Conf =  L1                        Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Patriots             Coach  =   Kerri Kilkenny        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.7944336    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 323 H Bayport-Blue Point     NY C  Sec 11  (17- 1, 99.9)     5-12   
 330 A West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (16- 5, 93.6)     4- 6   
 405 H Northport              NY A  Sec 11  (14- 4, 94.2)     6- 8   
 408 A Brentwood, NY          NY A  Sec 11  ( 2-14, 70.5)    16- 5   
 409 H Yorktown, NY           NY B  Sec 1   (17- 6, 99.2)    10-11   
 412 A Riverhead              NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 9, 80.3)    14- 8   
 414 H Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  ( 6- 9, 84.2)    17- 9   
 418 H Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-13, 71.6)    18- 1   
 420 A Commack                NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 8, 84.5)    15-13   
 426 H Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 9, 81.3)    15- 7   
 429 A Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  (11- 6, 90.1)    12-11 2o
 503 A Longwood               NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 76.0)    21-11   
 505 H Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  (10- 8, 84.8)    11- 3   
 507 A Half Hollow Hills      NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 83.8)    18- 5   
 509 H Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  (16- 2, 96.2)     7-16   
 511 H Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (15- 3, 94.5)     8-11   
 520 A Northport              NY A  Sec 11  (14- 4, 94.2)    10-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 H Bayport-Blue Point      5-12      -7    -9    +      2.65
   330 A West Islip              4- 6      -2    -3           1.80
   405 H Northport               6- 8      -2    -3           1.96
   408 A Brentwood, NY          16- 5      11    19           0.00
   409 H Yorktown, NY           10-11      -1    -8          n/a  
   412 A Riverhead              14- 8       6     9    -     -3.49
   414 H Sachem East            17- 9       8     6           1.92
   418 H Lindenhurst            18- 1      17    18           0.00
   420 A Commack                15-13       2     5    -     -3.32
   426 H Bay Shore              15- 7       8     8          -0.91
   429 A Smithtown East         12-11 2o    1     0           1.27
   503 A Longwood               21-11      10    13           0.00
   505 H Sachem North           11- 3       8     5    +      2.53
   507 A Half Hollow Hills      18- 5      13     5    ++     4.06
   509 H Middle Country          7-16      -9    -5    -     -3.05
   511 H Smithtown West          8-11      -3    -4           1.23
   520 A Northport              10-11      -1    -4    +      3.43

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 A Riverhead              14- 8       6     9    -     -3.49
   420 A Commack                15-13       2     5    -     -3.32
   509 H Middle Country          7-16      -9    -5    -     -3.05

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 H Yorktown, NY           10-11      -1    -8    +++        
   507 A Half Hollow Hills      18- 5      13     5    ++     4.06
   323 H Bayport-Blue Point      5-12      -7    -9    +      2.65
   505 H Sachem North           11- 3       8     5    +      2.53
   520 A Northport              10-11      -1    -4    +      3.43
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.02 Local Power Rank...........    11
 Local SOS Rating......... 71.96 Local SOS Rank.............     6
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.59 Local RPI Rank.............    10
 Championship Probability .    2.0 Championship Rank .......     9
 Local Quality Win Rating. 30.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    12
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.4
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.3
/