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Region = VA 6A North Nickname = A Patriots Coach = Crystal (Morgan) FraseGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 88.4027405 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 315 H Chantilly VA 6A North (10- 5, 84.1) 20-21 o 317 A Langley VA 6A North (17- 2, 94.2) 9-16 330 H Broad Run VA 5A North ( 5-11, 75.0) 21-14 402 N Centreville VA 6A North (15- 7, 90.7) 7-17 402 N West Potomac VA 6A North (11- 6, 81.9) 15-16 405 H South Lakes VA 6A North ( 5- 7, 79.0) 15- 3 407 A Hayfield VA 6A North ( 1- 9, 63.8) 20- 8 412 A James Madison, VA VA 6A North (12- 3, 88.7) 12-15 415 H Washington-Lee VA 6A North ( 5- 8, 72.7) 18- 6 419 A Briar Woods VA 5A North ( 5-10, 73.1) 24-15 421 A Oakton VA 6A North ( 5- 8, 81.2) 17-13 426 H McLean, VA VA 6A North ( 7- 6, 84.0) 14-19 429 A Fairfax VA 6A North ( 1- 9, 65.3) 18- 4 503 H South County, Lorton VA 6A North (11- 5, 82.5) 15-10 505 H South Lakes VA 6A North ( 5- 7, 79.0) 18-14 511 N Langley VA 6A North (17- 2, 94.2) 9-20 517 N Battlefield VA 6A North (11- 3, 87.2) 19-15 519 A W.T. Woodson VA 6A North (15- 5, 88.7) 12-16PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 315 H Chantilly 20-21 o -1 0 -1.63 317 A Langley 9-16 -7 -11 + 3.00 330 H Broad Run 21-14 7 9 - -2.73 402 N Centreville 7-17 -10 -6 - -3.09 402 N West Potomac 15-16 -1 1 - -2.88 405 H South Lakes 15- 3 12 5 ++ 4.32 407 A Hayfield 20- 8 12 19 0.00 412 A James Madison, VA 12-15 -3 -5 + 2.89 415 H Washington-Lee 18- 6 12 12 0.00 419 A Briar Woods 24-15 9 9 -0.79 421 A Oakton 17-13 4 1 + 2.33 426 H McLean, VA 14-19 -5 0 -- -5.73 429 A Fairfax 18- 4 14 17 0.00 503 H South County, Lorton 15-10 5 2 + 2.82 505 H South Lakes 18-14 4 5 -1.68 511 N Langley 9-20 -11 -10 0.00 517 N Battlefield 19-15 4 -3 +++ 7.45 519 A W.T. Woodson 12-16 -4 -5 1.84UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 426 H McLean, VA 14-19 -5 0 -- -5.73 330 H Broad Run 21-14 7 9 - -2.73 402 N Centreville 7-17 -10 -6 - -3.09 402 N West Potomac 15-16 -1 1 - -2.88OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 517 N Battlefield 19-15 4 -3 +++ 7.45 405 H South Lakes 15- 3 12 5 ++ 4.32 317 A Langley 9-16 -7 -11 + 3.00 412 A James Madison, VA 12-15 -3 -5 + 2.89 421 A Oakton 17-13 4 1 + 2.33 503 H South County, Lorton 15-10 5 2 + 2.82/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 83.79 Local Power Rank........... 22 Local SOS Rating......... 61.05 Local SOS Rank............. 11 Local RPI Rating......... 0.55 Local RPI Rank............. 38 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 139 Local Quality Win Rating.-40.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 40 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 15.7 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 13.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 10- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.3 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -9.3 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -5.2 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -4.6 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -3.7