Region = VA 6A North            
   Nickname = A Patriots             Coach  =   Crystal (Morgan) Frase

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.4027405    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 315 H Chantilly              VA 6A North   (10- 5, 84.1)    20-21  o
 317 A Langley                VA 6A North   (17- 2, 94.2)     9-16   
 330 H Broad Run              VA 5A North   ( 5-11, 75.0)    21-14   
 402 N Centreville            VA 6A North   (15- 7, 90.7)     7-17   
 402 N West Potomac           VA 6A North   (11- 6, 81.9)    15-16   
 405 H South Lakes            VA 6A North   ( 5- 7, 79.0)    15- 3   
 407 A Hayfield               VA 6A North   ( 1- 9, 63.8)    20- 8   
 412 A James Madison, VA      VA 6A North   (12- 3, 88.7)    12-15   
 415 H Washington-Lee         VA 6A North   ( 5- 8, 72.7)    18- 6   
 419 A Briar Woods            VA 5A North   ( 5-10, 73.1)    24-15   
 421 A Oakton                 VA 6A North   ( 5- 8, 81.2)    17-13   
 426 H McLean, VA             VA 6A North   ( 7- 6, 84.0)    14-19   
 429 A Fairfax                VA 6A North   ( 1- 9, 65.3)    18- 4   
 503 H South County, Lorton   VA 6A North   (11- 5, 82.5)    15-10   
 505 H South Lakes            VA 6A North   ( 5- 7, 79.0)    18-14   
 511 N Langley                VA 6A North   (17- 2, 94.2)     9-20   
 517 N Battlefield            VA 6A North   (11- 3, 87.2)    19-15   
 519 A W.T. Woodson           VA 6A North   (15- 5, 88.7)    12-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   315 H Chantilly              20-21  o   -1     0          -1.63
   317 A Langley                 9-16      -7   -11    +      3.00
   330 H Broad Run              21-14       7     9    -     -2.73
   402 N Centreville             7-17     -10    -6    -     -3.09
   402 N West Potomac           15-16      -1     1    -     -2.88
   405 H South Lakes            15- 3      12     5    ++     4.32
   407 A Hayfield               20- 8      12    19           0.00
   412 A James Madison, VA      12-15      -3    -5    +      2.89
   415 H Washington-Lee         18- 6      12    12           0.00
   419 A Briar Woods            24-15       9     9          -0.79
   421 A Oakton                 17-13       4     1    +      2.33
   426 H McLean, VA             14-19      -5     0    --    -5.73
   429 A Fairfax                18- 4      14    17           0.00
   503 H South County, Lorton   15-10       5     2    +      2.82
   505 H South Lakes            18-14       4     5          -1.68
   511 N Langley                 9-20     -11   -10           0.00
   517 N Battlefield            19-15       4    -3    +++    7.45
   519 A W.T. Woodson           12-16      -4    -5           1.84

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   426 H McLean, VA             14-19      -5     0    --    -5.73
   330 H Broad Run              21-14       7     9    -     -2.73
   402 N Centreville             7-17     -10    -6    -     -3.09
   402 N West Potomac           15-16      -1     1    -     -2.88

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   517 N Battlefield            19-15       4    -3    +++    7.45
   405 H South Lakes            15- 3      12     5    ++     4.32
   317 A Langley                 9-16      -7   -11    +      3.00
   412 A James Madison, VA      12-15      -3    -5    +      2.89
   421 A Oakton                 17-13       4     1    +      2.33
   503 H South County, Lorton   15-10       5     2    +      2.82
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.79 Local Power Rank...........    22
 Local SOS Rating......... 61.05 Local SOS Rank.............    11
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.55 Local RPI Rank.............    38
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   139
 Local Quality Win Rating.-40.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    40
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   15.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......   13.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.7
/