Region = TN    East 1           
   Nickname = N Bell Buckle          Coach  =   Mary Jo Johnson       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   75.7780304    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 227 H Pope John Paul II, TN  TN    Cntrl W (16- 3, 89.8)     5-20   
 227 H Cookeville             TN    East 1  (10- 6, 77.0)     5-11   
 229 A St. Cecilia            TN    Cntrl W ( 5-12, 70.5)    14- 9   
 303 H Girls Prep School      TN    East 1  ( 4-12, 76.3)     5-13   
 307 A Franklin HS, TN        TN    Cntrl E (14- 7, 82.9)     2-15   
 309 A Father Ryan            TN    Cntrl E ( 7- 7, 75.4)     8-13   
 311 H Brentwood Club, TN     TN    Cntrl E ( 9- 6, 78.9)     8-13   
 319 N Holy Innocents'        GA    AAAAA-A (10- 6, 79.0)    10-13   
 319 N Signal Mountain        TN    East 1  ( 5- 9, 69.0)    12- 4   
 322 A Baylor School          TN    East 1  ( 9-10, 78.3)     4-14   
 411 H St. Cecilia            TN    Cntrl W ( 5-12, 70.5)     6- 7   
 412 A Centennial, TN         TN    Cntrl E ( 2-11, 65.4)    14- 7   
 414 H Harpeth Hall           TN    Cntrl W (13- 7, 85.9)     2-13   
 416 A Arlington Club, TN     TN    West 2  ( 0- 9, 63.1)    11- 6   
 416 A Briarcrest             TN    West 2  ( 9- 8, 77.7)     3-10   
 416 A Collierville           TN    West 2  ( 1-10, 65.7)     9- 6   
 417 A Lausanne Collegiate    TN    West 1  ( 7- 8, 71.6)     5- 6  o
 419 H Univ. HS, Nashville    TN    Cntrl W (12- 6, 84.2)     9-16   
 421 A Cookeville             TN    East 1  (10- 6, 77.0)     6- 8   
 426 H Father Ryan            TN    Cntrl E ( 7- 7, 75.4)     9-15   
 429 A Signal Mountain        TN    East 1  ( 5- 9, 69.0)     8- 7   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   227 H Pope John Paul II, TN   5-20     -15   -19           0.00
   227 H Cookeville              5-11      -6    -6           0.87
   229 A St. Cecilia            14- 9       5     0    ++     5.60
   303 H Girls Prep School       5-13      -8    -6          -1.88
   307 A Franklin HS, TN         2-15     -13   -12           0.00
   309 A Father Ryan             8-13      -5    -5           0.52
   311 H Brentwood Club, TN      8-13      -5    -8    +      3.74
   319 N Holy Innocents'        10-13      -3    -8          n/a  
   319 N Signal Mountain        12- 4       8     1    +++    6.96
   322 A Baylor School           4-14     -10    -8          -1.60
   411 H St. Cecilia             6- 7      -1     0          -0.65
   412 A Centennial, TN         14- 7       7     4    +      2.47
   414 H Harpeth Hall            2-13     -11   -15           0.00
   416 A Arlington Club, TN     11- 6       5     6          -1.79
   416 A Briarcrest              3-10      -7    -7           0.79
   416 A Collierville            9- 6       3     4          -1.19
   417 A Lausanne Collegiate     5- 6  o   -1    -1           0.70
   419 H Univ. HS, Nashville     9-16      -7   -14    +      3.00
   421 A Cookeville              6- 8      -2    -7    ++     5.12
   426 H Father Ryan             9-15      -6    -5          -0.73
   429 A Signal Mountain         8- 7       1     0           0.08

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 N Signal Mountain        12- 4       8     1    +++    6.96
   229 A St. Cecilia            14- 9       5     0    ++     5.60
   319 N Holy Innocents'        10-13      -3    -8    ++         
   421 A Cookeville              6- 8      -2    -7    ++     5.12
   311 H Brentwood Club, TN      8-13      -5    -8    +      3.74
   412 A Centennial, TN         14- 7       7     4    +      2.47
   419 H Univ. HS, Nashville     9-16      -7   -14    +      3.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 70.05 Local Power Rank...........    21
 Local SOS Rating......... 50.09 Local SOS Rank.............    24
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.42 Local RPI Rank.............    27
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    35
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    34
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-15 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -15.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1-14 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.3
/