Conf =  ECIC                      Region = NY B  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Trojans              Coach  =   Jeff Bauda            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.9785614    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 A Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (12- 8, 90.4)     6-13   
 406 A Amherst, NY            NY C  Sec 6   (14- 5, 92.8)     4-14   
 412 H East Aurora            NY C  Sec 6   ( 9- 9, 80.7)    12- 6   
 413 A Frontier               NY A  Sec 6   (12- 5, 92.7)     5-14   
 415 H Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   (12- 5, 83.3)    19-12   
 419 A Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   ( 3-14, 69.4)    12- 1   
 421 H Williamsville East     NY B  Sec 6   ( 8- 8, 78.2)    17- 2   
 426 A Williamsville North    NY B  Sec 6   ( 3-13, 74.1)    16-10   
 428 A Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   ( 5-13, 74.1)    10- 4   
 503 H West Seneca West       NY B  Sec 6   (10- 8, 82.0)    15- 4   
 505 H Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   ( 3-14, 69.4)    15- 1   
 510 A Williamsville East     NY B  Sec 6   ( 8- 8, 78.2)    16- 7   
 512 H Williamsville North    NY B  Sec 6   ( 3-13, 74.1)    16- 6   
 516 H Lancaster, NY          NY A  Sec 6   (14- 4, 95.0)     9-16   
 517 H Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   ( 5-13, 74.1)    17- 3   
 519 A West Seneca West       NY B  Sec 6   (10- 8, 82.0)    12-11   
 524 H Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   ( 5-13, 74.1)    13- 5   
 526 H Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   (12- 5, 83.3)     9- 8   
 601 N Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (12- 8, 90.4)     9-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A Hamburg                 6-13      -7    -3    -     -3.40
   406 A Amherst, NY             4-14     -10    -6    -     -3.97
   412 H East Aurora            12- 6       6     8    -     -2.26
   413 A Frontier                5-14      -9    -5    -     -3.11
   415 H Grand Island           19-12       7     5           1.34
   419 A Sweet Home             12- 1      11    17           0.00
   421 H Williamsville East     17- 2      15    10           0.00
   426 A Williamsville North    16-10       6    12    --    -4.00
   428 A Williamsville South    10- 4       6    12    --    -4.00
   503 H West Seneca West       15- 4      11     6    +      3.01
   505 H Sweet Home             15- 1      14    19           0.00
   510 A Williamsville East     16- 7       9     8           0.43
   512 H Williamsville North    16- 6      10    14           0.00
   516 H Lancaster, NY           9-16      -7    -6          -0.94
   517 H Williamsville South    17- 3      14    14           0.00
   519 A West Seneca West       12-11       1     4    -     -3.81
   524 H Williamsville South    13- 5       8    14    -     -2.00
   526 H Grand Island            9- 8       1     5    --    -4.66
   601 N Hamburg                 9-14      -5    -2    -     -2.49

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   426 A Williamsville North    16-10       6    12    --    -4.00
   428 A Williamsville South    10- 4       6    12    --    -4.00
   526 H Grand Island            9- 8       1     5    --    -4.66
   401 A Hamburg                 6-13      -7    -3    -     -3.40
   406 A Amherst, NY             4-14     -10    -6    -     -3.97
   412 H East Aurora            12- 6       6     8    -     -2.26
   413 A Frontier                5-14      -9    -5    -     -3.11
   519 A West Seneca West       12-11       1     4    -     -3.81
   524 H Williamsville South    13- 5       8    14    -     -2.00
   601 N Hamburg                 9-14      -5    -2    -     -2.49

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   503 H West Seneca West       15- 4      11     6    +      3.01
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.89 Local Power Rank...........     6
 Local SOS Rating......... 60.05 Local SOS Rank.............    16
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.57 Local RPI Rank.............     9
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    28
 Local Quality Win Rating.100.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     7
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.6
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  7- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.3
/