Region = MN    MSHSL            
   Nickname = N Ponies               Coach  =   Rick Reidt            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.9292908    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 414 A Lakeville North        MN    MSHSL   ( 5-10, 78.1)    16- 8   
 421 H Prior Lake             MN    MSHSL   (16- 3, 94.4)     7- 8  o
 425 A Cretin-Derham Hall     MN    MSHSL   (13- 5, 83.8)    13- 4   
 427 H Forest Lake            MN    MSHSL   ( 5- 9, 68.2)    20- 4   
 502 H Woodbury               MN    MSHSL   ( 6- 9, 70.4)    20- 1   
 506 A Farmington, MN         MN    MSHSL   (11- 6, 83.6)    11- 3   
 509 H East Ridge, MN         MN    MSHSL   (10- 6, 81.7)    20- 4   
 511 A Park of Cottage Grove  MN    MSHSL   ( 8- 6, 76.9)    13- 1   
 516 H Mounds View            MN    MSHSL   ( 3-11, 68.4)    15- 1   
 518 A White Bear Lake Area   MN    MSHSL   ( 3-11, 68.9)    20- 3   
 520 N Arrowhead              WI    C-8     (16- 6, 99.9)    18-10   
 523 A Roseville Area         MN    MSHSL   ( 9- 7, 77.9)    20- 1   
 525 A Breck School           MN    MSHSL   (12- 3, 86.8)    19- 8   
 602 H St. Croix Prep Acad    MN    MSHSL   ( 6- 8, 66.4)    20- 1   
 604 H Mahtomedi              MN    MSHSL   ( 9- 4, 77.8)    20- 4   
 607 A Roseville Area         MN    MSHSL   ( 9- 7, 77.9)    13- 4   
 615 N Maple Grove            MN    MSHSL   (16- 3, 87.1)    14- 6   
 616 N Eden Prairie           MN    MSHSL   (18- 1, 99.9)    14-15   
 618 N Prior Lake             MN    MSHSL   (16- 3, 94.4)     7- 6   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 A Lakeville North        16- 8       8    15    -     -2.00
   421 H Prior Lake              7- 8  o   -1     0          -1.86
   425 A Cretin-Derham Hall     13- 4       9     9          -0.93
   427 H Forest Lake            20- 4      16    27           0.00
   502 H Woodbury               20- 1      19    24           0.00
   506 A Farmington, MN         11- 3       8    10    -     -2.00
   509 H East Ridge, MN         20- 4      16    13           0.00
   511 A Park of Cottage Grove  13- 1      12    16           0.00
   516 H Mounds View            15- 1      14    26           0.00
   518 A White Bear Lake Area   20- 3      17    24           0.00
   520 N Arrowhead              18-10       8    -5          n/a  
   523 A Roseville Area         20- 1      19    15           0.00
   525 A Breck School           19- 8      11     6    +      3.02
   602 H St. Croix Prep Acad    20- 1      19    28           0.00
   604 H Mahtomedi              20- 4      16    17           0.00
   607 A Roseville Area         13- 4       9    15          -1.00
   615 N Maple Grove            14- 6       8     7           0.57
   616 N Eden Prairie           14-15      -1    -5    ++     4.37
   618 N Prior Lake              7- 6       1     0           0.90

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 A Lakeville North        16- 8       8    15    -     -2.00
   506 A Farmington, MN         11- 3       8    10    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   520 N Arrowhead              18-10       8    -5    +++        
   616 N Eden Prairie           14-15      -1    -5    ++     4.37
   525 A Breck School           19- 8      11     6    +      3.02
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 94.53 Local Power Rank...........     2
 Local SOS Rating......... 61.18 Local SOS Rank.............    10
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.67 Local RPI Rank.............     4
 Championship Probability .   13.0 Championship Rank .......     2
 Local Quality Win Rating.140.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     4
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   15.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    4.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 17- 2 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   10.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -0.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    3.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    5.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.7
/