St. Ursula, Toledo            6 - 5


 
                                     Region = OH    DII NC           
   Nickname = H Arrows               Coach  =   Brad Lay              



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   77.5536270    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 414 H Central Catholic, OH   OH    DII NC  ( 0-13, 55.2)    11- 1   
 416 H Saline                 MI    DI      ( 5- 6, 67.3)    10- 9   
 419 H Sylvania Southview     OH    DII NC  ( 6-10, 63.2)    14- 1   
 421 A Central Catholic, OH   OH    DII NC  ( 0-13, 55.2)    12- 2   
 427 A Notre Dame Acad, OH    OH    DI NC   (11- 9, 76.5)     5- 8   
 429 A Ottawa Hills           OH    DII NC  ( 5-10, 65.4)    10- 7   
 506 A Hawken School          OH    DII NC  ( 9- 8, 76.0)     5-16   
 507 A Hathaway Brown         OH    DII NC  (12- 6, 81.5)     6-18   
 510 A Perrysburg             OH    DI NC   (14- 3, 82.3)    10-17   
 514 A Magnificat             OH    DI NC   ( 5-14, 73.4)    11-10   
 517 A Rocky River            OH    DII NC  ( 9- 7, 80.5)     9-18   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 H Central Catholic, OH   11- 1      10    18           0.00
   416 H Saline                 10- 9       1     6          n/a  
   419 H Sylvania Southview     14- 1      13    10           0.00
   421 A Central Catholic, OH   12- 2      10    16           0.00
   427 A Notre Dame Acad, OH     5- 8      -3    -5    +      2.23
   429 A Ottawa Hills           10- 7       3     5    -     -2.84
   506 A Hawken School           5-16     -11    -4    --    -5.25
   507 A Hathaway Brown          6-18     -12   -10           0.00
   510 A Perrysburg             10-17      -7   -11    +      3.00
   514 A Magnificat             11-10       1    -2    +      3.13
   517 A Rocky River             9-18      -9    -9           0.28


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 H Saline                 10- 9       1     6    --         
   506 A Hawken School           5-16     -11    -4    --    -5.25
   429 A Ottawa Hills           10- 7       3     5    -     -2.84


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   427 A Notre Dame Acad, OH     5- 8      -3    -5    +      2.23
   510 A Perrysburg             10-17      -7   -11    +      3.00
   514 A Magnificat             11-10       1    -2    +      3.13




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 72.67 Local Power Rank...........    67
 Local SOS Rating......... 43.25 Local SOS Rank.............    84
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.45 Local RPI Rank.............    80
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   105
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    50
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -5.0


  
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