Conf =  L1                        Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Flaming Arrows       Coach  =   Allison Bourgal       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.9250641    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 324 A Hauppauge              NY B  Sec 11  ( 8- 8, 83.6)     7- 6   
 329 A Commack                NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 8, 84.5)    17- 9   
 331 A Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (15- 3, 94.5)     5-12   
 405 H Connetquot             NY A  Sec 11  ( 7-10, 78.9)    16- 5   
 408 A Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  (16- 2, 96.2)     9-18   
 412 H Northport              NY A  Sec 11  (14- 4, 94.2)    10-17   
 414 A Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (10- 7, 90.0)     9-17   
 422 H Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  (11- 6, 90.1)    13-15   
 425 A Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  (10- 8, 84.8)    12-14   
 426 A Patchogue-Medford      NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 8, 80.2)    18- 4   
 429 A William Floyd          NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 75.6)    13- 8   
 502 H Copiague               NY B  Sec 11  ( 0-14, 61.1)    20- 1   
 505 H Walt Whitman, NY       NY A  Sec 11  ( 2-11, 69.0)   
 509 H West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (16- 5, 93.6)     6-12   
 511 H North Babylon          NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 81.5)    13-14  o
 518 A Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  (11- 6, 90.1)     7-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 A Hauppauge               7- 6       1     0           0.67
   329 A Commack                17- 9       8     0    +++    8.53
   331 A Smithtown West          5-12      -7   -10    +      3.00
   405 H Connetquot             16- 5      11     5    ++     4.47
   408 A Middle Country          9-18      -9   -12           1.00
   412 H Northport              10-17      -7    -9    +      2.81
   414 A Ward Melville           9-17      -8    -6          -1.92
   422 H Smithtown East         13-15      -2    -5    +      3.65
   425 A Sachem North           12-14      -2     0          -1.15
   426 A Patchogue-Medford      18- 4      14     3    +++    6.27
   429 A William Floyd          13- 8       5     8    -     -3.33
   502 H Copiague               20- 1      19    23           0.00
   509 H West Islip              6-12      -6    -9    +      3.18
   511 H North Babylon          13-14  o   -1     2    -     -3.90
   518 A Smithtown East          7-14      -7    -6          -0.88

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   429 A William Floyd          13- 8       5     8    -     -3.33
   511 H North Babylon          13-14  o   -1     2    -     -3.90

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 A Commack                17- 9       8     0    +++    8.53
   426 A Patchogue-Medford      18- 4      14     3    +++    6.27
   405 H Connetquot             16- 5      11     5    ++     4.47
   331 A Smithtown West          5-12      -7   -10    +      3.00
   412 H Northport              10-17      -7    -9    +      2.81
   422 H Smithtown East         13-15      -2    -5    +      3.65
   509 H West Islip              6-12      -6    -9    +      3.18
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 84.17 Local Power Rank...........    21
 Local SOS Rating......... 68.45 Local SOS Rank.............    18
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.52 Local RPI Rank.............    19
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    40
 Local Quality Win Rating.-85.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    25
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.7
/