2016 girls FL-FHSAA
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWFbased on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%) Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Ponte Vedra 14 4 4 2 5 3 2 4 9 17.00 2 Olympia 21 3 5 14 3 6 1 3 10 1.00 3 Vero Beach 19 5 2 1 4 4 6 5 15 31.00 4 St. Thomas Aquin 14 4 7 10 7 7 3 7 17 3.00 5 American Heritag 20 3 6 12 6 5 7 6 18 1.00 6 Bartram Trail 19 6 3 3 2 2 16 2 20 21.00 7 Bishop Moore 10 6 12 5 11 12 4 14 30 2.00 8 Oviedo 15 7 10 8 10 10 5 15 30 0.10 9 George Steinbren 13 3 29 43 20 11 12 13 36 0.10 10 Lake Highland Pr 18 2 1 4 1 1 39 1 41 21.00 11 Creekside 11 6 11 11 16 9 17 17 43 3.00 12 Barron G. Collie 16 5 9 15 9 13 21 12 46 0.10 13 Pine Crest 12 7 14 13 28 15 10 26 51 0.10 14 H.B. Plant 15 2 16 53 15 8 36 8 52 0.10 15 Rockledge 17 1 25 126 13 19 23 11 53 0.10 16 Newsome 11 5 30 49 39 21 9 29 59 0.10 17 Winter Springs 13 3 15 24 14 14 34 16 64 0.10 18 Benjamin School 14 7 19 18 22 18 31 20 69 0.10 19 Lake Brantley 11 10 20 9 30 28 8 36 72 0.10 20 St. Stephen's ES 12 4 32 55 26 20 25 28 73 0.10 21 Gulf Coast, FL 15 3 17 57 18 25 29 22 76 0.10 22 St. Andrew's, FL 12 7 24 20 43 26 15 42 83 0.10 23 Naples 14 5 18 39 23 29 33 23 85 0.10 24 West Orange 17 4 8 27 8 16 60 9 85 0.10 25 Jensen Beach 9 9 28 6 44 22 13 51 86 0.10 26 Spanish River 12 2 13 37 21 17 51 19 87 0.10 27 Merritt Island 13 4 49 112 35 35 24 30 89 0.10 28 Oak Hall 12 6 22 28 32 31 28 31 90 0.10 29 Martin County 9 9 26 7 45 23 26 49 98 0.10 30 Sebastian River 12 6 41 71 49 34 19 48 101 0.10 31 Durant 10 4 39 60 40 24 45 33 102 0.10 32 Canterbury Schoo 17 1 36 129 12 27 71 10 108 0.10 33 Dr. Phillips 13 3 27 41 17 33 54 21 108 0.10 34 Matanzas 13 4 31 50 25 30 55 25 110 0.10 35 Fleming Island 7 5 40 26 34 32 44 35 111 0.10 36 Lake Mary HS 11 7 23 19 31 39 27 46 112 0.10 37 St. Augustine 14 4 33 75 24 41 53 24 118 0.10 38 Estero 14 6 53 98 48 47 20 54 121 0.10 39 Cooper City 13 5 43 93 33 48 43 34 125 0.10 40 Oxbridge Academy 12 6 50 62 54 37 42 47 126 0.10 41 Cardinal Mooney, 10 5 48 68 47 38 50 44 132 0.10 42 Ransom Everglade 13 2 44 150 19 36 79 18 133 0.10 43 Hagerty 10 10 35 16 65 42 18 74 134 0.10 44 Winter Park 14 4 21 51 27 44 67 27 138 0.10 45 Nease 6 10 61 17 87 49 11 85 145 0.10 46 South Fork 10 4 37 56 36 40 66 39 145 0.10 47 Edgewater 11 7 51 47 38 61 40 45 146 0.10 48 Cypress Bay 9 4 66 74 37 43 69 37 149 0.10 49 Cardinal Newman, 10 6 42 66 53 46 61 53 160 0.10 50 St. John Paul II 7 9 38 22 91 51 22 95 168 0.10 51 Bishop Verot 10 6 74 92 63 53 52 64 169 0.10 52 Boca Raton Commu 10 4 46 72 29 57 82 32 171 0.10 53 Trinity Prep, FL 9 8 34 29 76 58 41 76 175 0.10 54 Buchholz 8 7 62 30 77 45 56 77 178 0.10 55 Melbourne HS 10 6 70 123 67 59 59 61 179 0.10 56 Timber Creek 8 9 64 25 75 62 32 88 182 0.10 57 Wharton 7 4 59 78 46 52 98 38 188 0.10 58 University HS, N 7 9 82 38 99 56 38 100 194 0.10 59 Wellington, FL 10 6 63 76 50 66 75 56 197 0.10 60 West Broward 10 5 60 127 57 65 81 57 203 0.10 61 Out-of-Door Acad 5 6 57 70 84 55 70 80 205 0.10 62 Stoneman Douglas 8 9 55 35 88 67 48 90 205 0.10 63 Sickles 7 7 75 82 90 77 58 71 206 0.10 64 Pedro Menendez 6 8 69 45 97 63 47 97 207 0.10 65 Tampa Catholic 7 12 86 31 151 54 14 144 212 0.10 66 Satellite 8 8 92 104 104 70 46 98 214 0.10 67 Western, FL 7 5 72 107 59 72 83 59 214 0.10 68 Robinson, FL 9 5 58 116 55 74 99 43 216 0.10 69 First Academy 5 10 73 23 111 69 30 121 220 0.10 70 Episcopal School 9 7 76 95 78 71 72 78 221 0.10 71 Cardinal Gibbons 7 9 56 33 101 64 68 96 228 0.10 72 Seminole, Sanfor 8 6 54 58 56 80 93 55 228 0.10 73 Park Vista 6 11 52 21 128 60 37 132 229 0.10 74 Jupiter 7 11 68 32 137 68 35 128 231 0.10 75 Gulf Breeze 12 6 47 105 58 50 126 58 234 0.10 76 Celebration 7 6 45 54 60 82 91 65 238 0.10 77 Coral Shores 10 4 80 161 42 73 124 41 238 0.10 78 Stanton College 10 6 81 132 68 75 95 68 238 0.10 79 Fletcher 10 7 93 139 73 83 84 73 240 0.10 80 Community Sch-Na 5 8 105 52 95 78 62 105 245 0.10 81 Gainesville, FL 6 6 71 83 70 81 105 70 256 0.10 82 Cypress Lake 5 9 87 84 123 85 49 125 259 0.10 83 Coral Reef 4 5 121 133 69 79 115 69 263 0.10 84 Holy Names Acad, 6 6 83 113 79 86 116 66 268 0.10 85 St. Edward's 4 6 79 44 86 76 106 87 269 0.10 86 Lyman 4 8 88 34 93 93 85 94 272 0.10 87 Berkeley Prep, F 7 10 89 103 130 102 63 109 274 0.10 88 Calvary Christia 8 4 84 147 41 89 147 40 276 0.10 89 West Boca Raton 8 8 78 106 100 87 88 101 276 0.10 90 Suncoast Communi 9 6 85 138 71 84 121 72 277 0.10 91 South Plantation 5 9 91 77 107 99 74 107 280 0.10 92 Pensacola 8 5 95 159 61 90 132 60 282 0.10 93 Miami Killian 1 5 158 101 82 100 100 83 283 0.10 94 Freedom, Tampa 5 8 99 96 112 103 89 93 285 0.10 95 Fort Myers 5 10 107 86 140 88 57 142 287 0.10 96 Calvary Christia 0 3 143 67 52 130 112 50 292 0.10 97 Palmetto Ridge 6 8 102 91 96 92 96 104 292 0.10 98 Boone 10 8 67 90 92 96 107 92 295 0.10 99 Golden Gate 6 9 109 85 106 97 80 119 296 0.10 100 East Ridge, FL 9 7 77 99 72 91 125 81 297 0.10 101 Pine School 6 7 90 121 94 95 114 91 300 0.10 102 Ocoee 5 12 97 48 144 94 64 151 309 0.10 103 Wekiva 7 10 94 80 114 114 77 123 314 0.10 104 Melbourne Centra 8 6 104 146 74 106 134 75 315 0.10 105 Seminole Ridge 6 9 112 120 125 101 90 124 315 0.10 106 Bloomingdale 5 8 101 102 109 105 102 110 317 0.10 107 Miami Palmetto 2 5 122 130 81 110 130 79 319 0.10 108 Port Charlotte 6 5 98 143 64 107 150 63 320 0.10 109 Eastside, Gaines 7 9 100 111 120 98 103 120 321 0.10 110 Lake Nona 10 7 65 125 80 111 129 82 322 0.10 111 Bolles School 5 8 110 119 110 104 110 111 325 0.10 112 Viera 4 10 111 109 145 108 76 141 325 0.10 113 Windermere Prep 1 3 113 97 51 134 148 52 334 0.10 114 Flagler Palm Coa 3 13 124 61 160 109 65 161 335 0.10 115 American Heritag 3 11 114 65 146 119 73 147 339 0.10 116 Sandalwood 5 6 115 153 85 112 141 86 339 0.10 117 King's Academy 10 6 106 163 66 126 154 67 347 0.10 118 Lely 3 10 116 63 127 120 92 137 349 0.10 119 Eau Gallie 2 8 127 100 121 115 118 118 351 0.10 120 University HS, O 2 7 103 64 105 118 127 106 351 0.10 121 Taravella 5 7 118 137 98 113 140 99 352 0.10 122 Lake Howell 3 10 117 40 133 117 97 140 354 0.10 123 Riverview 2 9 125 69 138 116 111 133 360 0.10 124 Atlantic HS 0 7 163 114 108 136 122 108 366 0.10 125 West Shore, FL 3 8 135 128 119 121 128 117 366 0.10 126 East River 4 9 96 89 131 125 117 126 368 0.10 127 Cocoa Beach 2 9 134 108 135 123 119 131 373 0.10 128 W.T. Dwyer 5 13 123 110 161 122 94 160 376 0.10 129 All Saints Acade 4 8 132 118 115 128 137 114 379 0.10 130 Cypress Creek 4 11 119 81 147 127 104 148 379 0.10 131 Cape Coral 1 15 133 94 165 139 78 165 382 0.10 132 Riverdale, FL 4 12 126 117 157 124 101 157 382 0.10 133 Holy Trinity Epi 3 7 128 144 102 131 152 102 385 0.10 134 Apopka 0 14 155 42 163 137 87 163 387 0.10 135 Santa Fe, FL 2 4 149 165 62 161 165 62 388 0.10 136 Alonso 1 11 136 79 153 132 108 149 389 0.10 137 Freedom, Orlando 0 14 151 46 164 142 86 164 392 0.10 138 Palm Beach Garde 4 8 129 148 118 138 142 113 393 0.10 139 Orangewood CS 1 11 131 36 152 129 113 153 395 0.10 140 Booker T. Washin 3 6 141 160 89 153 161 89 403 0.10 141 Flanagan 1 9 140 115 139 133 131 139 403 0.10 142 Immokalee 1 12 152 73 154 141 109 158 408 0.10 143 Newberry 1 5 159 149 83 162 162 84 408 0.10 144 Coral Springs Ch 2 9 139 131 136 135 139 136 410 0.10 145 Atlantic Coast 4 8 130 156 116 144 153 115 412 0.10 146 Edgewood, FL 0 9 153 124 141 146 135 138 419 0.10 147 Lake Minneola 4 9 108 135 124 140 151 129 420 0.10 148 Lake Mary Prep 5 8 120 152 113 152 158 112 422 0.10 149 Palmer Trinity 3 10 147 154 148 143 136 146 425 0.10 150 Key West 3 7 148 164 103 160 163 103 426 0.10 151 Palm Beach Centr 2 8 142 140 122 151 155 122 428 0.10 152 Colonial, FL 0 11 161 59 149 148 133 150 431 0.10 153 Jefferson, FL 1 12 144 122 158 154 123 154 431 0.10 154 Olympic Heights 0 13 146 88 162 149 120 162 431 0.10 155 Hollywood Hills 4 8 137 157 117 158 159 116 433 0.10 156 North Broward Pr 4 10 138 145 143 147 143 145 435 0.10 157 Plantation 0 9 154 87 134 157 146 135 438 0.10 158 West Florida A.T 4 12 145 141 132 145 160 134 439 0.10 159 Mandarin 2 12 156 151 159 150 138 159 447 0.10 160 John I. Leonard 0 8 164 158 126 164 157 127 448 0.10 161 John Carroll CS, 0 10 157 134 150 155 144 152 451 0.10 162 Paxon Institute 1 11 160 142 155 156 145 155 456 0.10 163 Seacoast Collegi 0 8 165 162 129 165 164 130 459 0.10 164 Gulliver Prep 0 9 162 155 142 163 156 143 462 0.10 165 Tampa Bay Tech 1 11 150 136 156 159 149 156 464 0.10