 152 199 48 120 171 48 339 0.10 113 Wayne Valley 8 8 116 147 109 117 115 109 341 0.10 114 Kittatinny Regio 9 9 133 149 112 129 106 107 342 0.10 115 South Brunswick, 10 9 109 116 124 110 110 123 343 0.10 116 Hightstown 10 8 118 103 81 108 165 72 345 0.10 117 Roxbury 12 8 60 64 83 86 176 83 345 0.10 118 Somerville 5 12 99 35 158 102 95 160 357 0.10 119 Kingsway 7 9 73 75 111 126 118 114 358 0.10 120 Paul VI, NJ 7 12 145 97 166 137 65 159 361 0.10 121 Absegami 7 11 143 106 152 109 101 154 364 0.10 122 Collingswood 11 8 111 131 91 111 157 97 365 0.10 123 NV-Old Tappan 9 9 120 130 113 96 154 117 367 0.10 124 Randolph, NJ 5 11 94 50 155 122 89 156 367 0.10 125 New Egypt 9 12 149 137 165 136 74 158 368 0.10 126 Colts Neck 8 8 126 129 102 125 140 104 369 0.10 127 Morris Knolls 8 12 100 67 148 105 122 145 372 0.10 128 Villa Walsh Acad 4 13 132 58 176 141 59 176 376 0.10 129 Cherry Hill West 5 13 123 56 177 138 63 177 378 0.10 130 Middletown North 7 9 147 156 125 127 136 115 378 0.10 131 Moorestown Frien 6 10 121 46 77 132 166 80 378 0.10 132 Middletown South 8 10 130 152 137 118 135 126 379 0.10 133 Oakcrest, NJ 8 10 150 164 138 139 102 138 379 0.10 134 St. Rose 3 14 163 84 189 161 38 185 384 0.10 135 Robbinsville 5 10 91 61 131 119 143 125 387 0.10 136 Haddon Township 7 8 136 118 110 133 148 111 392 0.10 137 Marlboro, NJ 8 11 142 154 154 131 127 140 398 0.10 138 Montville Townsh 6 12 89 70 164 128 103 167 398 0.10 139 Morristown-Beard 5 12 113 49 144 143 104 152 399 0.10 140 High Point Regio 6 7 144 158 92 130 178 93 401 0.10 141 Cherry Hill East 2 17 137 36 205 144 55 205 404 0.10 142 Waldwick 6 11 151 140 159 140 105 161 406 0.10 143 Donovan Catholic 9 8 135 187 105 142 162 106 410 0.10 144 Atlantic City 4 13 161 125 184 152 76 184 412 0.10 145 Lawrence HS, NJ 7 9 167 162 65 148 207 63 418 0.10 146 Ewing Township 8 7 174 203 88 159 187 82 428 0.10 147 NV-Demarest 6 8 155 183 117 151 161 116 428 0.10 148 Phillipsburg 8 12 97 34 127 124 172 132 428 0.10 149 Gateway Regional 10 10 141 159 130 147 155 130 432 0.10 150 Parsippany Hills 4 4 168 200 62 170 202 61 433 0.10 151 Newark Academy, 2 17 154 62 203 165 66 204 435 0.10 152 Lenape Valley 5 10 160 151 147 153 144 142 439 0.10 153 Caldwell 6 10 104 68 132 135 168 137 440 0.10 154 Pennsauken 4 15 173 105 198 157 86 198 441 0.10 155 Saddle Brook 7 9 162 171 119 146 179 121 446 0.10 156 Park Ridge-Emers 7 8 156 195 114 150 192 112 454 0.10 157 Brick Township 4 11 172 181 162 160 131 164 455 0.10 158 Ranney School 1 16 184 77 190 175 91 190 456 0.10 159 Dwight-Englewood 5 9 158 148 133 156 170 133 459 0.10 160 Tenafly 0 2 208 206 49 206 205 49 460 0.10 161 Maple Shade 3 15 189 126 201 178 85 199 462 0.10 162 Cedar Creek 4 11 175 157 163 166 134 165 465 0.10 163 Jefferson Townsh 7 12 106 83 173 149 149 169 467 0.10 164 Hackettstown 1 3 197 207 57 205 208 57 470 0.10 165 Brick Memorial 4 12 165 188 175 172 130 175 477 0.10 166 West Windsor-PB 3 15 169 74 195 145 142 191 478 0.10 167 Woodstown 6 11 146 133 160 154 163 162 479 0.10 168 Park Regional 4 9 170 169 136 164 182 135 481 0.10 169 Passaic Valley 6 13 177 186 180 162 146 180 488 0.10 170 Livingston 3 13 138 89 182 173 137 182 492 0.10 171 Long Branch 5 12 153 139 174 167 152 174 493 0.10 172 Columbia, NJ 5 13 129 85 181 163 151 181 495 0.10 173 Jackson Liberty, 6 11 157 184 157 158 185 157 500 0.10 174 North Warren, NJ 2 14 187 113 187 169 145 186 500 0.10 175 Williamstown 8 11 139 182 156 168 180 153 501 0.10 176 Trinity Hall 0 7 200 121 86 208 206 89 503 0.10 177 Holy Spirit 3 15 190 165 200 184 120 201 505 0.10 178 South Plainfield 7 10 176 193 146 171 190 144 505 0.10 179 East Brunswick 3 11 181 115 167 155 186 166 507 0.10 180 Sterling 3 17 164 111 206 174 129 206 509 0.10 181 Passaic County T 7 9 178 201 126 183 201 127 511 0.10 182 Rutgers Prep 7 11 140 99 150 177 197 146 520 0.10 183 DePaul Catholic 4 10 171 185 151 179 196 149 524 0.10 184 OLMA, NJ 1 18 202 175 207 198 121 207 526 0.10 185 Toms River East 0 13 201 163 191 189 147 192 528 0.10 186 Union Catholic 2 11 186 177 169 182 177 170 529 0.10 187 Monmouth Regiona 3 14 179 144 193 187 150 194 531 0.10 188 Clifton 3 15 193 179 199 185 153 200 538 0.10 189 Gill St Bernard' 4 14 166 104 172 176 191 173 540 0.10 190 Hamilton West 3 11 194 202 153 195 198 151 544 0.10 191 Barnegat Townshi 1 14 185 180 196 191 160 196 547 0.10 192 Edison, NJ 6 12 180 198 171 188 188 172 548 0.10 193 Mt. St. Dominic 2 14 159 76 194 180 173 195 548 0.10 194 Parsippany 2 9 192 192 142 203 204 141 548 0.10 195 Eastern Christia 1 12 195 176 178 190 181 178 549 0.10 196 Pinelands Region 2 13 188 189 188 192 169 189 550 0.10 197 Gloucester Catho 2 15 191 172 202 193 156 202 551 0.10 198 St. Elizabeth Ac 5 13 183 194 183 186 184 183 553 0.10 199 Warren Hills 4 13 128 90 185 181 189 187 557 0.10 200 Bishop Ahr 0 10 206 191 161 202 194 163 559 0.10 201 Winslow, NJ 2 11 203 197 170 200 193 171 564 0.10 202 Boonton 0 15 204 167 204 199 164 203 566 0.10 203 Neptune 1 14 182 135 197 194 175 197 566 0.10 204 Paramus Catholic 3 11 198 204 168 201 200 168 569 0.10 205 Bergen Tech 0 18 199 173 208 196 167 208 571 0.10 206 Nottingham (Ham. 1 12 207 208 179 204 195 179 578 0.10 207 J.P. Stevens 4 14 196 196 192 197 199 193 589 0.10 208 Burlington City 2 14 205 205 186 207 203 188 598 0.10
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