Region = TN    East 2           
   Nickname = N Smoky Bears          Coach  =   Rod Case              

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   69.2966461    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 229 A Gatlinburg Pittman     TN    East 2  ( 6- 6, 65.1)    15-10   
 307 H Pigeon Forge           TN    East 2  ( 1- 9, 56.1)    12- 5   
 308 A West Knoxville         TN    East 2  ( 2-12, 57.5)    11- 5   
 310 H Farragut               TN    East 2  (10- 9, 65.5)     9-15   
 311 A Knoxville Catholic     TN    East 2  (10- 8, 68.4)     5-16   
 312 A Baylor School          TN    East 1  ( 9-10, 78.3)     4-19   
 312 A Girls Prep School      TN    East 1  ( 4-12, 76.3)   
 312 N Ravenwood              TN    Cntrl E (14- 7, 88.0)     5-13   
 314 A Pigeon Forge           TN    East 2  ( 1- 9, 56.1)    14- 2   
 315 A Seymour                TN    East 2  (19- 5, 83.9)     1-18   
 318 H Gatlinburg Pittman     TN    East 2  ( 6- 6, 65.1)    15-16  o
 322 H West Knoxville         TN    East 2  ( 2-12, 57.5)    15-10   
 405 A Farragut               TN    East 2  (10- 9, 65.5)     8-10   
 412 H Seymour                TN    East 2  (19- 5, 83.9)     2-20   
 421 H Knoxville Catholic     TN    East 2  (10- 8, 68.4)     9-10  o
 422 N Roane County           TN    East 2  ( 0- 9, 46.0)    18- 3   
 430 A Collierville           TN    West 2  ( 1-10, 65.7)   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   229 A Gatlinburg Pittman     15-10       5     0    ++     5.41
   307 H Pigeon Forge           12- 5       7     8          -1.84
   308 A West Knoxville         11- 5       6     7          -1.20
   310 H Farragut                9-15      -6     0    --    -5.41
   311 A Knoxville Catholic      5-16     -11    -3    ---   -6.30
   312 A Baylor School           4-19     -15   -13           0.00
   312 N Ravenwood               5-13      -8   -23    +      2.00
   314 A Pigeon Forge           14- 2      12     8           1.40
   315 A Seymour                 1-18     -17   -19           0.00
   318 H Gatlinburg Pittman     15-16  o   -1     0          -0.84
   322 H West Knoxville         15-10       5     7    -     -2.45
   405 A Farragut                8-10      -2     0          -1.16
   412 H Seymour                 2-20     -18   -18           0.00
   421 H Knoxville Catholic      9-10  o   -1    -3    +      2.45
   422 N Roane County           18- 3      15    18           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   311 A Knoxville Catholic      5-16     -11    -3    ---   -6.30
   310 H Farragut                9-15      -6     0    --    -5.41
   322 H West Knoxville         15-10       5     7    -     -2.45

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   229 A Gatlinburg Pittman     15-10       5     0    ++     5.41
   312 N Ravenwood               5-13      -8   -23    +      2.00
   421 H Knoxville Catholic      9-10  o   -1    -3    +      2.45
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 64.81 Local Power Rank...........    30
 Local SOS Rating......... 38.84 Local SOS Rank.............    32
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.42 Local RPI Rank.............    26
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    28
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    31
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -14.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -14.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.3
/