Region = MD    IAAM A           
   Nickname = D Blazers              Coach  =   Mac Ford              

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.5704498    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 323 A St. Mary's, MD         MD    IAAM A  (14- 5, 86.1)    10- 7   
 329 H Pittsford              NY A  Sec 5   (18- 3, 99.9)    15- 6   
 330 H Mount de Sales         MD    IAAM A  ( 5-13, 78.5)     9-13   
 401 A McDonogh School        MD    IAAM A  (22- 0, 99.9)     8-15   
 402 A Catonsville            MD    4A-3A   ( 7- 8, 80.5)    17- 5   
 402 N Marriotts Ridge        MD    3A-2A   (14- 2, 97.6)     7-10   
 406 H Roland Park Country    MD    IAAM A  (15- 4, 90.3)     5-13   
 407 H Walton                 GA    AAAAAA  (17- 5, 98.2)    14-11   
 408 A St. Paul's SG, MD      MD    IAAM A  ( 9- 7, 85.4)    11- 9   
 413 A Maryvale Prep          MD    IAAM A  ( 4-11, 77.0)    17- 7   
 414 H Sts. Stephen's & Agnes DC    ISL AA  (25- 1, 99.9)    11-13   
 415 H Severn School          MD    IAAM A  (14- 7, 88.5)     6-12   
 419 A Archbishop Spalding    MD    IAAM A  ( 7-11, 80.8)    15-11   
 422 H John Carroll, MD       MD    IAAM A  (10- 8, 86.5)    19-13   
 425 H Bishop Ireton          DC    WCAC    (20- 4, 94.1)    13-12   
 427 H Bryn Mawr SG           MD    IAAM A  ( 6- 8, 81.6)     9- 8   
 429 A Garrison Forest        MD    IAAM A  ( 7-10, 81.0)    19-14   
 503 H C. M. Wright           MD    3A-2A   (11- 8, 85.2)    16- 5   
 510 H St. Mary's, MD         MD    IAAM A  (14- 5, 86.1)    15- 8   
 512 A McDonogh School        MD    IAAM A  (22- 0, 99.9)     4-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 A St. Mary's, MD         10- 7       3     0    +      2.52
   329 H Pittsford              15- 6       9   -12          n/a  
   330 H Mount de Sales          9-13      -4     9    ---  -13.15
   401 A McDonogh School         8-15      -7   -13    +      3.00
   402 A Catonsville            17- 5      12     6          n/a  
   402 N Marriotts Ridge         7-10      -3   -10          n/a  
   406 H Roland Park Country     5-13      -8    -2    --    -5.32
   407 H Walton                 14-11       3   -10          n/a  
   408 A St. Paul's SG, MD      11- 9       2     1           0.82
   413 A Maryvale Prep          17- 7      10     9           0.44
   414 H Sts. Stephen's & Agnes 11-13      -2   -11          n/a  
   415 H Severn School           6-12      -6     0    --    -5.12
   419 A Archbishop Spalding    15-11       4     5          -1.72
   422 H John Carroll, MD       19-13       6     1    ++     4.88
   425 H Bishop Ireton          13-12       1    -5          n/a  
   427 H Bryn Mawr SG            9- 8       1     6    --    -5.06
   429 A Garrison Forest        19-14       5     5          -0.54
   503 H C. M. Wright           16- 5      11     2          n/a  
   510 H St. Mary's, MD         15- 8       7     1    ++     5.41
   512 A McDonogh School         4-15     -11   -13           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 H Mount de Sales          9-13      -4     9    ---  -13.15
   406 H Roland Park Country     5-13      -8    -2    --    -5.32
   415 H Severn School           6-12      -6     0    --    -5.12
   427 H Bryn Mawr SG            9- 8       1     6    --    -5.06

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 H Pittsford              15- 6       9   -12    +++        
   402 N Marriotts Ridge         7-10      -3   -10    +++        
   407 H Walton                 14-11       3   -10    +++        
   414 H Sts. Stephen's & Agnes 11-13      -2   -11    +++        
   425 H Bishop Ireton          13-12       1    -5    +++        
   503 H C. M. Wright           16- 5      11     2    +++        
   422 H John Carroll, MD       19-13       6     1    ++     4.88
   510 H St. Mary's, MD         15- 8       7     1    ++     5.41
   323 A St. Mary's, MD         10- 7       3     0    +      2.52
   401 A McDonogh School         8-15      -7   -13    +      3.00
   402 A Catonsville            17- 5      12     6    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.09 Local Power Rank...........     4
 Local SOS Rating......... 75.48 Local SOS Rank.............     2
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.55 Local RPI Rank.............     3
 Championship Probability .    3.0 Championship Rank .......     3
 Local Quality Win Rating.125.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     4
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  7- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -0.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  8- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.3
/