girls probabilites for 32
2016 girls Massachusetts
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Westwood, MA 24 1 1 4 1 1 1 1 3 45.00
2 Norwell 23 3 10 16 3 7 2 4 13 0.10
3 North Andover 22 4 7 19 7 5 6 5 16 2.00
4 Franklin, MA 19 5 9 7 5 8 4 6 18 1.00
5 Longmeadow 19 5 5 5 8 6 8 10 24 7.00
6 Notre Dame, Hing 19 4 2 1 4 2 26 3 31 29.00
7 Concord-Carlisle 16 6 13 8 13 11 9 14 34 2.00
8 Lincoln-Sudbury, 15 4 4 2 6 4 24 7 35 4.00
9 Needham 20 3 3 3 2 3 30 2 35 6.00
10 Walpole 20 4 6 17 11 10 12 13 35 0.10
11 Cohasset 16 4 8 33 15 15 11 12 38 0.10
12 Wellesley HS 15 5 12 10 18 14 10 18 42 1.00
13 Marblehead 22 2 24 80 9 12 23 8 43 0.10
14 Groton-Dunstable 17 5 29 50 35 16 7 22 45 0.10
15 Medfield 14 6 15 9 22 21 5 23 49 1.00
16 Bromfield School 19 4 22 73 27 13 14 24 51 0.10
17 Acton-Boxborough 15 7 17 6 20 18 20 20 58 0.10
18 Agawam 14 4 19 38 17 22 22 21 65 0.10
19 Wayland 16 6 18 12 19 19 21 26 66 0.10
20 Westborough 17 1 14 55 12 9 48 9 66 0.10
21 Duxbury 12 10 36 14 43 26 3 44 73 0.10
22 Framingham 14 7 25 21 38 29 13 41 83 1.00
23 Masconomet 17 5 21 30 25 17 42 25 84 0.10
24 Hingham 15 7 34 31 34 34 19 37 90 0.10
25 Austin Prep, MA 18 4 35 109 32 32 36 28 96 0.10
26 Grafton Memorial 18 4 45 139 24 37 43 16 96 0.10
27 Bishop Feehan 19 2 11 61 10 24 63 11 98 0.10
28 Dover-Sherborn 14 6 23 20 30 35 32 34 101 0.10
29 Bishop Fenwick, 16 4 37 102 26 36 37 30 103 0.10
30 Braintree 16 7 39 36 36 42 29 39 110 0.10
31 Foxborough 16 5 20 35 28 39 39 33 111 0.10
32 Westford Academy 12 9 28 18 49 41 18 54 113 0.10
33 Ipswich 14 6 46 75 47 46 38 42 126 0.10
34 Newton North 11 9 31 23 57 50 16 62 128 0.10
35 Falmouth Academy 15 1 47 153 14 27 90 15 132 0.10
36 Tyngsborough 15 6 81 117 55 44 45 43 132 0.10
37 Scituate, MA 16 8 51 67 46 52 31 50 133 0.10
38 Billerica Memori 14 6 32 57 42 40 54 40 134 0.10
39 Chelmsford 12 8 48 44 65 45 34 57 136 0.10
40 Andover, MA 13 9 38 15 41 25 79 38 142 0.10
41 Woburn Memorial 16 5 44 86 37 51 55 36 142 0.10
42 King Philip 12 10 43 22 66 55 15 78 148 0.10
43 North Attleborou 13 7 27 45 40 61 41 47 149 1.00
44 Hanover, MA 11 6 64 65 51 48 50 52 150 0.10
45 Algonquin 7 11 60 27 110 57 17 87 161 0.10
46 Marshfield 12 7 59 66 68 43 57 65 165 0.10
47 Minnechaug 16 5 16 28 16 20 129 17 166 0.10
48 Dartmouth 16 2 42 100 21 31 119 19 169 0.10
49 Hopkinton, MA 9 10 41 11 80 58 27 86 171 0.10
50 Tantasqua 14 8 85 128 72 71 35 66 172 0.10
51 Winchester 10 9 55 43 81 66 28 80 174 0.10
52 East Longmeadow 10 8 69 41 53 54 58 67 179 0.10
53 Wachusett 12 8 65 89 74 63 60 56 179 0.10
54 Natick 8 7 40 25 56 60 64 59 183 0.10
55 Mt. Greylock Reg 16 4 53 82 31 23 136 31 190 0.10
56 Martha's Vineyar 11 7 57 74 69 47 71 74 192 0.10
57 Old Rochester 12 6 63 105 54 56 77 60 193 0.10
58 Sandwich 12 6 62 71 59 38 101 55 194 0.10
59 Fairhaven 13 8 74 118 76 67 51 77 195 0.10
60 Danvers 12 8 61 99 83 62 61 73 196 0.10
61 Watertown, MA 16 3 30 92 23 49 123 27 199 0.10
62 Peabody Veterans 14 6 77 131 58 69 95 48 212 0.10
63 Beverly 10 10 76 83 116 65 40 108 213 0.10
64 Littleton, MA 11 8 102 114 86 64 81 76 221 0.10
65 Shrewsbury 8 12 91 51 146 68 33 121 222 0.10
66 Newburyport 14 4 26 59 39 28 160 35 223 0.10
67 Shawsheen Valley 14 6 107 159 60 59 112 53 224 0.10
68 Archbishop Willi 14 7 75 144 70 76 89 70 235 0.10
69 Weston, MA 9 10 56 32 90 79 62 95 236 0.10
70 Wahconah Regiona 15 5 58 72 33 30 175 32 237 0.10
71 Pentucket Region 7 10 90 49 126 73 44 124 241 0.10
72 Falmouth HS, MA 10 9 89 108 95 84 68 91 243 0.10
73 Haverhill 15 7 71 132 61 81 105 58 244 0.10
74 Lowell Catholic 14 5 86 162 44 72 130 45 247 0.10
75 Manchester-Essex 17 3 33 90 29 33 191 29 253 0.10
76 Apponequet 10 8 79 113 82 75 98 81 254 0.10
77 St. John Paul II 14 5 82 179 45 78 131 46 255 0.10
78 Westfield HS, MA 9 8 73 79 77 80 94 83 257 0.10
79 Newton South 11 8 52 60 63 88 103 68 259 0.10
80 Ashland 7 11 67 29 99 97 46 118 261 0.10
81 Hamilton-Wenham 6 10 97 56 128 86 49 127 262 0.10
82 Waltham 9 10 54 47 89 90 78 94 262 0.10
83 Nipmuc 14 7 108 174 71 95 97 71 263 0.10
84 Milton HS, MA 4 9 100 26 92 89 84 92 265 0.10
85 Oakmont Regional 8 9 121 122 112 77 91 97 265 0.10
86 Melrose 13 6 66 130 62 92 114 61 267 0.10
87 Central Catholic 8 12 106 48 132 82 59 129 270 0.10
88 St. Mary's, Lynn 10 9 123 140 103 94 73 106 273 0.10
89 North Middlesex 10 10 87 111 117 85 87 104 276 0.10
90 Bishop Stang 5 11 116 63 142 74 56 147 277 0.10
91 Nauset Regional 11 10 78 104 115 70 92 116 278 0.10
92 West Springfield 7 11 112 64 120 100 52 131 283 0.10
93 Medway 9 10 50 39 97 96 76 112 284 0.10
94 Nantucket HS 9 9 126 145 108 91 88 109 288 0.10
95 Pembroke, MA 12 7 70 126 75 87 128 75 290 0.10
96 Mashpee 11 10 117 150 96 104 86 101 291 0.10
97 Swampscott 10 9 114 142 105 102 104 90 296 0.10
98 Dedham 7 11 103 54 106 112 75 111 298 0.10
99 Reading Memorial 7 11 93 53 145 93 65 141 299 0.10
100 Wakefield Memori 13 6 68 147 64 99 137 63 299 0.10
101 Lynnfield 10 9 88 97 101 98 106 100 304 0.10
102 Methuen 10 11 101 124 123 113 74 119 306 0.10
103 Sharon, MA 10 9 84 84 87 105 110 93 308 0.10
104 Northampton, MA 12 8 49 40 52 53 184 72 309 0.10
105 Triton Regional, 4 14 125 42 178 108 25 176 309 0.10
106 Norwood 4 12 104 24 133 106 70 140 316 0.10
107 Hoosac Valley, M 5 7 152 160 88 109 126 85 320 0.10
108 Lunenburg 11 6 110 192 67 107 149 64 320 0.10
109 Doherty-Worceste 13 8 128 191 79 124 117 82 323 0.10
110 Holliston 4 14 99 13 155 115 47 169 331 0.10
111 Plymouth North, 8 12 109 91 148 103 85 145 333 0.10
112 Oliver Ames 8 11 96 76 118 114 102 123 339 0.10
113 Hudson, MA 10 9 140 164 100 118 124 99 341 0.10
114 Granby, MA 11 5 105 186 50 116 180 51 347 0.10
115 Lowell, MA 11 10 115 133 107 126 118 103 347 0.10
116 Arlington HS, MA 11 10 83 121 98 132 115 102 349 0.10
117 Mansfield 5 12 94 34 147 119 80 150 349 0.10
118 Pittsfield 4 11 160 110 134 120 99 133 352 0.10
119 Canton, MA 8 9 80 68 94 121 139 98 358 0.10
120 Attleboro 5 13 122 52 156 125 69 166 360 0.10
121 Bourne 12 9 95 161 93 123 141 96 360 0.10
122 Whitman-Hanson R 12 11 92 119 127 110 122 128 360 0.10
123 Barnstable 7 11 119 112 140 111 108 142 361 0.10
124 Ursuline Academy 9 10 72 58 84 83 194 84 361 0.10
125 Lexington HS 7 12 98 62 129 101 133 130 364 0.10
126 Brookline 4 12 120 37 137 134 96 136 366 0.10
127 South Hadley 3 15 148 46 170 136 53 177 366 0.10
128 Lee, MA 7 9 147 172 113 128 127 114 369 0.10
129 Pope Francis HS 8 6 131 182 73 131 169 69 369 0.10
130 Salem, MA 10 11 137 167 130 138 109 125 372 0.10
131 New Bedford 10 11 118 134 121 129 125 120 374 0.10
132 Nashoba Regional 4 14 155 78 176 139 72 165 376 0.10
133 Arlington Cathol 4 15 164 96 184 127 67 185 379 0.10
134 Belchertown 6 13 113 98 149 130 93 157 380 0.10
135 Georgetown, MA 7 11 127 123 144 133 116 137 386 0.10
136 Dracut 6 13 135 106 166 117 111 159 387 0.10
137 Marlborough, MA 7 9 145 170 114 137 135 115 387 0.10
138 Leominster 2 15 165 93 185 143 66 179 388 0.10
139 Old Colony Reg V 12 5 142 199 48 144 198 49 391 0.10
140 Weymouth 6 14 143 77 163 147 82 162 391 0.10
141 Bridgewater-Rayn 5 13 124 87 172 122 100 171 393 0.10
142 Chicopee 9 8 146 188 91 142 166 88 396 0.10
143 Gloucester, MA 6 12 151 149 157 141 107 149 397 0.10
144 North Quincy 11 10 111 146 111 140 150 113 403 0.10
145 Sturgis West Cha 5 9 159 177 119 153 134 117 404 0.10
146 Notre Dame, Worc 10 7 139 190 78 145 183 79 407 0.10
147 Cardinal Spellma 7 12 161 157 152 148 113 153 414 0.10
148 Tewksbury Memori 5 16 149 95 186 146 83 186 415 0.10
149 Revere, MA 8 13 157 158 158 158 120 148 426 0.10
150 Bellingham, MA 6 12 132 69 131 152 132 146 430 0.10
151 North Shore-Esse 10 9 138 193 102 149 179 105 433 0.10
152 Coyle-Cassidy 4 7 168 148 85 151 195 89 435 0.10
153 Sturgis East Cha 5 8 169 183 104 157 181 107 445 0.10
154 Amherst-Pelham 5 15 141 88 169 135 142 173 450 0.10
155 Burlington, MA 7 11 130 138 143 160 146 144 450 0.10
156 Northbridge 3 11 182 154 150 162 138 151 451 0.10
157 Abington, MA 8 12 154 166 135 159 162 134 455 0.10
158 Silver Lake 8 12 136 152 151 154 153 152 459 0.10
159 Cambridge R-L 6 11 129 81 125 155 173 132 460 0.10
160 Gr. New Bedford 5 12 162 151 160 150 156 160 466 0.10
161 Rockland 3 13 166 125 161 172 143 156 471 0.10
162 Greater Lowell T 7 12 156 180 154 156 161 155 472 0.10
163 Hull 3 10 172 141 122 174 177 122 473 0.10
164 Sacred Heart, Ki 4 8 186 195 109 171 193 110 474 0.10
165 Belmont, MA 3 13 134 85 174 161 140 175 476 0.10
166 Cape Cod Acad, M 0 11 195 137 159 166 155 158 479 0.10
167 Assabet Valley R 7 10 177 196 124 168 186 126 480 0.10
168 Wilmington 1 15 171 103 187 175 121 187 483 0.10
169 Norton 8 11 153 171 139 163 182 139 484 0.10
170 Bedford Public, 7 11 133 129 141 164 187 143 494 0.10
171 Milford, MA 3 15 163 101 180 170 151 182 503 0.10
172 North Reading 3 13 144 115 175 173 157 174 504 0.10
173 Dennis-Yarmouth 1 12 187 107 171 165 170 170 505 0.10
174 Plymouth South, 5 15 158 136 183 169 152 184 505 0.10
175 Dighton-Rehoboth 0 12 196 116 173 178 163 172 513 0.10
176 Marian, MA 3 14 167 165 179 183 154 180 517 0.10
177 Blackstone Valle 0 14 199 168 182 188 147 183 518 0.10
178 Fitchburg 3 12 183 184 168 176 176 167 519 0.10
179 Matignon 2 16 179 156 193 182 144 193 519 0.10
180 Nashoba Valley T 2 16 194 178 194 181 145 194 520 0.10
181 Boston Latin Sch 3 13 150 70 164 167 190 168 525 0.10
182 Monson 4 12 174 181 167 177 185 164 526 0.10
183 Bristol Co-Op, M 3 10 191 197 136 197 199 135 531 0.10
184 Stoneham 1 16 184 120 195 189 148 195 532 0.10
185 St. Peter-Marian 1 13 190 169 177 187 168 178 533 0.10
186 Winthrop 3 16 185 173 192 186 158 190 534 0.10
187 North Central Ch 3 10 192 198 138 199 200 138 537 0.10
188 Chicopee Comp 4 12 181 187 165 184 192 163 539 0.10
189 East Bridgewater 1 15 178 127 181 191 167 181 539 0.10
190 St. Bernard's, M 5 16 170 189 188 180 172 188 540 0.10
191 Fontbonne Academ 2 11 175 175 153 195 197 154 546 0.10
192 Taunton 1 16 176 94 190 179 178 191 548 0.10
193 Hopedale 3 16 188 176 191 185 174 192 551 0.10
194 Southeastern 5 12 189 200 162 194 196 161 551 0.10
195 Quincy 2 18 180 135 199 190 164 199 553 0.10
196 Saugus 1 17 193 163 196 193 165 196 554 0.10
197 Malden 0 19 197 155 200 196 159 200 555 0.10
198 Medford, MA 2 18 173 143 198 192 171 198 561 0.10
199 St. Mary's, West 0 15 200 185 189 198 189 189 576 0.10
200 Upper Cape Cod R 1 17 198 194 197 200 188 197 585 0.10
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