2016 girls MD-Public
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWFbased on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%) Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Glenelg HS 17 3 5 8 3 3 1 1 5 2.00 2 Dulaney 17 3 8 18 12 4 4 6 14 0.10 3 Manchester Valle 19 1 1 6 1 1 18 2 21 45.00 4 Oakdale 17 3 13 38 9 6 8 7 21 0.10 5 Century, MD 11 5 4 5 5 7 2 13 22 18.00 6 Severna Park 14 2 3 13 4 9 13 5 27 8.00 7 Broadneck 10 5 11 7 15 8 5 17 30 1.00 8 Hereford 15 2 12 35 6 12 10 8 30 0.10 9 Marriotts Ridge 14 2 2 4 2 2 26 3 31 23.00 10 Mt. Hebron 11 5 10 1 8 5 20 10 35 0.10 11 Howard 13 5 7 12 13 13 29 9 51 1.00 12 Queen Anne's Cou 11 8 18 21 21 22 12 21 55 0.10 13 Sherwood, MD 11 2 28 63 16 18 22 15 55 0.10 14 Winston Churchil 11 5 34 56 50 14 6 37 57 0.10 15 Middletown, MD 12 4 30 46 26 24 14 22 60 0.10 16 North Carroll 12 5 6 11 10 15 36 14 65 1.00 17 Towson HS 7 5 21 24 37 29 9 30 68 0.10 18 Atholton 10 5 22 29 17 37 16 16 69 0.10 19 Fallston 12 7 29 31 45 25 3 43 71 0.10 20 Whitman, MD 11 3 33 83 33 16 37 24 77 0.10 21 Huntingtown 12 4 25 53 34 20 28 31 79 0.10 22 Arundel 10 6 26 30 28 40 11 32 83 0.10 23 Kent Island 12 4 16 44 25 36 23 27 86 0.10 24 Liberty, MD 9 7 15 2 18 19 45 28 92 0.10 25 Bel Air 8 5 20 36 30 21 41 33 95 0.10 26 City College 11 0 48 133 14 17 67 12 96 0.10 27 Westminster, MD 10 7 17 10 32 27 32 42 101 1.00 28 Franklin, MD 10 3 47 103 20 35 43 26 104 0.10 29 Winters Mill 7 9 19 3 40 30 19 55 104 0.10 30 Catonsville 7 8 36 20 41 31 46 35 112 0.10 31 Reservoir 7 7 40 26 39 48 17 50 115 0.10 32 Leonardtown 19 1 14 52 7 11 101 4 116 0.10 33 Walkersville 11 6 39 45 38 34 49 36 119 0.10 34 Damascus 12 4 35 62 24 26 75 19 120 0.10 35 South River 8 9 27 15 42 32 53 39 124 0.10 36 Northern, Calver 7 6 45 55 48 38 44 44 126 0.10 37 Stephen Decatur, 15 2 9 23 11 10 108 11 129 0.10 38 Wootton 9 5 54 80 60 33 50 46 129 0.10 39 C. M. Wright 11 8 23 28 22 23 82 25 130 0.10 40 Poolesville 11 3 44 111 29 42 60 29 131 0.10 41 Calvert 13 2 31 87 23 28 87 18 133 0.10 42 Centennial, MD 5 9 37 22 51 58 15 60 133 0.10 43 Southern, Anne A 9 5 24 33 36 39 55 40 134 0.10 44 Sparrows Point 11 6 51 86 54 49 33 53 135 0.10 45 Perryville 13 2 46 115 19 50 69 20 139 0.10 46 Kent County 8 4 42 54 31 43 59 38 140 0.10 47 North Harford 9 8 41 48 57 41 42 57 140 0.10 48 Western, Baltimo 4 3 91 122 44 45 64 41 150 0.10 49 Frederick 8 7 58 65 81 54 24 78 156 0.10 50 South Carroll 5 10 43 14 71 53 7 97 157 0.10 51 Walter Johnson 3 7 81 59 90 52 38 74 164 0.10 52 Parkville 9 4 88 123 43 57 61 48 166 0.10 53 Polytechnic, Bal 8 2 79 134 27 44 109 23 176 0.10 54 Tuscarora, MD 7 6 55 74 59 59 58 59 176 0.10 55 Chopticon 6 6 70 71 75 63 52 68 183 0.10 56 River Hill 3 10 53 16 89 66 21 96 183 0.10 57 Loch Raven 7 8 61 61 95 64 34 86 184 0.10 58 Brunswick, MD 5 9 64 47 80 70 35 83 188 0.10 59 Perry Hall 5 8 69 42 97 68 39 82 189 0.10 60 Easton, MD 7 6 38 40 52 67 54 69 190 0.10 61 Urbana 9 8 60 60 85 46 74 73 193 0.10 62 Chesapeake, Pasa 8 9 32 25 64 56 71 70 197 0.10 63 Richard Montgome 3 4 89 94 58 65 81 52 198 0.10 64 Bethesda-Chevy C 6 6 72 88 63 47 110 49 206 0.10 65 Carver A-T, Balt 7 4 100 124 47 60 95 51 206 0.10 66 Patterson Mill 6 10 50 34 103 55 48 103 206 0.10 67 La Plata 10 6 57 76 53 51 113 47 211 0.10 68 Patapsco 7 5 102 119 62 71 83 64 218 0.10 69 Springbrook 5 5 101 93 72 61 100 58 219 0.10 70 Pikesville 2 9 82 43 118 79 30 116 225 0.10 71 Patuxent 3 7 83 58 88 72 76 79 227 0.10 72 Francis Scott Ke 2 10 87 9 55 94 47 88 229 0.10 73 Chesapeake, Balt 7 5 111 138 61 76 92 62 230 0.10 74 Linganore 4 10 66 50 122 84 27 121 232 0.10 75 North Point 4 9 105 69 123 89 31 114 234 0.10 76 Old Mill 3 8 52 19 87 69 65 101 235 0.10 77 Annapolis, MD 2 11 59 17 115 85 25 126 236 0.10 78 Quince Orchard 6 9 85 89 107 62 70 104 236 0.10 79 Dunbar 2 7 128 110 104 83 57 99 239 0.10 80 Overlea 6 5 115 137 68 75 102 65 242 0.10 81 Mergenthaler 1 4 134 117 66 102 78 63 243 0.10 82 Northwest, MD 8 4 76 120 46 82 117 45 244 0.10 83 Western STES 6 4 108 131 49 73 119 54 246 0.10 84 Boonsboro 9 3 49 99 35 77 137 34 248 0.10 85 Rising Sun 8 6 80 106 73 91 85 72 248 0.10 86 McDonough 6 5 71 100 65 80 111 61 252 0.10 87 J.M. Bennett 6 7 56 49 69 93 89 71 253 0.10 88 Havre De Grace 5 8 73 66 109 95 51 108 254 0.10 89 Lansdowne 5 8 113 128 110 100 56 106 262 0.10 90 Parkside 5 9 65 27 77 74 107 81 262 0.10 91 Harford Tech 6 7 62 64 94 86 84 93 263 0.10 92 Great Mills 4 6 75 79 82 78 112 76 266 0.10 93 Gaithersburg 5 7 97 107 98 81 97 89 267 0.10 94 Kenwood 4 8 114 114 112 92 63 112 267 0.10 95 Montgomery Blair 8 5 104 125 56 96 120 56 272 0.10 96 Clarksburg 4 7 107 105 100 88 90 98 276 0.10 97 Digital Harbor 1 7 135 113 106 105 66 105 276 0.10 98 Northeast, MD 4 9 63 32 102 90 77 109 276 0.10 99 Watkins Mill 8 6 90 121 74 97 104 75 276 0.10 100 North East, Ceci 6 7 93 108 96 99 86 95 280 0.10 101 Catoctin 1 12 117 57 133 108 40 133 281 0.10 102 North Hagerstown 7 7 67 73 67 87 127 67 281 0.10 103 Rockville 1 20 118 91 119 98 68 117 283 0.10 104 Edgewood, MD 4 8 86 82 111 101 73 111 285 0.10 105 Elkton 6 7 92 109 93 104 94 92 290 0.10 106 North Caroline 4 8 78 41 79 107 91 94 292 0.10 107 Magruder 6 7 106 116 83 103 106 87 296 0.10 108 Gov. Thomas John 3 9 95 75 121 109 72 119 300 0.10 109 Eastern Technica 1 12 96 51 139 115 62 134 311 0.10 110 Wilde Lake 7 6 68 90 76 111 129 77 317 0.10 111 Meade 6 5 74 97 70 118 136 66 320 0.10 112 Blake, MD 1 10 112 72 129 106 88 127 321 0.10 113 Cambridge-S Dorc 2 10 94 37 105 112 99 110 321 0.10 114 Milford Mill 5 6 127 139 78 116 132 80 328 0.10 115 Wicomico (Wi-Hi) 0 12 116 39 127 125 79 129 333 0.10 116 Hammond 4 7 84 81 101 113 123 100 336 0.10 117 New Town 4 6 131 140 84 119 133 84 336 0.10 118 Bohemia Manor 0 11 133 92 138 124 80 139 343 0.10 119 Paint Branch 3 7 109 102 99 110 131 102 343 0.10 120 Lackey 1 9 119 84 125 117 105 123 345 0.10 121 St. Charles, MD 3 8 103 101 114 114 116 115 345 0.10 122 Edmondson-Westsi 3 6 125 135 86 129 134 85 348 0.10 123 Thomas Stone 2 11 120 98 135 120 93 136 349 0.10 124 Dundalk 0 10 139 118 131 121 98 131 350 0.10 125 Joppatowne 1 8 121 96 117 122 115 120 357 0.10 126 Wheaton, MD 2 6 130 129 92 130 138 91 359 0.10 127 Owings Mills 1 11 137 126 137 126 96 138 360 0.10 128 Northwood, MD 2 6 126 127 91 131 140 90 361 0.10 129 North County 4 8 77 85 113 123 128 113 364 0.10 130 Seneca Valley, M 2 11 132 112 134 128 103 135 366 0.10 131 Smithsburg 2 8 99 77 108 132 130 107 369 0.10 132 Glen Burnie 3 9 98 67 124 127 126 124 377 0.10 133 Long Reach 1 10 110 78 130 134 118 130 382 0.10 134 Westlake, MD 1 9 129 95 126 133 125 125 383 0.10 135 Woodlawn 0 9 140 136 128 135 122 128 385 0.10 136 Oakland Mills 1 12 123 68 140 136 114 140 390 0.10 137 South Hagerstown 0 12 124 70 132 138 124 132 394 0.10 138 Aberdeen 1 11 122 104 136 137 121 137 395 0.10 139 Einstein 1 8 136 130 116 139 139 118 396 0.10 140 Kennedy, MD 0 8 138 132 120 140 135 122 397 0.10