Region = VA 4A South            
   Nickname = A Warriors             Coach  =   Tara Hohenshelt       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   83.3470612    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 315 A Atlee                  VA 5A South   (10- 4, 79.0)    11-10   
 318 H Salem, VA              VA 4A South   (14- 5, 77.3)    13- 6   
 325 H Albemarle              VA 5A South   (14- 5, 80.8)    11-12 2o
 330 A Monticello, VA         VA 4A South   (12- 6, 79.6)    11- 8   
 412 A Patrick Henry, Roanoke VA 5A South   ( 7- 5, 70.0)    19- 9   
 420 H Annandale              VA 6A North   (11- 9, 78.7)    18-19   
 422 H Monticello, VA         VA 4A South   (12- 6, 79.6)    16- 3   
 428 H Powhatan               VA 4A South   ( 1-14, 53.5)    13- 0   
 429 H Douglas Freeman        VA 5A South   (14- 6, 80.4)     7- 6  o
 503 A St. Anne's-Belfield    VA Pr LIS     (17- 5, 91.6)     4-22   
 504 A Fluvanna               VA 4A South   ( 4-10, 60.7)    13- 1   
 507 A Hanover, VA            VA 4A South   ( 6-10, 65.8)    15- 4   
 510 H Charlottesville        VA 4A South   ( 2-12, 58.3)    15- 1   
 513 A Albemarle              VA 5A South   (14- 5, 80.8)    13-10   
 518 H Charlottesville        VA 4A South   ( 2-12, 58.3)    14- 1   
 524 H Monticello, VA         VA 4A South   (12- 6, 79.6)    15-14 3o
 526 H Hanover, VA            VA 4A South   ( 6-10, 65.8)    15- 4   
 531 H Hidden Valley          VA 4A South   ( 9- 9, 69.8)    14- 2   
 602 H Salem, VA              VA 4A South   (14- 5, 77.3)    11- 7   
 607 H George Mason           VA 4A North   (14- 6, 87.0)     7-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   315 A Atlee                  11-10       1     1          -0.38
   318 H Salem, VA              13- 6       7     4    +      2.00
   325 H Albemarle              11-12 2o   -1     1    -     -2.54
   330 A Monticello, VA         11- 8       3     0    +      2.14
   412 A Patrick Henry, Roanoke 19- 9      10    10           0.00
   420 H Annandale              18-19      -1     3    --    -4.54
   422 H Monticello, VA         16- 3      13     2    +++    7.26
   428 H Powhatan               13- 0      13    28           0.00
   429 H Douglas Freeman         7- 6  o    1     1          -0.92
   503 A St. Anne's-Belfield     4-22     -18   -11           0.00
   504 A Fluvanna               13- 1      12    19           0.00
   507 A Hanover, VA            15- 4      11    14           0.00
   510 H Charlottesville        15- 1      14    24           0.00
   513 A Albemarle              13-10       3     0    +      3.34
   518 H Charlottesville        14- 1      13    24           0.00
   524 H Monticello, VA         15-14 3o    1     2          -1.74
   526 H Hanover, VA            15- 4      11    16           0.00
   531 H Hidden Valley          14- 2      12    12           0.00
   602 H Salem, VA              11- 7       4     4          -1.00
   607 H George Mason            7-12      -5    -4          -0.32

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   420 H Annandale              18-19      -1     3    --    -4.54
   325 H Albemarle              11-12 2o   -1     1    -     -2.54

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   422 H Monticello, VA         16- 3      13     2    +++    7.26
   318 H Salem, VA              13- 6       7     4    +      2.00
   330 A Monticello, VA         11- 8       3     0    +      2.14
   513 A Albemarle              13-10       3     0    +      3.34
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.35 Local Power Rank...........    30
 Local SOS Rating......... 48.21 Local SOS Rank.............    54
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.63 Local RPI Rank.............     9
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   133
 Local Quality Win Rating. 15.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    22
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -18.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -18.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -11.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.7
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