Region = CT    Class L          
   Nickname = T Bears                Coach  =   Al Morgenthaler       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.6821289    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 402 H Stamford               CT    Class L ( 9- 7, 82.0)     8- 8   
 405 H Staples                CT    Class L ( 9- 7, 86.0)    10- 7   
 408 A Westhill, CT           CT    Class L ( 2-14, 69.8)    12- 8   
 411 A Weston, CT             CT    Class S (10- 9, 81.2)    11- 8   
 412 H St. Joseph, CT         CT    Class S (11- 9, 80.7)    12-11   
 416 H Bethel, CT             CT    Class M ( 5-10, 70.8)    12- 5   
 419 H Brien McMahon          CT    Class L ( 3-13, 70.9)    14- 4   
 425 H Guilford, CT           CT    Class M ( 9- 9, 80.3)     8- 9  o
 427 H Ridgefield             CT    Class L (16- 3, 92.9)     4- 9   
 428 A Wilton                 CT    Class L (10-10, 89.4)     5-16   
 503 H Fairfield Warde        CT    Class L (14- 6, 89.1)     7-13   
 507 A Fairfield Ludlowe      CT    Class L ( 9- 9, 85.4)    15-13   
 511 A Darien                 CT    Class L (21- 1, 99.9)     5-19   
 512 A New Canaan             CT    Class M (19- 4, 95.0)     3-15   
 514 A Trumbull               CT    Class L ( 8- 9, 77.2)    14- 6   
 516 H New Milford            CT    Class L ( 2-13, 67.1)    12- 5   
 520 A New Canaan             CT    Class M (19- 4, 95.0)     4-14   
 531 A Greenwich HS, CT       CT    Class L (14- 7, 89.8)     8-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 H Stamford                8- 8       0     1          -1.64
   405 H Staples                10- 7       3    -2    ++     5.33
   408 A Westhill, CT           12- 8       4    11    ---   -6.00
   411 A Weston, CT             11- 8       3     0    +      3.00
   412 H St. Joseph, CT         12-11       1     3    -     -2.01
   416 H Bethel, CT             12- 5       7    12    -     -3.00
   419 H Brien McMahon          14- 4      10    12           0.00
   425 H Guilford, CT            8- 9  o   -1     3    --    -4.33
   427 H Ridgefield              4- 9      -5    -9    ++     4.24
   428 A Wilton                  5-16     -11    -8          -1.76
   503 H Fairfield Warde         7-13      -6    -5          -0.56
   507 A Fairfield Ludlowe      15-13       2    -4    +++    6.24
   511 A Darien                  5-19     -14   -18           0.00
   512 A New Canaan              3-15     -12   -13           0.00
   514 A Trumbull               14- 6       8     3    ++     4.09
   516 H New Milford            12- 5       7    16    -     -3.00
   520 A New Canaan              4-14     -10   -13           0.00
   531 A Greenwich HS, CT        8-11      -3    -8    ++     5.62

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 A Westhill, CT           12- 8       4    11    ---   -6.00
   425 H Guilford, CT            8- 9  o   -1     3    --    -4.33
   412 H St. Joseph, CT         12-11       1     3    -     -2.01
   416 H Bethel, CT             12- 5       7    12    -     -3.00
   516 H New Milford            12- 5       7    16    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   507 A Fairfield Ludlowe      15-13       2    -4    +++    6.24
   405 H Staples                10- 7       3    -2    ++     5.33
   427 H Ridgefield              4- 9      -5    -9    ++     4.24
   514 A Trumbull               14- 6       8     3    ++     4.09
   531 A Greenwich HS, CT        8-11      -3    -8    ++     5.62
   411 A Weston, CT             11- 8       3     0    +      3.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.42 Local Power Rank...........    21
 Local SOS Rating......... 65.17 Local SOS Rank.............     9
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.56 Local RPI Rank.............    26
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    58
 Local Quality Win Rating. -5.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    22
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -10.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -8.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.0
/