Region = MN    MSHSL            
   Nickname = N Bears                Coach  =   Colleen Dunnnigan     

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   76.4352188    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 414 H Hill-Murray School     MN    MSHSL   (12- 2, 82.7)     5-12   
 418 A Bloomington Kennedy    MN    MSHSL   (11- 3, 82.0)     9-15   
 422 H Mahtomedi              MN    MSHSL   ( 9- 4, 77.8)    17-12   
 427 A East Ridge, MN         MN    MSHSL   (10- 6, 81.7)    10-22   
 430 A North HS, MN           MN    MSHSL   ( 4-10, 62.4)    20- 9   
 502 A Roseville Area         MN    MSHSL   ( 9- 7, 77.9)    13-14   
 504 H Mounds View            MN    MSHSL   ( 3-11, 68.4)    10-11   
 509 A Cretin-Derham Hall     MN    MSHSL   (13- 5, 83.8)     7-21   
 511 H Forest Lake            MN    MSHSL   ( 5- 9, 68.2)    20-14   
 516 A Woodbury               MN    MSHSL   ( 6- 9, 70.4)     8-13   
 518 H Stillwater Area        MN    MSHSL   (17- 2, 94.5)     3-20   
 521 A Lakeville North        MN    MSHSL   ( 5-10, 78.1)     7-18   
 523 H Park of Cottage Grove  MN    MSHSL   ( 8- 6, 76.9)     8-18   
 602 H Hill-Murray School     MN    MSHSL   (12- 2, 82.7)     5-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 H Hill-Murray School      5-12      -7   -13    +      3.00
   418 A Bloomington Kennedy     9-15      -6   -13    ++     4.00
   422 H Mahtomedi              17-12       5    -8    +++   13.15
   427 A East Ridge, MN         10-22     -12   -13           0.00
   430 A North HS, MN           20- 9      11     5    ++     4.27
   502 A Roseville Area         13-14      -1    -9    +++    8.73
   504 H Mounds View            10-11      -1     1    -     -2.29
   509 A Cretin-Derham Hall      7-21     -14   -15           0.00
   511 H Forest Lake            20-14       6     1    ++     4.56
   516 A Woodbury                8-13      -5    -2    -     -2.73
   518 H Stillwater Area         3-20     -17   -24           0.00
   521 A Lakeville North         7-18     -11    -9          -0.02
   523 H Park of Cottage Grove   8-18     -10    -7    -     -2.76
   602 H Hill-Murray School      5-12      -7   -13    +      3.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   504 H Mounds View            10-11      -1     1    -     -2.29
   516 A Woodbury                8-13      -5    -2    -     -2.73
   523 H Park of Cottage Grove   8-18     -10    -7    -     -2.76

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   422 H Mahtomedi              17-12       5    -8    +++   13.15
   502 A Roseville Area         13-14      -1    -9    +++    8.73
   418 A Bloomington Kennedy     9-15      -6   -13    ++     4.00
   430 A North HS, MN           20- 9      11     5    ++     4.27
   511 H Forest Lake            20-14       6     1    ++     4.56
   414 H Hill-Murray School      5-12      -7   -13    +      3.00
   602 H Hill-Murray School      5-12      -7   -13    +      3.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 68.90 Local Power Rank...........    55
 Local SOS Rating......... 54.20 Local SOS Rank.............    28
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.46 Local RPI Rank.............    49
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    77
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    64
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......   15.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -4.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -17.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -17.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -10.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -9.3
/