Conf =  B2                        Region = NY C  Sec 3            
   Nickname = Y Black Knights        Coach  =   Sue Reilly            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.9685745    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 328 A Westhill, NY           NY C  Sec 3   (12- 3, 90.4)     3-11   
 401 H Jordan-Elbridge        NY C  Sec 3   (11- 7, 84.5)    17-18 2o
 405 A Cazenovia              NY C  Sec 3   (11- 7, 85.6)     5-15   
 412 A LaFayette, NY          NY C  Sec 3   ( 6-10, 76.9)    14-10   
 419 A Onondaga               NY C  Sec 3   ( 1-15, 65.8)    18- 3   
 421 H Bishop Ludden-Grimes   NY C  Sec 3   ( 7-10, 74.6)    14- 7   
 423 A Mexico                 NY C  Sec 3   ( 1-15, 67.3)    17- 7   
 426 H Marcellus              NY C  Sec 3   (15- 5, 91.6)     8-14   
 503 A Jordan-Elbridge        NY C  Sec 3   (11- 7, 84.5)     6-10   
 505 A Cortland               NY C  Sec 3   ( 6-11, 74.7)    13- 9   
 507 A Skaneateles            NY C  Sec 3   (13- 8, 91.6)     6-15   
 509 H Chittenango            NY C  Sec 3   ( 8- 9, 76.6)     9- 6   
 511 H Onondaga               NY C  Sec 3   ( 1-15, 65.8)    20- 6   
 513 H Homer                  NY C  Sec 3   (11- 7, 81.0)    12- 5   
 516 H LaFayette, NY          NY C  Sec 3   ( 6-10, 76.9)    20- 7   
 518 A Bishop Ludden-Grimes   NY C  Sec 3   ( 7-10, 74.6)    17- 5   
 521 H Bishop Ludden-Grimes   NY C  Sec 3   ( 7-10, 74.6)    12- 6   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 A Westhill, NY            3-11      -8    -6          -1.00
   401 H Jordan-Elbridge        17-18 2o   -1     0          -1.30
   405 A Cazenovia               5-15     -10    -2    ---   -7.73
   412 A LaFayette, NY          14-10       4     6    -     -2.51
   419 A Onondaga               18- 3      15    17           0.00
   421 H Bishop Ludden-Grimes   14- 7       7    10    -     -3.00
   423 A Mexico                 17- 7      10    16           0.00
   426 H Marcellus               8-14      -6    -6           0.77
   503 A Jordan-Elbridge         6-10      -4    -1    -     -2.84
   505 A Cortland               13- 9       4     8    --    -4.69
   507 A Skaneateles             6-15      -9    -8          -0.75
   509 H Chittenango             9- 6       3     8    --    -5.24
   511 H Onondaga               20- 6      14    19           0.00
   513 H Homer                  12- 5       7     3    +      3.17
   516 H LaFayette, NY          20- 7      13     7    +      2.04
   518 A Bishop Ludden-Grimes   17- 5      12     8           1.19
   521 H Bishop Ludden-Grimes   12- 6       6    10    --    -4.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A Cazenovia               5-15     -10    -2    ---   -7.73
   505 A Cortland               13- 9       4     8    --    -4.69
   509 H Chittenango             9- 6       3     8    --    -5.24
   521 H Bishop Ludden-Grimes   12- 6       6    10    --    -4.00
   412 A LaFayette, NY          14-10       4     6    -     -2.51
   421 H Bishop Ludden-Grimes   14- 7       7    10    -     -3.00
   503 A Jordan-Elbridge         6-10      -4    -1    -     -2.84

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   513 H Homer                  12- 5       7     3    +      3.17
   516 H LaFayette, NY          20- 7      13     7    +      2.04
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 84.10 Local Power Rank...........    15
 Local SOS Rating......... 55.95 Local SOS Rank.............    26
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............    14
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    34
 Local Quality Win Rating.  0.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    14
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   10.3
/