girls probabilites for 12
2016 girls Connecticut
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Daniel Hand 18 3 6 19 4 3 3 3 9 1.00
2 New Canaan 19 4 2 3 2 2 6 2 10 19.00
3 Fairfield Warde 14 6 9 5 7 6 1 7 14 2.00
4 Joel Barlow 19 3 5 21 6 7 11 5 23 0.10
5 Branford 16 4 13 25 13 10 7 11 28 0.10
6 Glastonbury 11 7 10 7 11 9 5 14 28 4.00
7 East Lyme 16 4 18 45 15 8 9 13 30 0.10
8 Cheshire HS 14 6 12 18 14 16 8 12 36 0.10
9 Conard 15 3 4 24 9 12 17 10 39 1.00
10 Greenwich HS, CT 14 7 7 1 5 4 29 6 39 2.00
11 Ridgefield 16 3 3 8 3 5 30 4 39 5.00
12 Old Lyme 17 2 16 51 10 11 21 9 41 0.10
13 Canton, CT 17 3 14 48 16 13 15 15 43 0.10
14 Darien 21 1 1 2 1 1 45 1 47 60.00
15 Fairfield Ludlow 9 9 17 6 25 19 4 28 51 0.10
16 Wilton 10 10 8 4 12 14 23 16 53 5.00
17 Simsbury 8 9 31 14 31 21 2 31 54 0.10
18 Lauralton Hall 12 6 22 33 24 23 12 23 58 0.10
19 Norwalk 9 8 21 9 22 26 10 26 62 0.10
20 Somers, CT 16 4 27 56 23 17 26 19 62 0.10
21 South Windsor 13 4 20 34 17 18 25 20 63 0.10
22 Staples 9 7 15 11 21 27 22 25 74 1.00
23 Granby Memorial, 10 8 36 37 44 24 13 39 76 0.10
24 Guilford, CT 9 9 28 27 35 32 14 33 79 0.10
25 New Fairfield 15 4 11 22 8 15 56 8 79 0.10
26 Pomperaug 16 4 19 47 18 22 43 17 82 0.10
27 Bacon Academy 14 5 40 64 27 20 42 22 84 0.10
28 Weston, CT 10 9 24 28 39 31 18 41 90 0.10
29 St. Joseph, CT 11 9 26 20 30 30 34 34 98 0.10
30 Sheehan 15 3 33 65 19 29 53 18 100 0.10
31 Old Saybrook 10 7 32 38 38 28 41 36 105 0.10
32 Ellington 11 7 38 52 42 25 47 35 107 0.10
33 Farmington, CT 11 7 29 36 29 34 44 30 108 0.10
34 Newtown 10 9 25 26 37 35 31 43 109 0.10
35 Morgan School 9 9 48 50 53 36 27 47 110 0.10
36 Trumbull 8 9 37 15 33 37 35 38 110 0.10
37 Danbury 5 11 35 13 45 44 24 50 118 0.10
38 Stamford 9 7 23 23 28 40 50 29 119 0.10
39 Stonington 12 6 41 75 32 38 54 27 119 0.10
40 Avon, CT 3 12 54 17 60 47 16 63 126 0.10
41 Haddam-Killingwo 7 9 42 39 49 43 38 46 127 0.10
42 East Catholic 14 3 30 72 20 33 75 21 129 0.10
43 Waterford, CT 12 6 43 78 34 41 58 32 131 0.10
44 North Branford 8 9 46 55 54 45 36 51 132 0.10
45 North Haven 13 4 39 69 26 39 69 24 132 0.10
46 Masuk 8 10 44 35 51 42 37 54 133 0.10
47 Hall, West Hartf 3 13 49 16 68 54 19 71 144 0.10
48 Ledyard 4 12 79 59 77 55 20 70 145 0.10
49 Mercy, CT 7 10 50 42 56 51 39 55 145 0.10
50 Lewis Mills 11 6 53 81 36 48 64 37 149 0.10
51 West Haven 7 9 52 49 47 52 48 49 149 0.10
52 Brookfield, CT 8 10 34 31 50 46 55 52 153 0.10
53 Bethel, CT 5 10 57 29 58 53 46 58 157 0.10
54 Brien McMahon 3 13 56 10 55 58 33 66 157 0.10
55 Amity 4 12 59 30 71 59 32 69 160 0.10
56 Westhill, CT 2 14 58 12 66 63 28 72 163 0.10
57 Immaculate Heart 9 8 51 58 40 49 78 40 167 0.10
58 Suffield HS 4 12 74 46 80 50 40 77 167 0.10
59 Norwich Free Aca 6 10 65 71 64 62 59 56 177 0.10
60 Woodstock Academ 8 8 66 74 48 56 76 45 177 0.10
61 Shelton 8 9 47 62 57 60 62 57 179 0.10
62 Tolland 6 10 69 67 70 64 60 62 186 0.10
63 Fitch 4 11 76 57 67 57 72 59 188 0.10
64 Watertown, CT 8 8 63 82 46 66 74 48 188 0.10
65 Windsor, CT 10 6 45 77 41 61 88 42 191 0.10
66 Housatonic Regio 11 7 60 88 43 67 83 44 194 0.10
67 Berlin 6 10 67 68 59 65 70 60 195 0.10
68 Sacred Heart Aca 3 12 70 43 75 71 52 74 197 0.10
69 Newington 5 10 73 60 61 68 71 64 203 0.10
70 St. Bernard, CT 7 10 75 83 65 72 66 65 203 0.10
71 Jonathan Law 7 10 55 66 63 69 68 67 204 0.10
72 Montville, CT 7 8 78 87 52 74 84 53 211 0.10
73 Northwest Cathol 6 10 64 63 62 70 80 61 211 0.10
74 Valley Regional 1 15 82 44 88 75 49 88 212 0.10
75 Bunnell 5 12 61 53 73 73 65 78 216 0.10
76 New Milford 2 13 72 32 81 76 57 84 217 0.10
77 Hamden 0 16 85 41 89 82 51 89 222 0.10
78 Southington 3 13 71 40 79 77 63 82 222 0.10
79 Stratford, CT 4 12 68 54 78 78 67 79 224 0.10
80 Notre Dame-Fairf 5 11 77 70 72 79 73 73 225 0.10
81 Joseph Foran 6 10 62 76 69 81 81 68 230 0.10
82 Lyman Hall 1 15 86 61 90 84 61 90 235 0.10
83 Rocky Hill HS 4 12 81 73 82 80 82 80 242 0.10
84 Griswold 3 12 89 84 84 85 77 81 243 0.10
85 RHAM 5 11 80 80 76 83 86 76 245 0.10
86 Holy Cross, CT 5 11 84 89 74 86 85 75 246 0.10
87 St. Paul Catholi 1 13 87 85 85 88 79 85 252 0.10
88 Wheeler, CT 0 14 90 79 87 87 87 87 261 0.10
89 Bristol Co-Op, C 4 12 83 90 83 89 90 83 262 0.10
90 Amistad Acad 1 13 88 86 86 90 89 86 265 0.10
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