Region = VA 5A North            
   Nickname = A Panthers             Coach  =   Jim Birks             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.7430878    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 314 A Loudoun County         VA 4A North   ( 7- 8, 77.1)    18- 9   
 315 H Herndon                VA 6A North   ( 3- 8, 78.9)    16-14   
 317 H Heritage, VA           VA 4A North   ( 0-14, 62.4)    21- 3   
 329 A Stone Bridge           VA 5A North   (10- 7, 82.6)    14- 8   
 331 H Rock Ridge             VA 4A North   ( 6- 9, 71.2)    19- 7   
 405 H Briar Woods            VA 5A North   ( 5-10, 73.1)    19- 8   
 412 H Tuscarora, VA          VA 5A North   ( 8- 6, 77.4)    17- 7   
 414 A South County, Lorton   VA 6A North   (11- 5, 82.5)    13-11   
 421 A T.C. Williams          VA 6A North   ( 4- 9, 68.5)    22- 4   
 426 A Lee, Springfield       VA 5A North   ( 4- 8, 64.4)    21- 1   
 427 A Loudoun Valley         VA 4A North   ( 6-11, 75.8)    17- 6   
 503 A George Marshall        VA 5A North   (16- 4, 85.9)    17-20   
 505 H J.E.B. Stuart          VA 5A North   ( 2-10, 55.0)    26- 1   
 509 H Broad Run              VA 5A North   ( 5-11, 75.0)    16- 8   
 517 N Broad Run              VA 5A North   ( 5-11, 75.0)    17- 4   
 519 N Stone Bridge           VA 5A North   (10- 7, 82.6)    14-12   
 531 N Thomas Edison, VA      VA 5A North   (10- 5, 76.4)    18- 5   
 602 N George Marshall        VA 5A North   (16- 4, 85.9)    14- 2   
 607 N Douglas Freeman        VA 5A South   (14- 6, 80.4)    13- 5   
 611 N George Marshall        VA 5A North   (16- 4, 85.9)    19- 7   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 A Loudoun County         18- 9       9    13          -1.00
   315 H Herndon                16-14       2    13    ---   -8.00
   317 H Heritage, VA           21- 3      18    29           0.00
   329 A Stone Bridge           14- 8       6     7          -1.65
   331 H Rock Ridge             19- 7      12    20           0.00
   405 H Briar Woods            19- 8      11    19           0.00
   412 H Tuscarora, VA          17- 7      10    14           0.00
   414 A South County, Lorton   13-11       2     7    --    -5.76
   421 A T.C. Williams          22- 4      18    21           0.00
   426 A Lee, Springfield       21- 1      20    25           0.00
   427 A Loudoun Valley         17- 6      11    14           0.00
   503 A George Marshall        17-20      -3     4    ---   -7.36
   505 H J.E.B. Stuart          26- 1      25    37           0.00
   509 H Broad Run              16- 8       8    17    -     -2.00
   517 N Broad Run              17- 4      13    16           0.00
   519 N Stone Bridge           14-12       2     8    ---   -6.59
   531 N Thomas Edison, VA      18- 5      13    14           0.00
   602 N George Marshall        14- 2      12     5    ++     4.71
   607 N Douglas Freeman        13- 5       8    10    -     -2.00
   611 N George Marshall        19- 7      12     5    ++     4.71

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   315 H Herndon                16-14       2    13    ---   -8.00
   503 A George Marshall        17-20      -3     4    ---   -7.36
   519 N Stone Bridge           14-12       2     8    ---   -6.59
   414 A South County, Lorton   13-11       2     7    --    -5.76
   509 H Broad Run              16- 8       8    17    -     -2.00
   607 N Douglas Freeman        13- 5       8    10    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   602 N George Marshall        14- 2      12     5    ++     4.71
   611 N George Marshall        19- 7      12     5    ++     4.71
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 91.24 Local Power Rank...........     4
 Local SOS Rating......... 51.09 Local SOS Rank.............    44
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.62 Local RPI Rank.............    13
 Championship Probability .    3.0 Championship Rank .......     5
 Local Quality Win Rating. 85.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     7
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   17.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 19- 1 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   10.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    7.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   10.7
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