Patrick Fogarty               7 - 1


 
                                     Region = CN    GBSAA            
   Nickname = N Flames               Coach  =   Cheryl Heitzner       



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   99.9000015    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 427 N Christ the King CSS    CN    GHAC    ( 7- 3, 93.2)     9- 4   
 427 N Notre Dame, Welland CN CN    SOSSA   ( 5- 3, 90.9)    13- 2   
 427 N St. Mary's HS, CN      CN    CWOSSA  ( 1- 3, 78.8)    17- 2   
 510 N Notre Dame, Welland CN CN    SOSSA   ( 5- 3, 90.9)     7- 6   
 510 N Christ the King CSS    CN    GHAC    ( 7- 3, 93.2)     9- 8   
 510 N St. Mary CSS, CN       CN    LOSSA   ( 0- 2, 88.6)    10- 3   
 510 N St. Peters CSS        CN    COSSA   ( 2- 0, 99.9)     6-11   
 525 N Lorne Park             CN    ROPSSAA (11- 9, 87.5)    20- 6   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   427 N Christ the King CSS     9- 4       5     6          -1.68
   427 N Notre Dame, Welland CN 13- 2      11     9           0.99
   427 N St. Mary's HS, CN      17- 2      15    21           0.00
   510 N Notre Dame, Welland CN  7- 6       1     9    ---   -8.01
   510 N Christ the King CSS     9- 8       1     6    --    -5.68
   510 N St. Mary CSS, CN       10- 3       7    11          n/a  
   510 N St. Peters CSS         6-11      -5     0          n/a  
   525 N Lorne Park             20- 6      14    12           0.00


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   510 N Notre Dame, Welland CN  7- 6       1     9    ---   -8.01
   510 N Christ the King CSS     9- 8       1     6    --    -5.68
   510 N St. Peters CSS         6-11      -5     0    --         
   510 N St. Mary CSS, CN       10- 3       7    11    -          


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 99.90 Local Power Rank...........     1
 Local SOS Rating......... 78.22 Local SOS Rank.............     4
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.78 Local RPI Rank.............     1
 Championship Probability .   75.0 Championship Rank .......     1
 Local Quality Win Rating.125.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     2
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7- 1 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    6.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  5- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    6.4
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  6- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    7.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    7.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.3


  
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