Conf =  ECIC                      Region = NY B  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Flames               Coach  =   Jennifer Courtney     

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   82.7000198    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 407 H Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (12- 8, 90.4)     5-20   
 411 A Iroquois               NY C  Sec 6   ( 8- 9, 82.0)    10-17   
 414 H Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   (12- 5, 83.3)     5-16   
 415 H Lockport               NY A  Sec 6   ( 0-10, 66.5)    18-10   
 419 A Williamsville North    NY B  Sec 6   ( 3-13, 74.1)     9-15   
 421 A West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   (14- 5, 87.9)     2-17   
 426 A Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   ( 5-13, 74.1)    11- 4   
 428 H West Seneca West       NY B  Sec 6   (10- 8, 82.0)     9- 6   
 502 A Lancaster, NY          NY A  Sec 6   (14- 4, 95.0)     6-18   
 503 A Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   ( 3-14, 69.4)    14-10   
 505 H Williamsville North    NY B  Sec 6   ( 3-13, 74.1)    10- 5   
 510 H West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   (14- 5, 87.9)     7-16   
 512 H Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   ( 5-13, 74.1)    16- 8   
 517 A West Seneca West       NY B  Sec 6   (10- 8, 82.0)     9- 8   
 519 H Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   ( 3-14, 69.4)    12- 4   
 520 H Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   ( 7- 9, 85.0)    12-18   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H Hamburg                 5-20     -15   -11           0.00
   411 A Iroquois               10-17      -7    -4    -     -2.17
   414 H Grand Island            5-16     -11    -3    ---   -6.00
   415 H Lockport               18-10       8    12    -     -2.00
   419 A Williamsville North     9-15      -6     3    ---   -9.08
   421 A West Seneca East        2-17     -15   -10           0.00
   426 A Williamsville South    11- 4       7     3    +      3.97
   428 H West Seneca West        9- 6       3    -2    ++     5.67
   502 A Lancaster, NY           6-18     -12   -17           0.00
   503 A Sweet Home             14-10       4     7    -     -3.68
   505 H Williamsville North    10- 5       5     5          -0.26
   510 H West Seneca East        7-16      -9    -8          -0.43
   512 H Williamsville South    16- 8       8     5    +      2.79
   517 A West Seneca West        9- 8       1    -4    ++     5.85
   519 H Sweet Home             12- 4       8     9          -1.86
   520 H Clarence               12-18      -6    -5          -0.36

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 H Grand Island            5-16     -11    -3    ---   -6.00
   419 A Williamsville North     9-15      -6     3    ---   -9.08
   411 A Iroquois               10-17      -7    -4    -     -2.17
   415 H Lockport               18-10       8    12    -     -2.00
   503 A Sweet Home             14-10       4     7    -     -3.68

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   428 H West Seneca West        9- 6       3    -2    ++     5.67
   517 A West Seneca West        9- 8       1    -4    ++     5.85
   426 A Williamsville South    11- 4       7     3    +      3.97
   512 H Williamsville South    16- 8       8     5    +      2.79
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 78.22 Local Power Rank...........    18
 Local SOS Rating......... 58.02 Local SOS Rank.............    18
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.47 Local RPI Rank.............    19
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    30
 Local Quality Win Rating.-30.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    19
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -13.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -11.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.0
/