Region = MA    C/W D1           
   Nickname = A Colonials            Coach  =   Erica McMahon         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   80.5789185    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 402 A Grafton Memorial, MA   MA    C/W D2  (18- 4, 82.1)     6-14   
 407 H North Middlesex        MA    C/W D1  (10-10, 75.1)    15-14   
 409 A Wachusett              MA    C/W D1  (12- 8, 78.2)     8- 7   
 412 A Nashoba Regional       MA    C/W D1  ( 4-14, 65.0)    12- 5   
 415 H Notre Dame, Worcester  MA    C/W D2  (10- 7, 67.4)    15- 0   
 419 H North Middlesex        MA    C/W D1  (10-10, 75.1)    15-14   
 421 H Northbridge            MA    C/W D2  ( 3-11, 58.4)    16- 0   
 422 H Westborough            MA    C/W D1  (17- 1, 89.8)     4-17   
 428 A Algonquin              MA    C/W D1  ( 7-11, 78.5)     4-13   
 430 H Minnechaug             MA    C/W D1  (16- 5, 88.7)     4-15   
 505 H Wachusett              MA    C/W D1  (12- 8, 78.2)    10-13   
 506 A Nipmuc                 MA    C/W D2  (14- 7, 72.0)    13- 3   
 507 A Bromfield School       MA    C/W D2  (19- 4, 87.4)    10-20   
 510 A Nashoba Regional       MA    C/W D1  ( 4-14, 65.0)    17- 5   
 512 A Westborough            MA    C/W D1  (17- 1, 89.8)    10-18   
 517 A Groton-Dunstable       MA    C/W D2  (17- 5, 85.4)    11-14   
 518 H Groton-Dunstable       MA    C/W D2  (17- 5, 85.4)     5-12   
 519 H Algonquin              MA    C/W D1  ( 7-11, 78.5)     8-12   
 523 H Sharon, MA             MA    East D1 (10- 9, 75.3)    13-14   
 525 H Grafton Memorial, MA   MA    C/W D2  (18- 4, 82.1)     9-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 A Grafton Memorial, MA    6-14      -8    -8           0.07
   407 H North Middlesex        15-14       1     0           0.67
   409 A Wachusett               8- 7       1    -4    ++     5.23
   412 A Nashoba Regional       12- 5       7     8          -1.95
   415 H Notre Dame, Worcester  15- 0      15     8           1.95
   419 H North Middlesex        15-14       1     0           0.67
   421 H Northbridge            16- 0      16    17           0.00
   422 H Westborough             4-17     -13   -14           0.00
   428 A Algonquin               4-13      -9    -4    --    -4.50
   430 H Minnechaug              4-15     -11   -13           0.00
   505 H Wachusett              10-13      -3    -2          -0.20
   506 A Nipmuc                 13- 3      10     1    +++    8.07
   507 A Bromfield School       10-20     -10   -13           0.00
   510 A Nashoba Regional       17- 5      12     8           1.05
   512 A Westborough            10-18      -8   -15    +      2.00
   517 A Groton-Dunstable       11-14      -3   -11    +++    7.00
   518 H Groton-Dunstable        5-12      -7    -9    +      2.98
   519 H Algonquin               8-12      -4    -3          -0.93
   523 H Sharon, MA             13-14      -1     0          -1.08
   525 H Grafton Memorial, MA    9-14      -5    -6           1.65

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   428 A Algonquin               4-13      -9    -4    --    -4.50

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   506 A Nipmuc                 13- 3      10     1    +++    8.07
   517 A Groton-Dunstable       11-14      -3   -11    +++    7.00
   409 A Wachusett               8- 7       1    -4    ++     5.23
   512 A Westborough            10-18      -8   -15    +      2.00
   518 H Groton-Dunstable        5-12      -7    -9    +      2.98
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 74.69 Local Power Rank...........    91
 Local SOS Rating......... 54.75 Local SOS Rank.............    51
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.54 Local RPI Rank.............    68
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   163
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   146
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8-12 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -10.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.3
/