Region = MD    3A-2A            
   Nickname = D Bears                Coach  =   Beth Nave             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.6602325    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 321 H Dulaney                MD    4A-3A   (17- 3, 90.7)     7-13   
 329 H Walkersville           MD    2A-1A   (11- 6, 79.8)    14- 8   
 405 A Urbana                 MD    4A-3A   ( 9- 8, 72.0)    15- 4   
 407 H Brunswick, MD          MD    2A-1A   ( 5- 9, 71.2)    19- 2   
 409 N Harriton               PA    Centrl  (15- 5, 93.9)    10-15   
 412 A Gov. Thomas Johnson    MD    3A-2A   ( 3- 9, 63.5)    20- 4   
 416 A Mount de Sales         MD    IAAM A  ( 5-13, 78.5)    11-10   
 416 N River Hill             MD    3A-2A   ( 3-10, 74.9)    16- 6   
 420 H Middletown, MD         MD    3A-2A   (12- 4, 84.0)    11- 9   
 422 A Tuscarora, MD          MD    3A-2A   ( 7- 6, 73.2)    17- 6   
 426 A Frederick              MD    3A-2A   ( 8- 7, 72.6)    21- 3   
 427 H Linganore              MD    4A-3A   ( 4-10, 70.7)    20- 2   
 430 A Westminster, MD        MD    4A-3A   (10- 7, 87.2)    14-13  o
 502 A Catoctin               MD    2A-1A   ( 1-12, 55.7)    24- 0   
 507 N Middletown, MD         MD    3A-2A   (12- 4, 84.0)    13- 6   
 513 H Linganore              MD    4A-3A   ( 4-10, 70.7)    17- 6   
 516 H Damascus               MD    3A-2A   (12- 4, 80.5)    13- 7   
 518 H Middletown, MD         MD    3A-2A   (12- 4, 84.0)    11-10  o
 521 N Stephen Decatur, MD    MD    3A-2A   (15- 2, 90.6)    11-10   
 524 N Glenelg HS             MD    3A-2A   (17- 3, 94.3)     1-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 H Dulaney                 7-13      -6    -1    --    -4.49
   329 H Walkersville           14- 8       6     9    -     -3.40
   405 A Urbana                 15- 4      11    16           0.00
   407 H Brunswick, MD          19- 2      17    18           0.00
   409 N Harriton               10-15      -5    -5          n/a  
   412 A Gov. Thomas Johnson    20- 4      16    24           0.00
   416 A Mount de Sales         11-10       1     9          n/a  
   416 N River Hill             16- 6      10    13           0.00
   420 H Middletown, MD         11- 9       2     5    -     -3.23
   422 A Tuscarora, MD          17- 6      11    14           0.00
   426 A Frederick              21- 3      18    15           0.00
   427 H Linganore              20- 2      18    18           0.00
   430 A Westminster, MD        14-13  o    1     0           0.16
   502 A Catoctin               24- 0      24    32           0.00
   507 N Middletown, MD         13- 6       7     4    +      2.36
   513 H Linganore              17- 6      11    18           0.00
   516 H Damascus               13- 7       6     8    -     -2.71
   518 H Middletown, MD         11-10  o    1     5    --    -4.23
   521 N Stephen Decatur, MD    11-10       1    -2    +      3.02
   524 N Glenelg HS              1-14     -13    -5    --    -4.28

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 A Mount de Sales         11-10       1     9    ---        
   321 H Dulaney                 7-13      -6    -1    --    -4.49
   518 H Middletown, MD         11-10  o    1     5    --    -4.23
   524 N Glenelg HS              1-14     -13    -5    --    -4.28
   329 H Walkersville           14- 8       6     9    -     -3.40
   420 H Middletown, MD         11- 9       2     5    -     -3.23
   516 H Damascus               13- 7       6     8    -     -2.71

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   507 N Middletown, MD         13- 6       7     4    +      2.36
   521 N Stephen Decatur, MD    11-10       1    -2    +      3.02
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.60 Local Power Rank...........    13
 Local SOS Rating......... 56.39 Local SOS Rank.............    38
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.67 Local RPI Rank.............     6
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    89
 Local Quality Win Rating. 80.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     9
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 17- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    6.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -13.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.7
/